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Aalborg vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-98
21-23 18-24 25-29 21-22
Position#9
Record8-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#3
Record13-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game79.2
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 21
Other2013-14
Meetings · Aalborg v Svendborg
20 Oct 2014
AALB75
SVEN90
12 Feb 2014
AALB85
SVEN98
28 Sep 2013
AALB70
SVEN94
30 Jan 2013
AALB71
SVEN82
01 Mar 2012
AALB91
SVEN83
12 Nov 2011
AALB83
SVEN91
29 Sep 2010
AALB68
SVEN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H05/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
86-103
86
103
-17
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
110-99
110
99
+11
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
A18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H25/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A06/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
23-22
24-17
25-23
24-23
14-25
30-24
21-28
20-23
19-23
31-20
25-38
20-26
24-19
28-24
22-25
17-18
33-20
8-29
28-36
25-17
35-34
26-26
24-22
26-25
15-21
25-20
17-17
31-30
20-25
20-21
22-21
27-22
16-21
19-21
34-23
11-23
21-22
23-22
20-21
191.0Avg total
94.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.590.0174.5-5.542%
Season at home (9)84.190.2174.3-6.133%
Season away (10)84.889.8174.6-5.050%
Last 10 (10)94.696.4191.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)94.092.6186.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.787.4166.1-8.731%
vs Similar (10)88.389.4177.7-1.150%
vs Weaker (3)82.077.3159.3+4.7100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#5
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H15/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#2
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H19/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A09/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H11/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
99-110
99
110
-11
H15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H19/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A27/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A02/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H05/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-19
20-31
38-25
25-21
23-22
14-18
26-17
28-21
23-18
15-20
12-16
12-18
24-16
20-27
21-28
14-16
29-15
21-16
28-18
17-25
34-35
26-26
22-24
16-28
14-25
28-17
29-14
15-20
8-26
22-19
25-20
19-26
24-22
17-26
27-22
24-17
20-17
23-24
24-22
173.0Avg total
87.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.379.2164.4+6.168%
Season at home (11)86.580.8167.4+5.782%
Season away (8)83.576.9160.4+6.650%
Last 10 (10)87.385.7173.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)86.891.0177.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.5173.5-9.550%
vs Similar (11)85.181.3166.4+3.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.177.1163.2+9.075%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
AalborgSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H05/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A06/02
Basketligaen
92.1Avg total
45.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.241.581.7-1.234%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.681.5+2.457%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.381.9-4.613%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.092.1-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.093.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.842.482.2-2.631%-
vs Similar (10)41.442.083.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (3)38.734.773.3+4.033%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H15/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H11/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H19/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A27/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/02
Basketligaen
84.2Avg total
41.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.383.6+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.341.485.7+2.963%-
Last 30 away (11)41.538.479.8+3.182%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.784.2-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.248.286.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.047.586.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (11)42.142.484.5-0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.837.982.8+6.988%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aalborg wins
8
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
15/01/14Svendborg v Aalborg99-110
15/12/13Svendborg v Aalborg104-95
28/09/13Aalborg v Svendborg70-94
30/01/13Aalborg v Svendborg71-82
10/11/12Svendborg v Aalborg93-84
05/11/12Svendborg v Aalborg94-68
06/10/12Svendborg v Aalborg102-81
01/03/12Aalborg v Svendborg91-83
12/11/11Aalborg v Svendborg83-91
28/09/11Svendborg v Aalborg86-66
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/14ARanders75-88
02/02/14AVaerlose96-87
25/01/14HRanders93-97
18/01/14AHerlev Wolfpack96-92 OT
15/01/14ASvendborg110-99
12/01/14HHorsens86-103
04/01/14HHorsholm104-101 OT
15/12/13ASvendborg95-104
10/12/13ASisu89-100
05/12/13HTeam FOG Naestved102-93
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/14HSisu91-80
02/02/14ARanders87-96
27/01/14ATeam FOG Naestved70-85
19/01/14HBakken Bears87-84
15/01/14HAalborg99-110
11/01/14HHerlev Wolfpack92-65
09/01/14AHorsens77-89
04/01/14HSisu78-75
19/12/13HRanders88-78
15/12/13HAalborg104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game84.584.184.8
Allowed / game90.090.289.8
Point differential-5.5-6.1-5.0
Avg total174.5174.3174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%82%50%
Points / game85.386.583.5
Allowed / game79.280.876.9
Point differential+6.1+5.7+6.6
Avg total164.4167.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1714382%88.972.7+16.2
2 Randers2116576%90.282.5+7.7
3 Svendborg1913668%85.379.2+6.1
4 Horsens2011955%81.578.2+3.4
5 Sisu1981142%84.885.8-1.1
6 Horsholm1981142%79.581.6-2.2
7 Aalborg1981142%84.590.0-5.5
8 Team FOG Naestved2081240%77.081.1-4.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack2071335%75.580.3-4.8
10 Vaerlose2041620%76.690.5-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg2118252185
Svendborg2324292298
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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