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Adelaide vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 102-70
28-20 37-17 27-16 10-17
Position#2
Record15-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#8
Record9-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.9
AustraliaNBLRound 21
Other2013-14
Meetings · Adelaide v Townsville
12 Dec 2015
ADEL76
TOWN66
14 Nov 2015
ADEL89
TOWN65
01 Feb 2015
ADEL84
TOWN77
27 Dec 2014
ADEL91
TOWN84
08 Mar 2014
ADEL102
TOWN70
18 Jan 2014
ADEL92
TOWN79
04 Jan 2013
ADEL61
TOWN75
15 Dec 2012
ADEL75
TOWN80
12 Feb 2012
ADEL79
TOWN74
23 Dec 2010
ADEL97
TOWN99
03 Dec 2010
ADEL92
TOWN79
30 Jan 2010
ADEL87
TOWN88
09 Oct 2009
ADEL90
TOWN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H04/01
NBL
Sydney
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H12/01
NBL
Townsville
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#6
L
93-105
93
105
-12
A26/01
NBL
Cairns
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A09/02
NBL
Perth
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
99-82
99
82
+17
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H23/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A28/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
24-23
24-13
25-25
24-28
22-21
22-31
21-22
25-24
31-22
19-17
17-16
17-19
27-29
20-26
29-31
22-23
32-25
13-12
22-27
19-28
21-32
24-26
16-16
13-27
11-21
19-16
18-21
29-27
24-14
20-25
26-16
26-17
20-31
25-21
25-23
19-24
22-22
18-25
30-20
178.5Avg total
88.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.988.6177.5+0.362%
Season at home (11)92.184.5176.5+7.691%
Season away (13)86.292.1178.3-5.838%
Last 10 (10)88.789.8178.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)85.090.4175.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
vs Similar (16)85.483.0168.4+2.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.392.2182.5-1.950%
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TownsvilleAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A18/01
NBL
Cairns
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H24/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H31/01
NBL
Perth
#1
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H07/02
NBL
Cairns
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A08/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A14/02
NBL
Sydney
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H22/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
A01/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
22-31
17-19
16-17
13-13
20-31
29-22
17-24
20-14
19-18
12-12
29-23
23-24
27-21
12-21
26-9
21-15
21-22
25-21
23-24
16-28
23-26
17-26
19-10
26-19
23-20
16-17
25-27
25-22
25-23
25-25
24-32
28-22
14-15
29-33
27-28
21-24
16-21
21-19
11-17
172.6Avg total
85.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.087.9172.9-2.836%
Season at home (13)87.186.6173.7+0.546%
Season away (12)82.889.2172.1-6.425%
Last 10 (10)85.886.8172.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)88.492.4180.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.587.6172.1-3.138%
vs Similar (22)82.085.2167.3-3.236%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
AdelaideTownsville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H04/01
NBL
Sydney
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H12/01
NBL
Townsville
#8
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A26/01
NBL
Cairns
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A09/02
NBL
Perth
#1
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/02
NBL
92.3Avg total
45.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.487.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.841.289.0+6.567%-
Last 30 away (18)41.144.885.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.992.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.848.689.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.543.283.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (16)42.940.483.3+2.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.448.294.6-1.840%-
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A18/01
NBL
Cairns
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H31/01
NBL
Perth
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H07/02
NBL
Cairns
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
NBL
Sydney
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/03
NBL
86.1Avg total
42.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.985.4-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.044.486.4-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.145.384.4-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.486.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.249.592.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (22)39.543.282.7-3.632%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Adelaide wins
7
Townsville wins
DateGameScore
18/01/14Adelaide v Townsville92-79
31/12/13Townsville v Adelaide89-90
06/12/13Townsville v Adelaide98-94
04/01/13Adelaide v Townsville61-75
31/12/12Townsville v Adelaide86-82
15/12/12Adelaide v Townsville75-80
30/11/12Townsville v Adelaide75-73
12/02/12Adelaide v Townsville79-74
05/02/12Townsville v Adelaide89-71
25/01/12Townsville v Adelaide79-69
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/14AIllawarra Hawks89-91
23/02/14HNew Zealand Breakers96-92
16/02/14AMelbourne United99-82
14/02/14APerth61-85
09/02/14AIllawarra Hawks80-102
01/02/14HCairns89-87
26/01/14ASydney93-105
18/01/14HTownsville92-79
12/01/14HSydney89-102
04/01/14HNew Zealand Breakers99-73
Townsvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/14APerth69-81
01/03/14AMelbourne United109-106 OT
27/02/14ANew Zealand Breakers99-102
22/02/14HSydney90-83
14/02/14AIllawarra Hawks75-90
08/02/14ACairns90-82
07/02/14HPerth88-75
31/01/14HIllawarra Hawks80-67
24/01/14HCairns79-90
18/01/14AAdelaide79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%91%38%
Points / game88.992.186.2
Allowed / game88.684.592.1
Point differential+0.3+7.6-5.8
Avg total177.5176.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)100% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville
NBL 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game85.087.182.8
Allowed / game87.986.689.2
Point differential-2.8+0.5-6.4
Avg total172.9173.7172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth2620677%86.777.3+9.4
2 Adelaide2415962%88.988.6+0.3
3 Melbourne United25131252%81.681.8-0.2
4 Sydney23111248%82.084.3-2.3
5 Illawarra Hawks25111444%81.483.0-1.6
6 Cairns26111542%82.484.3-1.9
7 New Zealand Breakers26101638%87.989.2-1.3
8 Townsville2591636%85.087.9-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide28372710102
Townsville2017161770
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