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Abejas vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-80
25-21 22-28 29-16 21-15
Position#8
Record7-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.5
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
vs
Freseros
Mexico
Position#13
Record8-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game90.0
MexicoLNBPRound 21· Domo de la Feria
Other2026-27
Meetings · Abejas v Freseros
21 Sep 2026
ABEJ83
FRES89
20 Sep 2026
ABEJ97
FRES80
13 Oct 2023
ABEJ102
FRES76
12 Oct 2023
ABEJ84
FRES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAbejas
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
81avg 77
A20/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
113avg 77
A21/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 77
H25/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 77
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
78avg 77
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 77
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 77
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 77
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
89avg 77
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 77
A17/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
8-19
18-34
25-22
32-24
29-17
25-13
20-33
12-23
22-21
25-18
22-11
13-22
21-18
18-18
21-17
15-20
21-20
19-26
29-29
26-17
21-18
14-25
15-15
12-29
22-17
18-17
31-24
18-19
24-15
15-30
17-22
16-25
26-29
27-16
18-21
24-13
12-23
12-25
19-19
165.8Avg total
81.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.086.5170.4-2.535%
Season at home (10)85.988.1174.0-2.240%
Season away (10)82.084.8166.8-2.830%
Last 10 (10)81.284.6165.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)80.791.5172.1-10.818%
vs Similar (6)80.381.0161.3-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)98.088.5186.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 74
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 74
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 74
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 74
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
117-129 OT
117
129
-12
104avg 74
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
48avg 74
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 74
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 74
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 74
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
45avg 74
H16/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
27-24
25-21
22-19
22-21
14-14
17-18
27-23
17-17
20-19
13-19
27-18
22-26
21-28
22-11
19-22
25-27
19-32
27-15
20-17
13-22
20-15
15-15
19-25
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
17-20
19-27
7-25
20-20
169.1Avg total
82.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.290.0175.3-4.840%
Season at home (10)86.092.4178.4-6.440%
Season away (10)84.587.7172.2-3.240%
Last 10 (10)82.686.5169.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)75.082.2157.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)81.590.6172.2-9.129%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
AbejasFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
61-41
61
41
+20
A21/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/09
LNBP
81.5Avg total
40.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.285.2-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.848.490.1-6.631%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.579.6+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.181.5-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.945.586.4-4.532%-
vs Similar (6)37.839.877.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.544.095.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/09
LNBP
85.0Avg total
39.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.146.187.2-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.847.189.9-4.336%-
Last 30 away (16)39.645.284.9-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.485.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.282.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.946.086.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Abejastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Abejas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
71.7%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.1
53.0%
54.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
71.7%15.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Abejas
LLLLWLLWWL
Freseros
LLWWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#13
-3.6
Net rating
-5.4
91.4
Offensive rating
89.8
95.0
Defensive rating
95.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
31.1%
71.8%
Assist %
49.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 89.8Defence95.0 · 95.2Shooting51.5% · 50.4%3-point %34.4% · 31.1%Ball care17.2% · 16.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Abejas   ■ Freseros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Abejas wins
2
Freseros wins
DateGameScore
30/07/25Freseros v Abejas61-78
29/07/25Freseros v Abejas78-79
03/09/24Freseros v Abejas99-91
02/09/24Freseros v Abejas102-95
14/10/23Abejas v Freseros102-76
13/10/23Abejas v Freseros84-78
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/26ALobos Plateados67-80
16/09/26ALobos Plateados87-91
12/09/26HGambusinos74-86
11/09/26HGambusinos83-87
30/08/26AFuerza Regia76-75
29/08/26AFuerza Regia84-95
26/08/26HDiablos Rojos73-75
25/08/26HDiablos Rojos81-73
21/08/26ADorados106-87
20/08/26ADorados81-97
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/26HSoles63-92
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
31/08/26HAstros67-77
30/08/26HAstros117-129 OT
26/08/26AGambusinos84-87
25/08/26AGambusinos77-73
21/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun80-76
20/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game84.085.982.0
Allowed / game86.588.184.8
Point differential-2.5-2.2-2.8
Avg total170.4174.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.286.084.5
Allowed / game90.092.487.7
Point differential-4.8-6.4-3.2
Avg total175.3178.4172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2117481%84.774.0+10.7
2 Astros2215768%87.780.8+6.9
3 Fuerza Regia2114767%90.587.0+3.4
4 Dorados2214864%85.683.6+2.0
5 Panteras2113862%88.985.2+3.7
6 Lobos Plateados2012860%82.880.8+2.0
7 Mineros2011955%87.084.5+2.5
8 Diablos Rojos2191243%83.883.8-0.0
9 Gambusinos2081240%77.582.0-4.5
10 Freseros2081240%85.290.0-4.8
11 Abejas2071335%84.086.5-2.5
12 Santos2071335%83.089.0-6.0
13 El Calor de Cancun2161529%81.986.9-5.0
14 Correcaminos2141719%83.893.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abejas2522292197
Freseros2128161580
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