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Absheron Lions vs Neftchi IK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-104
24-20 19-27 17-33 26-24
Position#27
Record1-3
FormWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Absheron Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neftchi IK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-73
89
73
+16
85avg 73
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
42avg 73
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 73
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
91avg 73
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
29-20
22-15
12-27
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
168.0Avg total
82.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.585.5168.0-3.025%
Season at home (3)90.088.3178.3+1.733%
Season away (1)60.077.0137.0-17.00%
Last 10 (4)82.585.5168.0-3.025%
Last 5 (4)82.585.5168.0-3.025%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)96.099.0195.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (3)78.081.0159.0-3.033%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 72
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 72
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
167.0Avg total
79.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.088.0167.0-9.050%
Season at home (1)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)63.092.0155.0-29.00%
Last 10 (2)79.088.0167.0-9.050%
Last 5 (2)79.088.0167.0-9.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)63.092.0155.0-29.00%
vs Weaker (1)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -7.0-7.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -7.0-7.0
Absheron LionsNeftchi IK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.5Avg total
44.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)44.242.286.5+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (3)49.043.392.3+5.767%-
Last 30 away (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
Last 10 (4)44.242.286.5+2.050%-
Last 5 (4)44.242.286.5+2.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.048.097.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)42.740.383.0+2.333%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.0Avg total
34.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)34.544.579.0-10.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
Last 30 away (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
Last 10 (2)34.544.579.0-10.00%-
Last 5 (2)34.544.579.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (1)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.0
52.9%
52.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.0
28.3%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
80.0%
73.4%15.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.5
44.6%
52.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.519.5
70.9%
73.4%19.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/2 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Absheron Lions
LLLW
Neftchi IK
WL
#27
League position
#17
-2.6
Net rating
-11.3
105.1
Offensive rating
98.3
107.7
Defensive rating
109.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.44
28.3%
3-point %
32.7%
56.7%
Assist %
68.0%
25%
Form (last 4/2)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 98.3Defence107.7 · 109.7Shooting49.1% · 46.4%3-point %28.3% · 32.7%Ball care17.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.9% · 22.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.44Form (last 4/2)25% · 50%
■ Absheron Lions   ■ Neftchi IK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Absheron Lions wins
0
Neftchi IK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77
24/09/25HAnorthosis89-73
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game82.590.060.0
Allowed / game85.588.377.0
Point differential-3.0+1.7-17.0
Avg total168.0178.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.095.063.0
Allowed / game88.084.092.0
Point differential-9.0+11.0-29.0
Avg total167.0179.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zaragoza220100%104.574.5+30.0
2 Reggiana220100%98.076.5+21.5
3 Cedevita Junior220100%99.579.0+20.5
4 Peristeri220100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Trefl Sopot220100%95.579.5+16.0
6 Vechta440100%88.574.0+14.5
7 CSM Oradea220100%89.580.0+9.5
8 Basketball Braunschweig220100%91.083.5+7.5
9 PAOK220100%89.583.5+6.0
10 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
11 Brno43175%74.878.8-4.0
12 Rostock32167%90.083.0+7.0
13 FC Porto32167%81.782.7-1.0
14 Bilbao21150%93.067.5+25.5
15 Sassari21150%85.576.5+9.0
16 KK Bosna42250%82.875.2+7.5
17 Corona Brasov42250%84.277.0+7.2
18 Lublin21150%91.087.5+3.5
19 Petkim Spor21150%81.579.0+2.5
20 BC Prievidza42250%87.285.8+1.5
21 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
22 Tartu Ulikool21150%88.089.0-1.0
23 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
24 AEK Larnaca21150%79.583.5-4.0
25 Szombathely21150%82.586.5-4.0
26 Pelister21150%83.088.5-5.5
27 Rilski Sportist21150%79.084.5-5.5
28 Sporting CP21150%81.087.5-6.5
29 Anorthosis42250%79.888.8-9.0
30 Neftchi IK21150%79.088.0-9.0
31 Anwil Wloclawek41325%89.585.8+3.8
32 Absheron Lions41325%82.585.5-3.0
33 Bashkimi41325%73.890.2-16.5
34 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
35 Bakken Bears2020%85.092.5-7.5
36 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
37 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
38 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
39 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
40 Trepca2020%72.084.5-12.5
41 Keravnos2020%75.093.5-18.5
42 Valcea2020%72.592.5-20.0
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Kutaisi2020%66.593.0-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Absheron Lions2419172686
Neftchi IK20273324104
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