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AEL vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-82
31-22 19-24 24-23 25-13
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.1
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Position#5
Record8-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
CyprusDivision ARound 21· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEL v Paralimni
17 Oct 2026
AEL89
PARA77
31 Mar 2026
AEL99
PARA82
02 Feb 2026
AEL75
PARA74
15 Apr 2025
AEL77
PARA69
26 Oct 2024
AEL99
PARA67
12 Feb 2024
AEL86
PARA42
16 Dec 2022
AEL92
PARA78
23 Jan 2022
AEL81
PARA75
24 Oct 2020
AEL65
PARA75
09 Feb 2020
AEL81
PARA60
25 Jan 2020
AEL79
PARA63
02 Mar 2019
AEL79
PARA63
19 Jan 2019
AEL80
PARA61
18 Feb 2015
AEL0
PARA20
31 Jan 2015
AEL0
PARA20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paralimni winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
48avg 70
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
106avg 70
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
105-83
105
83
+22
no box
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 70
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 70
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
87avg 70
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
63avg 70
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 70
A06/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
77avg 70
H21/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
96avg 70
A27/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
14-17
11-20
16-15
28-14
17-20
34-21
24-34
22-23
27-15
28-18
28-27
26-14
16-26
20-17
30-18
17-15
19-15
22-24
17-20
24-24
17-19
15-23
37-23
23-16
23-15
11-21
19-13
24-20
18-12
15-17
19-36
23-18
14-12
25-20
16-14
24-20
13-29
27-14
25-14
161.6Avg total
85.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.879.1160.9+2.870%
Season at home (10)80.478.6159.0+1.870%
Season away (10)83.379.6162.9+3.770%
Last 10 (10)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)82.476.0158.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.382.8156.1-9.411%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.479.5162.9+3.980%
vs Weaker (11)85.073.8158.8+11.291%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
50avg 67
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 67
H11/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
A16/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
65avg 67
H23/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 67
A02/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
96-99
96
99
-3
90avg 67
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
103-87
103
87
+16
95avg 67
A14/02
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
89-73
89
73
+16
82avg 67
H07/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 67
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 67
H26/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
19-17
17-24
10-26
22-21
25-26
16-21
26-18
25-21
21-17
20-23
22-31
16-24
19-19
17-18
18-17
15-17
15-19
24-22
20-17
25-16
19-32
30-20
22-31
27-17
31-23
24-18
21-29
24-21
19-16
24-17
22-19
18-29
23-30
21-17
12-21
19-15
27-30
18-26
10-19
168.1Avg total
82.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.082.0164.0+0.140%
Season at home (11)81.882.6164.5-0.845%
Season away (9)82.381.1163.4+1.233%
Last 10 (10)82.585.6168.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)87.289.2176.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.485.2157.6-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.278.8160.0+2.538%
vs Weaker (9)91.481.0172.4+10.478%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
AELParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A27/03
Division A
76.8Avg total
41.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.179.1+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.578.7+3.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.838.679.4+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.776.8+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.040.077.0-3.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.938.880.7+3.170%-
vs Weaker (11)43.435.979.3+7.591%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H11/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A16/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A14/02
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H26/03
Division A
85.3Avg total
43.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.980.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.381.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.839.480.2+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.285.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.445.892.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.943.982.8-5.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.636.877.4+3.962%-
vs Weaker (9)43.836.980.7+6.967%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.0
55.4%
51.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.2
33.1%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
71.5%11.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.7
52.8%
51.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.1
25.7%
32.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.7
71.7%
71.5%16.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWLWWWWWWL
Paralimni
LLWWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#5
+4.1
Net rating
-4.9
99.3
Offensive rating
92.3
95.2
Defensive rating
97.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.1%
3-point %
25.7%
66.2%
Assist %
53.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 92.3Defence95.2 · 97.2Shooting53.2% · 47.8%3-point %33.1% · 25.7%Ball care13.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 35.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ AEL   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEL wins
2
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
02/02/26AEL v Paralimni75-74
15/11/25Paralimni v AEL77-79
15/04/25AEL v Paralimni77-69
05/01/25Paralimni v AEL93-88
26/10/24AEL v Paralimni99-67
12/02/24AEL v Paralimni86-42
24/11/23Paralimni v AEL70-78
17/02/23Paralimni v AEL104-103 OT
16/12/22AEL v Paralimni92-78
23/01/22AEL v Paralimni81-75
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AApollon89-77
21/03/26HApoel BC78-64
06/03/26AApollon76-85
13/02/26HAchilleas K.76-65
07/02/26AAnorthosis93-89
02/02/26HParalimni75-74
24/01/26AMorphou92-75
17/01/26HETHA Engomi105-83
12/01/26AApoel BC103-89
04/01/26AKeravnos63-65
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HAEK Larnaca74-90
21/03/26HKeravnos74-97
07/03/26HMorphou89-73
14/02/26AETHA Engomi103-87
07/02/26HApoel BC96-99
02/02/26AAEL74-75
23/01/26HAEK Larnaca70-78
16/01/26AApollon88-92
11/01/26HAchilleas K.89-86
05/01/26AAnorthosis68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%70%70%
Points / game81.880.483.3
Allowed / game79.178.679.6
Point differential+2.8+1.8+3.7
Avg total160.9159.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLLWLL45%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%45%33%
Points / game82.081.882.3
Allowed / game82.082.681.1
Point differential+0.1-0.8+1.2
Avg total164.0164.5163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos2019195%90.572.5+18.0
2 AEK Larnaca2019195%88.072.2+15.8
3 AEL2014670%81.879.1+2.8
4 Apoel BC20101050%80.083.5-3.5
5 Paralimni2081240%82.082.0+0.1
6 Apollon2081240%83.986.2-2.3
7 Anorthosis1871139%75.179.2-4.2
8 Morphou1861233%78.185.4-7.3
9 ETHA Engomi1831517%82.394.0-11.7
10 Achilleas K.1821611%71.882.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL3119242599
Paralimni2224231382
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