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Achilleas K. vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-96
30-26 15-29 20-24 17-17
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game89.7
Vs
25%
75%
■ ACHI 25%■ PARA 75%
Pythia win probability
Projected 75-82
Projected total 157.3
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.3
CyprusDivision ARound 4· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Achilleas K. v Paralimni
01 Nov 2026
ACHI82
PARA96
26 Oct 2025
ACHI66
PARA84
13 Dec 2024
ACHI48
PARA67
02 Dec 2023
ACHI70
PARA72
29 Jan 2023
ACHI61
PARA81
03 Apr 2022
ACHI71
PARA75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Achilleas K. host Paralimni in the Division A. Pythia makes Paralimni the favourite at 75% and projects 75-82, about 157 points in all (over 159.5: 44%). On the market's main spread (Achilleas K. +9.5) Pythia gives Achilleas K. 56% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Achilleas K. are 0-3 this season (70.7 scored, 89.7 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Paralimni are 1-2 this season (81.0 scored, 84.3 allowed a game), form LWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
24.7%fair 4.05
Best odds4.00
Implied23.4%
Edge+1.3pp
Paralimni winWon
75.3%fair 1.33
Best odds1.22
Implied76.6%
Edge-1.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 58
A11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H16/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
64-94
64
94
-30
52avg 58
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 58
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 58
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
66avg 58
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 58
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
62-95
62
95
-33
6avg 58
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
86avg 58
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 58
A23/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
26-25
21-16
18-26
14-12
14-16
28-13
11-16
13-21
19-22
20-30
12-21
18-20
16-16
15-26
24-20
20-24
20-24
23-29
27-15
16-23
15-23
21-11
13-19
18-22
19-29
22-24
21-15
14-31
20-26
14-20
14-18
21-24
30-14
16-17
12-24
10-19
22-28
13-21
17-16
158.6Avg total
73.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.789.7160.3-19.00%
Season at home (2)75.092.5167.5-17.50%
Season away (1)62.084.0146.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)73.784.9158.6-11.210%
Last 5 (5)71.487.0158.4-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.287.5158.7-16.48%
vs Similar (5)78.883.4162.2-4.620%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paralimni) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
103-87
103
87
+16
95avg 72
A14/02
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
89-73
89
73
+16
82avg 72
H07/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 72
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 72
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
72avg 72
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
62avg 72
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 72
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
85avg 72
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 72
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
67avg 72
H24/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
31-23
24-18
21-29
24-21
19-16
24-17
22-19
18-29
23-30
21-17
12-21
19-15
27-30
18-26
10-19
22-31
24-19
23-24
13-25
15-15
19-22
21-20
21-19
23-24
18-26
26-15
19-20
19-16
26-19
24-18
23-26
22-20
22-22
20-24
13-23
16-18
22-30
21-15
15-22
170.2Avg total
83.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.084.3165.3-3.333%
Season at home (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
Season away (1)77.089.0166.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)83.187.1170.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)81.885.0166.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.286.1159.3-12.80%
vs Similar (11)81.681.9163.5-0.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.080.3170.3+9.786%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Over 154.5
Over 154.5
56.1%
Under 154.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159.5 · main lineActual: Over 159.5
Over 159.5
44.0%
@ 1.84-6.0pp
Under 159.5
56.0%
@ 1.91+6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
32.5%
Under 164.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Achilleas K. total 71Actual: Achilleas K. over 71
Over 71
64.3%
Under 71
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Achilleas K. total 75 · main lineActual: Achilleas K. over 75
Over 75
48.4%
@ 1.83-1.6pp
Under 75
51.6%
@ 1.83+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Achilleas K. total 79Actual: Achilleas K. over 79
Over 79
33.0%
Under 79
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paralimni total 80.5Actual: Paralimni over 80.5
Over 80.5
57.9%
Under 80.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paralimni total 84.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni over 84.5
Over 84.5
42.1%
@ 1.83-7.9pp
Under 84.5
57.9%
@ 1.88+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Paralimni total 88.5Actual: Paralimni over 88.5
Over 88.5
27.5%
Under 88.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Achilleas K. +6.5Actual: Paralimni -6.5
ACHI +6.5
45.1%
PARA -6.5
54.9%
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
No market prices yet.
