Abejas vs Aguilas Rojas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 128-105

27-25 32-20 31-23 38-37

Position#9

Record14-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game88.5

Abejas 🏆

Aguilas Rojas

Position#13

Record7-30

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game97.2

LNBPRound 38

Other2011-12

Meetings · Abejas v Aguilas Rojas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aguilas Rojas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abejas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguilas Rojas

#13

106-112

106

112

-6

A18/11

LNBP

Soles

94-64

+30

A20/11

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

97-94 OT

A28/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

93-84

H02/12

LNBP

Huracanes

75-85

-10

H04/12

LNBP

Toros de Nuevo

70-88

-18

A09/12

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

87-114

114

-27

A11/12

LNBP

Pioneros

103-111

103

111

-8

A13/12

LNBP

Pioneros

85-107

107

-22

A15/12

LNBP

Soles

79-81 OT

-2

H17/12

LNBP

23-19

28-28

33-29

22-36

26-8

23-20

29-12

16-24

19-28

28-20

18-16

19-20

27-26

27-25

13-22

26-11

20-22

12-23

21-15

22-25

20-25

17-28

18-15

15-20

21-34

19-29

20-27

27-24

18-31

22-33

30-16

33-31

–

11-14

19-11

13-20

24-22

182.9Avg total

88.9Scored

94.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	86.4	88.5	174.9	-2.1	40%
Season at home (17)	84.6	83.2	167.8	+1.4	47%
Season away (18)	88.1	93.5	181.6	-5.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	88.9	94.0	182.9	-5.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	100.2	185.0	-15.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	82.9	91.8	174.7	-8.8	11%
vs Similar (7)	89.1	89.4	178.6	-0.3	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	94.0	84.4	178.4	+9.6	80%

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguilas Rojas Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lechugueros

#11

79-101

101

-22

H20/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

71-92

-21

A26/11

LNBP

Toros de Nuevo

71-106

106

-35

A28/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

96-90

H03/12

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

82-91

-9

H04/12

LNBP

Correcaminos

82-109

109

-27

A09/12

LNBP

Huracanes

72-104

104

-32

A11/12

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

0-20

-20

H13/12

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

0-20

-20

H14/12

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

91-143

143

-52

A17/12

LNBP

21-25

16-21

12-19

30-36

15-17

21-28

14-28

21-19

10-23

22-28

16-28

23-27

22-20

25-30

32-17

17-23

21-29

19-18

22-19

20-25

17-36

19-19

21-25

25-29

14-26

21-25

19-24

18-29

–

11-37

26-36

27-40

27-30

152.0Avg total

64.4Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	81.1	97.2	178.3	-16.1	19%
Season at home (18)	83.3	93.4	176.7	-10.2	28%
Season away (19)	79.0	100.8	179.8	-21.8	11%
Last 10 (10)	64.4	87.6	152.0	-23.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	49.0	79.2	128.2	-30.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	79.3	97.6	176.9	-18.3	11%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	104.7	91.0	195.7	+13.7	100%

This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AbejasAguilas Rojas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.2	43.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.6	23.1	45.7	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.8	20.8	43.5	+2.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.2	26.5	46.7	-6.3	9%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.5	26.0	49.5	-2.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.1	27.0	44.1	-9.9	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.4	26.6	43.0	-10.2	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	29.6	46.6	-12.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	26.8	46.4	-7.1	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	25.0	48.7	-1.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	23.3	44.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	24.1	45.8	-2.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.8	42.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.5	21.8	44.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	22.3	24.3	46.6	-2.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.1	25.4	48.5	-2.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.1	25.6	46.8	-4.5	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	25.6	47.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.8	23.8	45.5	-2.0	35%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	28.3	54.0	-2.7	33%	-

AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguilas Rojas

#13

51-47

A18/11

LNBP

Soles

49-28

+21

A20/11

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

47-48

-1

A28/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

54-51

H02/12

LNBP

Huracanes

32-45

-13

H04/12

LNBP

Toros de Nuevo

37-53

-16

A09/12

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

40-63

-23

A11/12

LNBP

Pioneros

40-64

-24

A13/12

LNBP

Soles

30-25

H17/12

LNBP

89.3Avg total

42.2Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.6	44.8	87.4	-2.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.6	42.1	84.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	47.0	89.5	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.2	47.1	89.3	-4.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	50.0	85.8	-14.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.7	45.2	85.9	-4.6	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.3	45.1	90.4	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.2	42.5	87.8	+2.8	75%	-

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguilas RojasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lechugueros

