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Aalborg vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-82
13-23 24-25 15-15 19-19
Position#10
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game80.0
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 13
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aalborg v Svendborg
20 Oct 2014
AALB75
SVEN90
12 Feb 2014
AALB85
SVEN98
28 Sep 2013
AALB70
SVEN94
30 Jan 2013
AALB71
SVEN82
01 Mar 2012
AALB91
SVEN83
12 Nov 2011
AALB83
SVEN91
29 Sep 2010
AALB68
SVEN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A10/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A28/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-100
85
100
-15
H17/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A20/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
78-99
78
99
-21
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A27/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
14-15
13-14
23-11
18-24
22-33
15-19
29-17
19-21
27-19
6-31
15-24
21-25
11-27
11-17
22-28
19-22
15-24
21-19
16-20
14-17
17-26
16-26
11-25
23-29
16-26
27-25
19-20
17-21
22-20
13-19
6-13
17-27
26-14
13-31
22-27
16-22
23-14
18-16
16-22
156.7Avg total
70.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.190.7165.8-15.65%
Season at home (8)73.484.9158.2-11.512%
Season away (11)76.495.0171.4-18.60%
Last 10 (10)70.386.4156.7-16.110%
Last 5 (5)70.488.0158.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.190.6165.7-15.57%
vs Similar (2)84.586.0170.5-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H06/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
H08/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A13/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H19/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A05/01
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H09/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A16/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
105-75
105
75
+30
H19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
99-66
99
66
+33
A24/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
23-23
22-28
17-21
16-24
–
–
–
–
20-18
18-9
24-23
17-25
17-17
19-24
32-23
27-17
19-20
19-22
20-29
21-9
22-18
22-16
18-16
21-11
24-30
18-22
22-14
21-11
24-20
26-18
26-21
29-16
19-14
33-14
33-15
14-23
165.1Avg total
84.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.880.0170.8+10.990%
Season at home (11)95.083.2178.2+11.891%
Season away (10)86.276.4162.6+9.890%
Last 10 (10)84.580.6165.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)90.271.8162.0+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.480.2150.6-9.925%
vs Similar (4)93.884.5178.2+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.178.9169.0+11.288%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
AalborgSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A10/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A28/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H17/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
37.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.045.382.3-8.214%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.444.180.5-7.78%-
Last 30 away (16)37.646.283.8-8.719%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.081.1-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.281.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.845.782.4-8.911%-
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H06/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A13/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H19/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/01
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A24/01
Basketligaen
82.2Avg total
43.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)43.538.882.3+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.940.886.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (12)40.736.577.2+4.275%-
Last 10 (8)43.139.182.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.884.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.435.470.8+0.060%-
vs Similar (4)47.538.586.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.939.984.8+5.071%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aalborg wins
8
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
10/11/12Svendborg v Aalborg93-84
05/11/12Svendborg v Aalborg94-68
06/10/12Svendborg v Aalborg102-81
01/03/12Aalborg v Svendborg91-83
12/11/11Aalborg v Svendborg83-91
28/09/11Svendborg v Aalborg86-66
19/01/11Svendborg v Aalborg87-75
13/11/10Svendborg v Aalborg102-81
29/09/10Aalborg v Svendborg68-78
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/13AHorsens73-74
23/01/13ARanders78-99
20/01/13AVaerlose58-73
17/01/13HRanders85-100
19/12/12HBakken Bears58-94
05/12/12HHorsens71-85
28/11/12ATeam FOG Naestved65-97
18/11/12ASisu67-95
10/11/12ASvendborg84-93
08/11/12HAarhus64-54
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/13ATeam FOG Naestved99-66
19/01/13HRanders105-75
16/01/13AHorsholm85-77
09/01/13HAarhus83-61
05/01/13AHorsholm79-80
19/12/12HSisu95-81
13/12/12ABakken Bears79-75
08/12/12HBakken Bears61-96
06/12/12HTeam FOG Naestved78-96
01/12/12ABakken Bears81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %5%12%0%
Points / game75.173.476.4
Allowed / game90.784.995.0
Point differential-15.6-11.5-18.6
Avg total165.8158.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%91%90%
Points / game90.895.086.2
Allowed / game80.083.276.4
Point differential+10.9+11.8+9.8
Avg total170.8178.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2119290%90.880.0+10.9
2 Horsens2217577%86.378.4+8.0
3 Bakken Bears2116576%87.274.3+12.9
4 Sisu2112957%79.977.6+2.3
5 Team FOG Naestved21111052%78.776.4+2.3
6 Randers21101148%91.489.1+2.2
7 Horsholm2071335%77.984.3-6.4
8 Vaerlose2161529%78.085.4-7.4
9 Aarhus2151624%70.982.2-11.3
10 Aalborg191185%75.190.7-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg1324151971
Svendborg2325151982
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