Adelaide vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Dec 2010

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 92-79

20-17 29-21 21-18 22-23

Position#8

Record2-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game81.6

Adelaide 🏆

Townsville

Position#2

Record5-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game76.6

NBLRound 8

Other2010-11

Meetings · Adelaide v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

87-88

-1

H30/01

NBL

Townsville

87-102

102

-15

A10/02

NBL

Wolves

79-82 OT

-3

H13/02

NBL

Perth

74-69

H17/10

NBL

Cairns

74-85

-11

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-96

-14

H31/10

NBL

Sydney

87-75

+12

H06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-82

-4

H12/11

NBL

Cairns

71-87

-16

A20/11

NBL

Townsville

73-77

-4

A21/11

NBL

20-23

20-22

26-19

21-24

27-31

16-20

18-31

26-20

14-23

22-17

15-19

17-9

19-13

16-12

15-18

24-26

15-21

23-20

17-25

19-19

24-31

21-14

19-22

18-29

25-22

24-20

23-22

15-11

23-31

17-20

24-13

14-18

21-24

14-25

19-20

17-18

22-22

16-29

19-13

16-13

163.5Avg total

79.2Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	77.0	81.6	158.6	-4.6	29%
Season at home (4)	80.2	80.5	160.8	-0.2	50%
Season away (3)	72.7	83.0	155.7	-10.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	84.3	163.5	-5.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	83.4	161.6	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	80.4	87.9	168.3	-7.5	13%
vs Similar (15)	86.1	81.7	167.7	+4.4	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

82-53

+29

H24/02

NBL

Wolves

76-88

-12

A27/02

NBL

Cairns

79-70

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

70-71

-1

A22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

90-94 OT

-4

A24/10

NBL

Sydney

80-79

H30/10

NBL

Perth

86-101

101

-15

H05/11

NBL

Sydney

64-59

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

77-73

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-66

+28

H26/11

NBL

23-9

21-17

15-11

23-16

17-29

27-23

18-21

14-15

16-15

22-19

23-20

18-16

26-26

20-9

10-18

14-18

17-12

28-18

24-27

11-23

26-27

18-18

22-13

14-21

20-20

24-30

18-18

24-33

16-19

16-15

16-9

16-16

22-22

29-16

13-19

13-16

28-16

21-16

29-19

16-15

155.2Avg total

79.8Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.0	76.6	156.6	+3.4	62%
Season at home (5)	83.2	77.8	161.0	+5.4	80%
Season away (3)	74.7	74.7	149.3	+0.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	75.4	155.2	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	75.6	155.8	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	101.0	187.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	81.9	82.4	164.3	-0.6	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	86.2	77.4	163.5	+8.8	92%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.1	43.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	26.0	49.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.7	20.9	43.5	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	21.7	40.5	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	30.0	54.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.8	17.5	40.2	+5.3	85%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

40-45

-5

H30/01

NBL

Townsville

43-51

-8

A10/02

NBL

Wolves

36-40

-4

H13/02

NBL

Perth

35-25

+10

H17/10

NBL

Cairns

38-41

-3

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-45

H31/10

NBL

Sydney

49-42

H06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-51

-11

H12/11

NBL

Cairns

35-49

-14

A20/11

NBL

Townsville

38-51

-13

A21/11

NBL

83.9Avg total

39.9Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	42.7	85.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	39.9	81.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	45.5	88.7	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	44.0	83.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.6	89.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.5	44.8	84.3	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	45.5	40.6	86.1	+4.9	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

44-26

+18

H24/02

NBL

Wolves

44-52

-8

A27/02

NBL

Cairns

38-34

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-35

+11

A22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

45-30

+15

A24/10

NBL

Sydney

44-45

-1

H30/10

NBL

Perth

44-50

-6

H05/11

NBL

Sydney

32-34

-2

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

51-38

+13

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

49-32

+17

H26/11

NBL

81.3Avg total

43.7Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.6	83.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	38.9	82.8	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	42.6	84.1	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	37.6	81.3	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.8	83.8	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	50.0	94.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.9	42.3	83.2	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.0	37.8	82.8	+7.2	77%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.9	39.4	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.8	33.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.9	39.9	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.9	35.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	33.0	57.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	18.6	39.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.4	79.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	39.8	77.7	-1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	40.9	81.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.9	77.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.4	42.1	82.5	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.1	38.7	76.8	-0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.3	79.8	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	38.2	79.7	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	36.4	71.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.8	72.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	51.0	93.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.3	39.2	79.6	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.6	38.5	79.2	+2.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
21/11/10	Townsville v Adelaide	77-73
10/02/10	Townsville v Adelaide	102-87
30/01/10	Adelaide v Townsville	87-88
27/11/09	Townsville v Adelaide	100-88
09/10/09	Adelaide v Townsville	90-89

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/10	A	Townsville	73-77
20/11/10	A	Cairns	71-87
12/11/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-82
06/11/10	H	Sydney	87-75
31/10/10	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-96
23/10/10	A	Cairns	74-85
17/10/10	H	Perth	74-69
13/02/10	H	Wolves	79-82 OT
10/02/10	A	Townsville	87-102
30/01/10	H	Townsville	87-88

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/10	H	Melbourne United	94-66
21/11/10	H	Adelaide	77-73
13/11/10	A	Sydney	64-59
05/11/10	H	Perth	86-101
30/10/10	H	Sydney	80-79
24/10/10	A	Gold Coast	90-94 OT
22/10/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	70-71
16/10/10	H	Cairns	79-70
27/02/10	A	Wolves	76-88
24/02/10	H	Wolves	82-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	29%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	50%	0%
Points / game	77.0	80.2	72.7
Allowed / game	81.6	80.5	83.0
Point differential	-4.6	-0.2	-10.3
Avg total	158.6	160.8	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	62%	80%	33%
Points / game	80.0	83.2	74.7
Allowed / game	76.6	77.8	74.7
Point differential	+3.4	+5.4	+0.0
Avg total	156.6	161.0	149.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	8	7	1	88%	84.4	76.1	+8.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	8	6	2	75%	84.0	83.5	+0.5
3	Cairns	7	5	2	71%	82.4	75.0	+7.4
4	Townsville	8	5	3	62%	80.0	76.6	+3.4
5	Perth	9	5	4	56%	86.9	80.2	+6.7
6	Adelaide	7	2	5	29%	77.0	81.6	-4.6
7	Gold Coast	7	2	5	29%	83.0	90.1	-7.1
8	Sydney	6	1	5	17%	73.2	78.5	-5.3
9	Melbourne United	8	1	7	12%	76.5	88.4	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	20	29	21	22	92
Townsville	17	21	18	23	79

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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