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Academic Plovdiv vs Yambol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-72
29-19 14-19 9-18 22-16
Position#8
Record10-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#9
Record12-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game85.0
BulgariaNBLRound 8· Sila Sport Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Academic Plovdiv v Yambol
13 Apr 2024
ACAD74
YAMB72
20 Oct 2023
ACAD89
YAMB96
07 Jan 2023
ACAD79
YAMB71
16 Apr 2022
ACAD113
YAMB88
29 Jan 2022
ACAD106
YAMB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Yambol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 73
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
78avg 73
A16/02
NBL
Levski
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
73avg 73
H02/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
77avg 73
H06/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 73
A09/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Minyor
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 73
A24/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
113-83
113
83
+30
120avg 73
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
71avg 73
A04/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 73
A10/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
24-32
39-24
13-18
22-26
24-23
24-20
15-17
22-21
25-25
20-24
15-21
25-21
13-24
28-12
23-28
17-27
22-20
16-16
22-22
18-24
14-20
26-16
20-24
24-19
18-24
27-23
19-18
28-14
33-23
29-24
23-22
14-18
20-19
20-17
19-27
24-25
21-22
22-21
13-20
173.7Avg total
87.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.784.8165.4-4.134%
Season at home (13)80.881.8162.6-1.154%
Season away (16)80.687.1167.8-6.519%
Last 10 (10)87.386.4173.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)86.484.0170.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.583.5156.0-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.084.4164.4-4.431%
vs Weaker (5)96.088.0184.0+8.060%
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YambolBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYambol
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 73
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 73
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
106avg 73
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 73
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
82avg 73
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 73
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Levski
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
78avg 73
H23/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H27/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
109avg 73
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 73
A10/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
14-19
19-26
16-16
19-27
20-23
14-19
27-10
27-28
23-17
24-16
27-23
24-17
21-14
18-20
18-17
27-17
20-22
16-16
22-22
8-27
23-17
19-15
15-15
17-11
17-24
18-26
27-19
25-39
23-17
16-26
22-23
26-30
29-26
26-22
23-13
17-19
19-16
13-23
19-33
166.0Avg total
82.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.185.0165.1-4.941%
Season at home (16)82.083.6165.6-1.650%
Season away (13)77.886.7164.5-8.931%
Last 10 (10)82.483.6166.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.886.6160.4-12.815%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.080.2163.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (4)92.094.2186.2-2.250%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
Academic PlovdivYambol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A16/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Minyor
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
61-37
61
37
+24
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A10/04
NBL
89.0Avg total
44.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.882.7-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.740.881.5-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)39.444.283.6-4.812%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.089.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.684.4+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.243.579.8-7.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.541.481.9-0.931%-
vs Weaker (5)45.845.891.6+0.060%-
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YambolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H23/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/04
NBL
86.1Avg total
42.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.784.6-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.684.4+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.646.284.9-7.614%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.686.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.286.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.146.084.1-7.915%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.839.280.9+2.658%-
vs Weaker (4)50.050.0100.0+0.025%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
31.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
71.1%13.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Yamboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Yambol: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.523.3
57.5%
54.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.1
28.9%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.511.8
76.1%
71.1%11.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academic Plovdiv
LLWWLLWLLW
Yambol
LWLLLWWWWL
#8
League position
#9
+0.4
Net rating
+0.0
110.1
Offensive rating
100.3
109.7
Defensive rating
100.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
28.9%
59.5%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 100.3Defence109.7 · 100.3Shooting54.9% · 52.2%3-point %37.9% · 28.9%Ball care18.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 20.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Academic Plovdiv   ■ Yambol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Academic Plovdiv wins
4
Yambol wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AShumen80-88
04/04/24ALevski73-81
30/03/24ABeroe113-83
24/03/24AMinyor88-84
15/03/24ARilski Sportist78-84
09/03/24AYambol77-85
06/03/24HShumen89-85
02/03/24HLevski82-91
16/02/24ABalkan85-86
10/02/24HCherno More108-97
Yambollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AMinyor68-91
06/04/24ABeroe104-91
27/03/24HShumen86-105
23/03/24HLevski79-80
15/03/24ASpartak Pleven65-74
09/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv85-77
06/03/24HMinyor81-68
02/03/24HBeroe101-84
16/02/24AShumen80-79
10/02/24HRilski Sportist75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL34%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayLWWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %34%54%19%
Points / game80.780.880.6
Allowed / game84.881.887.1
Point differential-4.1-1.1-6.5
Avg total165.4162.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Yambol
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game80.182.077.8
Allowed / game85.083.686.7
Point differential-4.9-1.6-8.9
Avg total165.1165.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3025583%85.575.2+10.3
2 Rilski Sportist2922776%84.775.7+9.0
3 Spartak Pleven2920969%86.979.4+7.5
4 Balkan30201067%82.277.7+4.5
5 CSKA Sofia30141647%83.681.7+1.9
6 Shumen29121741%84.583.3+1.2
7 Levski29121741%75.876.9-1.1
8 Yambol29121741%80.185.0-4.9
9 Cherno More30111937%81.088.3-7.3
10 Academic Plovdiv29101934%80.784.8-4.1
11 Minyor29101934%75.981.9-6.0
12 Beroe2982128%80.691.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academic Plovdiv291492274
Yambol1919181672
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