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Abejas vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 92-78
21-22 27-14 18-23 26-19
Position#8
Record8-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game86.3
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#10
Record8-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.5
MexicoLNBP· Domo de la Feria
Other2026-27
Meetings · Abejas v Santos
12 Oct 2026
ABEJ84
SANT74
11 Oct 2026
ABEJ82
SANT106
26 Sep 2026
ABEJ92
SANT78
25 Sep 2026
ABEJ86
SANT87
16 Oct 2024
ABEJ105
SANT98
15 Oct 2024
ABEJ83
SANT84
19 Nov 2023
ABEJ77
SANT66
10 Nov 2023
ABEJ82
SANT72
09 Nov 2023
ABEJ89
SANT77
13 Sep 2023
ABEJ81
SANT83
12 Sep 2023
ABEJ91
SANT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAbejas
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 79
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
78avg 79
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 79
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 79
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 79
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
89avg 79
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 79
A17/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 79
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 79
H22/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
85avg 79
H26/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
21-18
18-18
21-17
15-20
21-20
19-26
29-29
26-17
21-18
14-25
15-15
12-29
22-17
18-17
31-24
18-19
24-15
15-30
17-22
16-25
26-29
27-16
18-21
24-13
12-23
12-25
19-19
25-21
22-28
29-16
21-15
17-23
12-25
22-12
32-29
25-21
23-21
18-22
20-23
165.5Avg total
81.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.686.3170.9-1.735%
Season at home (13)86.587.5174.0-0.938%
Season away (10)82.084.8166.8-2.830%
Last 10 (10)81.084.5165.5-3.520%
Last 5 (5)84.085.4169.4-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.490.9173.3-8.521%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.181.9163.0-0.729%
vs Weaker (4)94.086.5180.5+7.575%
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
94-102
94
102
-8
85avg 71
H26/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
87-97
87
97
-10
72avg 71
A30/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
95-82
95
82
+13
86avg 71
A30/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
89-101
89
101
-12
74avg 71
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-103
74
103
-29
60avg 71
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 71
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
109-78
109
78
+31
102avg 71
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 71
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 71
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 71
A26/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
15-31
21-25
31-23
27-21
16-35
24-22
20-19
24-24
23-18
28-15
20-25
34-23
16-24
16-28
23-26
15-25
27-18
14-37
18-23
20-23
22-26
15-14
20-26
32-21
31-19
23-24
23-14
14-26
22-25
23-18
27-26
15-27
19-27
27-25
23-20
21-25
21-23
22-18
23-20
181.4Avg total
88.2Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.389.5172.9-6.235%
Season at home (12)84.290.2174.4-5.933%
Season away (11)82.488.8171.2-6.536%
Last 10 (10)88.293.2181.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)88.689.4178.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.092.3172.3-12.321%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.785.1173.9+3.657%
vs Weaker (4)78.577.8156.2+0.875%
This opponent (Abejas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
AbejasSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H22/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H26/09
LNBP
81.9Avg total
39.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.885.3-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.247.289.4-4.935%-
Last 30 away (13)40.439.579.8+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.481.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.886.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.544.786.2-3.237%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.340.179.4-0.943%-
vs Weaker (4)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A30/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A30/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/09
LNBP
92.5Avg total
44.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.288.1-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.244.485.6-3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)42.748.290.9-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.492.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.491.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.748.590.2-6.832%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.944.790.6+1.143%-
vs Weaker (4)36.237.573.8-1.275%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Abejastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Abejas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
71.7%13.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.8
51.0%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.417.5
63.9%
71.7%17.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Abejas
LLWLLLLWLL
Santos
WLLWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
-6.8
92.5
Offensive rating
96.7
96.0
Defensive rating
103.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.1%
3-point %
34.4%
64.4%
Assist %
47.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 96.7Defence96.0 · 103.5Shooting52.8% · 51.2%3-point %35.1% · 34.4%Ball care18.3% · 12.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Abejas   ■ Santos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Abejas wins
6
Santos wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Abejas v Santos86-87
09/08/25Santos v Abejas90-75
08/08/25Santos v Abejas87-91
17/10/24Abejas v Santos105-98
16/10/24Abejas v Santos83-84
13/07/24Santos v Abejas98-91
12/07/24Santos v Abejas98-78
19/11/23Abejas v Santos77-66
17/11/23Santos v Abejas94-97 OT
15/11/23Santos v Abejas89-84
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HSantos86-87
22/09/26HFreseros83-89
21/09/26HFreseros97-80
17/09/26ALobos Plateados67-80
16/09/26ALobos Plateados87-91
12/09/26HGambusinos74-86
11/09/26HGambusinos83-87
30/08/26AFuerza Regia76-75
29/08/26AFuerza Regia84-95
26/08/26HDiablos Rojos73-75
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AAbejas87-86
22/09/26HLobos Plateados84-99
21/09/26HLobos Plateados86-95
17/09/26AGambusinos109-78
16/09/26AGambusinos77-89
12/09/26HFuerza Regia74-103
11/09/26HFuerza Regia89-101
30/08/26ADiablos Rojos95-82
30/08/26ADiablos Rojos87-97
26/08/26HDorados94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %35%38%30%
Points / game84.686.582.0
Allowed / game86.387.584.8
Point differential-1.7-0.9-2.8
Avg total170.9174.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game83.384.282.4
Allowed / game89.590.288.8
Point differential-6.2-5.9-6.5
Avg total172.9174.4171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2419579%85.474.0+11.4
2 Fuerza Regia2417771%90.485.1+5.3
3 Astros2316770%88.380.7+7.6
4 Lobos Plateados2315865%84.380.6+3.8
5 Panteras2315865%88.684.9+3.7
6 Dorados24141058%84.584.8-0.2
7 Mineros23121152%86.385.3+1.0
8 Diablos Rojos23101343%83.684.5-1.0
9 Gambusinos23101343%79.782.9-3.2
10 Freseros2391439%85.390.2-5.0
11 Abejas2381535%84.686.3-1.7
12 Santos2381535%83.389.5-6.2
13 El Calor de Cancun2461825%81.987.0-5.1
14 Correcaminos2341917%82.793.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abejas2127182692
Santos2214231978
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