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ACD Ferragudo W vs Esgueira W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 63-69
15-14 9-11 17-17 22-27
Position#12
Record3-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game71.1
ACD Ferragudo W
Portugal
vs
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game61.9
PortugalLFB WomenRound 18· Nave Desportiva de Ferragudo
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ACD Ferragudo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ACD Ferragudo WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
41-68
41
68
-27
25avg 52
H19/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
51-87
51
87
-36
40avg 52
A26/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
47avg 52
A03/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
52-66
52
66
-14
42avg 52
H08/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
23avg 52
H10/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
55-56
55
56
-1
48avg 52
H21/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 52
A05/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
69avg 52
A07/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 52
A03/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
L
54-61
54
61
-7
56avg 52
H11/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
12-18
9-21
10-12
8-30
11-18
14-24
18-15
22-25
17-18
22-11
14-24
13-17
17-14
11-14
11-21
12-18
7-15
13-16
10-14
16-12
15-19
10-15
14-10
31-29
18-19
10-22
24-18
27-22
15-21
22-15
19-21
17-19
9-14
23-28
25-22
18-13
16-18
9-19
11-11
133.9Avg total
61.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)61.871.1132.9-9.318%
Season at home (8)55.567.6123.1-12.10%
Season away (9)67.474.2141.7-6.833%
Last 10 (10)61.072.9133.9-11.910%
Last 5 (5)69.873.4143.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.971.1131.0-11.28%
vs Similar (5)66.471.2137.6-4.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
44-66
44
66
-22
28avg 62
A26/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
59-52
59
52
+7
51avg 62
A03/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
41avg 62
A08/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A22/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 62
H28/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 62
A07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
no box
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
77avg 62
H20/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 62
H04/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
64-46
64
46
+18
66avg 62
A08/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
9-19
13-12
12-21
17-19
13-14
12-13
17-6
13-17
14-28
16-8
13-8
13-16
17-21
18-12
16-13
20-28
18-25
6-9
22-21
19-16
22-13
18-12
18-15
14-18
12-22
14-21
11-9
21-19
22-11
18-8
14-19
28-16
22-20
16-20
23-16
10-5
16-12
23-8
15-21
127.0Avg total
64.5Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.561.9131.4+7.671%
Season at home (8)76.168.1144.2+8.062%
Season away (9)63.656.3119.9+7.278%
Last 10 (10)64.562.5127.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.260.2131.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.273.3134.5-12.217%
vs Similar (7)68.065.9133.9+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.460.2132.6+12.287%
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
ACD Ferragudo WEsgueira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ACD Ferragudo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H19/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A26/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H10/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A05/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A03/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/02
LFB Women
68.7Avg total
31.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)31.436.868.2-5.429%-
Last 30 at home (8)28.934.963.8-6.025%-
Last 30 away (9)33.738.472.1-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.137.668.7-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.436.266.6-5.733%-
vs Similar (5)33.838.272.0-4.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A26/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H28/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#2
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H20/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H04/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
26-17
26
17
+9
A08/02
LFB Women
68.3Avg total
33.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.168.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.434.372.7+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)31.534.065.5-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.368.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.230.467.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.739.571.2-7.817%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.467.9-1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.731.167.7+5.667%-
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ACD Ferragudo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ACD Ferragudo W: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.015.6
39.0%
43.3%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.1
25.9%
28.2%15.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
72.6%13.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.217.2
41.7%
43.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.0
27.0%
28.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
72.6%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ACD Ferragudo W
LLWLLLLLLL
Esgueira W
WWWLWLWLWL
#12
League position
#4
-15.5
Net rating
+4.1
78.2
Offensive rating
86.5
93.7
Defensive rating
82.4
38.9%
Effective FG%
41.3%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
27.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.9%
3-point %
27.0%
55.6%
Assist %
66.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence78.2 · 86.5Defence93.7 · 82.4Shooting38.9% · 41.3%3-point %25.9% · 27.0%Ball care27.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ ACD Ferragudo W   ■ Esgueira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
ACD Ferragudo W wins
0
Esgueira W wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Esgueira W v ACD Ferragudo W67-73
ACD Ferragudo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HNatacao W54-61
03/02/24ABarcelos W74-83
07/01/24ACDEFF W83-79
05/01/24ACAB Madeira W83-88
21/12/23HImortal W55-56
10/12/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W42-63
08/12/23HBenfica W52-66
03/12/23AGalitos W75-78
26/11/23AUniao Sportiva W51-87
19/11/23HGdessa Barreiro W41-68
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ANatacao W64-46
04/02/24HCDEFF W89-72
20/01/24HCAB Madeira W75-57
14/01/24AGdessa Barreiro W51-70
07/01/24AGalitos W77-56
28/12/23HUniao Sportiva W66-83
22/12/23ABarcelos W64-62
08/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W56-61
03/12/23AImortal W59-52
26/11/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W44-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ACD Ferragudo W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game61.855.567.4
Allowed / game71.167.674.2
Point differential-9.3-12.1-6.8
Avg total132.9123.1141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%62%78%
Points / game69.576.163.6
Allowed / game61.968.156.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.2
Avg total131.4144.2119.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1715288%71.657.3+14.3
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1814478%65.956.8+9.1
3 Esgueira W1712571%69.561.9+7.6
4 Benfica W1812667%66.761.9+4.8
5 Imortal W1810856%65.563.8+1.7
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W179853%64.960.2+4.7
7 Barcelos W1881044%70.973.4-2.5
8 CAB Madeira W1771041%62.668.1-5.5
9 Natacao W1771041%60.768.8-8.1
10 CDEFF W1841422%64.271.4-7.2
11 Galitos W1841422%57.567.0-9.5
12 ACD Ferragudo W1731418%61.871.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ACD Ferragudo W159172263
Esgueira W1411172769
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