#11

37-46

-9

H20/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

36-45

-9

A26/11

LNBP

Toros de Nuevo

32-51

-19

A28/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

47-50

-3

H03/12

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

40-47

-7

H04/12

LNBP

Correcaminos

36-55

-19

A09/12

LNBP

Huracanes

35-51

-16

A11/12

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

37-73

-36

A17/12

LNBP

89.8Avg total

37.5Scored

52.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	42.4	50.9	93.3	-8.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	46.6	51.4	98.0	-4.7	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.6	50.4	89.0	-11.8	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.5	52.2	89.8	-14.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	55.2	94.2	-16.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	41.4	50.5	91.9	-9.1	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	49.3	53.3	102.7	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.5	41.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	28.0	20.5	48.5	+7.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.1	25.9	47.0	-4.8	26%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.3	24.6	46.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	27.1	47.1	-7.1	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	25.0	45.4	-4.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.0	49.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.9	26.8	46.7	-6.9	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	29.3	20.0	49.3	+9.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	23.7	45.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	23.7	46.3	-1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.4	48.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	23.4	24.7	48.1	-1.3	39%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	25.8	24.2	50.0	+1.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	25.2	46.3	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.6	27.2	49.9	-4.6	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	27.2	48.6	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	23.0	25.8	48.8	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	17.7	43.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.6	42.8	84.4	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.2	39.8	81.1	+1.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	45.1	87.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.3	42.8	87.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.0	87.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.1	43.4	83.5	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.4	40.7	80.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	51.5	43.8	95.2	+7.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	44.5	50.6	95.1	-6.1	26%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	48.1	48.8	96.9	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.2	52.2	93.4	-11.1	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	43.0	52.2	95.2	-9.2	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	52.2	97.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	42.9	52.5	95.4	-9.7	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	55.3	37.7	93.0	+17.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Abejas wins

Aguilas Rojas wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/11	Aguilas Rojas v Abejas	112-106
09/10/11	Abejas v Aguilas Rojas	82-75

Abejaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/11	H	Soles	79-81 OT
15/12/11	A	Pioneros	85-107
13/12/11	A	Pioneros	103-111
11/12/11	A	Fuerza Regia	87-114
09/12/11	A	Toros de Nuevo	70-88
04/12/11	H	Huracanes	75-85
02/12/11	H	Correcaminos	93-84
28/11/11	A	Lechugueros	97-94 OT
20/11/11	A	Soles	94-64
18/11/11	A	Aguilas Rojas	106-112

Aguilas Rojaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/11	A	Lechugueros	91-143
14/12/11	H	Halcones Rojos	0-20
13/12/11	H	Halcones Rojos	0-20
11/12/11	A	Huracanes	72-104
09/12/11	A	Correcaminos	82-109
04/12/11	H	Barreteros	82-91
03/12/11	H	Barreteros	96-90
28/11/11	A	Toros de Nuevo	71-106
26/11/11	A	Fuerza Regia	71-92
20/11/11	H	Lechugueros	79-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	40%
Home	LWWLL	47%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	40%	47%	33%
Points / game	86.4	84.6	88.1
Allowed / game	88.5	83.2	93.5
Point differential	-2.1	+1.4	-5.4
Avg total	174.9	167.8	181.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	6%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	29% (7)	100% (2)
Overtime %	9%	6%	11%

Aguilas Rojas

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LWLLL	28%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	19%	28%	11%
Points / game	81.1	83.3	79.0
Allowed / game	97.2	93.4	100.8
Point differential	-16.1	-10.2	-21.8
Avg total	178.3	176.7	179.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	6%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Halcones Rojos	32	27	5	84%	82.6	70.2	+12.4
2	Fuerza Regia	34	28	6	82%	89.4	77.3	+12.1
3	Toros de Nuevo	35	25	10	71%	87.3	80.8	+6.5
4	Xalapa	32	22	10	69%	86.9	78.8	+8.2
5	Pioneros	33	21	12	64%	93.5	84.3	+9.2
6	Huracanes	35	22	13	63%	85.4	76.4	+9.0
7	Soles	37	23	14	62%	87.0	81.7	+5.3
8	Correcaminos	35	16	19	46%	86.7	83.6	+3.1
9	Barreteros	35	15	20	43%	78.3	81.6	-3.3
10	Abejas	35	14	21	40%	86.4	88.5	-2.1
11	Lechugueros	33	11	22	33%	89.6	89.7	-0.1
12	Panteras	35	9	26	26%	79.8	89.5	-9.7
13	Aguilas Rojas	37	7	30	19%	81.1	97.2	-16.1
14	Volcanes	32	0	32	0%	68.1	102.1	-33.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Abejas	27	32	31	38	128
Aguilas Rojas	25	20	23	37	105

← all games of the day

Abejas vs Aguilas Rojas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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