PARA
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Achilleas K. +9.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni -9.5
ACHI +9.5
56.2%
@ 1.85+6.2pp
PARA -9.5
43.8%
@ 1.85-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
PARA
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Spread Achilleas K. +12.5Actual: Paralimni -12.5
ACHI +12.5
66.6%
@ 1.53
PARA -12.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
Marathon Be
1.53
PARA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
Achilleas K.Paralimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Division A
80.7Avg total
36.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)34.542.877.3-8.417%43%
Last 30 at home (16)35.543.278.8-7.819%56%
Last 30 away (14)33.342.475.6-9.114%29%
Last 10 (10)36.644.180.7-7.510%60%
Last 5 (5)37.047.884.8-10.820%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)33.644.277.8-10.78%44%
vs Similar (5)39.035.874.8+3.260%40%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paralimni) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A14/02
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Division A
87.9Avg total
43.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)41.241.482.5-0.247%67%
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.882.1-1.644%69%
Last 30 away (14)42.240.983.1+1.450%64%
Last 10 (10)43.644.387.9-0.750%90%
Last 5 (5)40.442.482.8-2.040%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.044.484.4-4.442%67%
vs Similar (11)40.539.279.7+1.445%64%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.139.683.7+4.657%71%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Paralimni win
ACHI win
no forecast
@ 3.10
PARA win
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Achilleas K. +4.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni -4.5
ACHI +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
PARA -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Achilleas K. 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: Achilleas K. over 37
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Paralimni 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: ACHI + total 78.5
ACHI & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
ACHI & under
no forecast
@ 5.50
1st half: Draw + total 78.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Paralimni (regulation)
ACHI
no forecast
@ 3.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
PARA
no forecast
@ 1.44

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ACHI win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
PARA win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ACHI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PARA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ACHI:PARA): ACHI wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Overtime: no95.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.9pp-
Paralimni (regulation)72.9%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
----0.7ppWon
Paralimni win75.3%1.21
WilliamHill
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathon Bet
1.20
-1.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.2
46.0%
50.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.512.0
64.9%
72.4%12.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.7
52.0%
50.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.6%
33.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws25.318.2
71.9%
72.4%18.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLWL
Paralimni
LLWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#5
-22.1
Net rating
-6.0
82.5
Offensive rating
92.4
104.6
Defensive rating
98.4
47.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
27.6%
66.1%
Assist %
53.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 92.4Defence104.6 · 98.4Shooting47.9% · 48.1%3-point %33.9% · 27.6%Ball care17.7% · 13.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Achilleas K. wins
7
Paralimni wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AApoel BC62-84
16/10/26HApollon88-90 OT
10/10/26HKeravnos62-95
06/03/26HApoel BC80-90
13/02/26AAEL65-76
06/02/26HAEK Larnaca90-92
01/02/26AApollon73-82
25/01/26HKeravnos64-94
16/01/26HAnorthosis67-57
11/01/26AParalimni86-89
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAEK Larnaca74-85
17/10/26AAEL77-89
11/10/26HAnorthosis92-79
08/04/26AApoel BC86-85
05/04/26HApollon80-87 OT
31/03/26AAEL82-99
26/03/26HAEK Larnaca74-90
21/03/26HKeravnos74-97
07/03/26HMorphou89-73
14/02/26AETHA Engomi103-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.775.062.0
Allowed / game89.792.584.0
Point differential-19.0-17.5-22.0
Avg total160.3167.5146.0
Over 159.533%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.083.077.0
Allowed / game84.382.089.0
Point differential-3.3+1.0-12.0
Avg total165.3165.0166.0
Over 159.567%50%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca440100%86.267.5+18.8
2 Keravnos440100%92.575.8+16.8
3 AEL43175%76.869.0+7.8
4 Apoel BC32167%81.072.7+8.3
5 ETHA Engomi42250%68.572.5-4.0
6 Paralimni31233%81.084.3-3.3
7 Apollon31233%73.789.3-15.7
8 Morphou41325%68.078.0-10.0
9 Anorthosis4040%75.282.2-7.0
10 Achilleas K.3030%70.789.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.3015201782
Paralimni2629241796
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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