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Natacao W vs Esgueira W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 46-64
5-10 12-16 8-23 21-15
Position#8
Record6-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game70.1
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record11-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game62.9
PortugalLFB WomenRound 12· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v Esgueira W
01 Feb 2025
NATA52
ESGU70
08 Feb 2024
NATA46
ESGU64
29 Jan 2023
NATA50
ESGU46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 51
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 51
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 51
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 51
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 51
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 51
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 51
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 51
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 51
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
26avg 51
H03/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
12-18
8-10
9-22
12-14
129.5Avg total
59.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)61.770.1131.7-8.440%
Season at home (8)61.068.2129.2-7.238%
Season away (7)62.472.1134.6-9.743%
Last 10 (10)59.669.9129.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)58.870.6129.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)60.670.3130.9-9.732%
vs Similar (8)64.567.9132.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
H18/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
44-66
44
66
-22
28avg 61
A26/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
59-52
59
52
+7
51avg 61
A03/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
41avg 61
A08/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A22/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 61
H28/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 61
A07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
no box
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
77avg 61
H20/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 61
H04/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-16
13-21
17-14
10-14
9-19
13-12
12-21
17-19
13-14
12-13
17-6
13-17
14-28
16-8
13-8
13-16
17-21
18-12
16-13
20-28
18-25
6-9
22-21
19-16
22-13
18-12
18-15
14-18
12-22
14-21
11-9
21-19
22-11
18-8
14-19
28-16
22-20
16-20
23-16
131.7Avg total
66.2Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.862.9132.7+6.969%
Season at home (8)76.168.1144.2+8.062%
Season away (8)63.557.6121.1+5.975%
Last 10 (10)66.265.5131.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)71.667.6139.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.273.3134.5-12.217%
vs Similar (7)68.065.9133.9+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)71.260.5131.7+10.780%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
Natacao WEsgueira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H03/02
LFB Women
65.7Avg total
32.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.364.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.031.662.6-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)31.034.865.8-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.365.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.864.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.234.564.6-4.332%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.567.2+0.238%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A26/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H28/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#2
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H20/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H04/02
LFB Women
71.1Avg total
34.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.368.6+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.434.372.7+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)31.234.365.5-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.971.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.739.571.2-7.817%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.467.9-1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.431.467.8+5.060%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.312.9
36.5%
43.3%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.5
28.7%
28.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.110.3
73.0%
72.6%10.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.417.5
41.3%
43.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.2
28.2%
28.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.811.4
64.0%
72.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LWLLLLWWLL
Esgueira W
WWLWLWLWLW
#8
League position
#4
-14.5
Net rating
+3.1
82.8
Offensive rating
86.4
97.3
Defensive rating
83.4
39.3%
Effective FG%
41.6%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.7%
3-point %
28.2%
61.3%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 86.4Defence97.3 · 83.4Shooting39.3% · 41.6%3-point %28.7% · 28.2%Ball care19.5% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Natacao W   ■ Esgueira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Natacao W wins
1
Esgueira W wins
DateGameScore
05/10/23Esgueira W v Natacao W75-80
29/01/23Natacao W v Esgueira W50-46
19/10/22Esgueira W v Natacao W62-41
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBenfica W41-64
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HCDEFF W89-72
20/01/24HCAB Madeira W75-57
14/01/24AGdessa Barreiro W51-70
07/01/24AGalitos W77-56
28/12/23HUniao Sportiva W66-83
22/12/23ABarcelos W64-62
08/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W56-61
03/12/23AImortal W59-52
26/11/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W44-66
18/11/23HBenfica W81-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game61.761.062.4
Allowed / game70.168.272.1
Point differential-8.4-7.2-9.7
Avg total131.7129.2134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game69.876.163.5
Allowed / game62.968.157.6
Point differential+6.9+8.0+5.9
Avg total132.7144.2121.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1715288%71.657.3+14.3
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1714382%67.156.9+10.2
3 Esgueira W1611569%69.862.9+6.9
4 Benfica W1711665%67.462.9+4.5
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W179853%64.960.2+4.7
6 Imortal W179853%64.963.4+1.5
7 Barcelos W1771041%70.473.9-3.5
8 CAB Madeira W1771041%62.668.1-5.5
9 Natacao W156940%61.770.1-8.4
10 CDEFF W1741324%63.971.2-7.3
11 Galitos W1741324%57.166.2-9.2
12 ACD Ferragudo W1631319%62.371.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W51282146
Esgueira W1016231564
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