AEK Athens vs Rethymno Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 90-78

19-14 22-20 25-20 24-24

Position#3

Record19-7

FormWLWWL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game70.5

AEK Athens 🏆

Rethymno

Position#6

Record15-14

FormLWWLW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game76.3

Basket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · AEK Athens v Rethymno

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rethymno winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PAOK

77-71

H25/02

Basket League

Monaco

69-68

H28/02

Champions League

Promitheas

86-67

+19

A04/03

Basket League

Monaco

87-95

-8

A08/03

Champions League

Olympiacos

63-70

-7

H13/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#12

89-63

+26

A18/03

Basket League

Panathinaikos

87-106 OT

106

-19

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

68-64

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

82-81

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

77-81

-4

A13/04

Basket League

16-27

21-12

22-15

18-17

22-15

12-20

16-18

19-15

18-21

28-18

23-11

17-17

19-30

21-17

21-28

26-20

19-16

18-19

10-17

16-18

22-21

24-12

21-9

24-23

18-18

20-16

15-20

15-17

23-19

16-15

14-13

12-19

22-21

26-15

22-26

24-15

23-22

10-17

20-27

155.1Avg total

78.5Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.0	70.5	149.6	+8.5	73%
Season at home (13)	81.6	70.6	152.2	+11.0	85%
Season away (13)	76.5	70.5	146.9	+6.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	76.6	155.1	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	79.0	159.6	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	84.3	157.0	-11.7	0%
vs Similar (4)	76.5	79.2	155.8	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	79.5	71.4	151.0	+8.1	78%

This opponent (Rethymno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rethymno

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

#11

84-73

+11

H04/03

Basket League

PAOK

73-70

H11/03

Basket League

Promitheas

84-80

A18/03

Basket League

Olympiacos

63-70

-7

H27/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#12

78-67

+11

A01/04

Basket League

Panathinaikos

74-101

101

-27

H10/04

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

80-67

+13

A13/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

84-71 OT

+13

H20/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

73-78

-5

A23/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

69-55

+14

H26/04

Basket League

20-8

15-26

24-19

25-20

25-15

14-22

19-20

15-13

25-21

18-23

22-24

19-12

18-19

14-17

13-15

18-19

11-16

23-18

21-18

23-15

23-32

18-23

16-25

17-21

22-15

23-13

13-16

22-23

14-22

10-17

21-12

18-12

16-14

23-18

19-25

15-21

22-9

15-23

15-15

17-8

149.4Avg total

76.2Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	75.1	76.3	151.4	-1.1	52%
Season at home (15)	79.5	72.8	152.3	+6.7	73%
Season away (14)	70.4	80.0	150.4	-9.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	73.2	149.4	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	74.4	150.4	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	68.7	85.8	154.5	-17.2	17%
vs Similar (15)	75.5	74.6	150.1	+0.9	60%
vs Weaker (8)	79.2	72.2	151.5	+7.0	62%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensRethymno

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.1	39.5	-2.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.8	18.4	38.3	+1.4	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	24.8	43.3	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	15.6	35.1	+3.9	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	17.7	39.3	+3.8	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	19.3	35.5	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	62%	-

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PAOK

37-39

-2

H25/02

Basket League

Monaco

34-35

-1

H28/02

Champions League

Promitheas

46-39

A04/03

Basket League

Monaco

40-47

-7

A08/03

Champions League

Olympiacos

37-35

H13/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#12

44-42

A18/03

Basket League

Panathinaikos

42-41

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

38-36

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

34-40

-6

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

47-37

+10

A13/04

Basket League

79.0Avg total

39.9Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.8	77.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	34.7	75.9	+6.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.9	78.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.1	79.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	38.3	77.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.3	36.1	77.5	+5.2	65%	-

This opponent (Rethymno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RethymnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-34

H04/03

Basket League

PAOK

39-37

H11/03

Basket League

Promitheas

43-44

-1

A18/03

Basket League

Olympiacos

32-36

-4

H27/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#12

34-34

A01/04

Basket League

Panathinaikos

41-55

-14

H10/04

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

45-28

+17

A13/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

24-39

-15

H20/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-32

A23/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

37-32

H26/04

Basket League

74.0Avg total

36.9Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.2	74.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	37.7	74.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	38.7	74.4	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	37.1	74.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.2	74.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.7	43.8	78.5	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.1	38.3	73.3	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.5	34.8	75.2	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.8	36.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.8	34.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.0	34.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.7	32.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.2	21.5	36.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.9	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.7	37.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.7	36.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.7	38.1	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	20.3	36.5	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	19.2	38.9	+0.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.2	37.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	19.7	34.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.0	18.0	37.1	+1.0	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.4	35.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.8	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	17.7	36.3	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	18.2	37.4	+0.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.0	73.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	34.5	72.3	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	37.5	74.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	34.6	72.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	34.0	71.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.0	36.3	66.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	38.2	35.3	73.5	+2.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.5	74.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	34.1	74.4	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.9	75.3	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.3	72.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	35.6	70.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.1	35.3	73.3	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.8	37.5	76.2	+1.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Rethymno wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/17	Rethymno v AEK Athens	72-65
05/11/16	AEK Athens v Rethymno	80-62
25/04/15	Rethymno v AEK Athens	80-79
28/12/14	AEK Athens v Rethymno	85-77

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/17	A	Aris	77-81
08/04/17	H	Kolossos Rhodes	82-81
01/04/17	A	Lefkadas	68-64
26/03/17	H	Panathinaikos	87-106 OT
18/03/17	A	Koroivos	89-63
13/03/17	H	Olympiacos	63-70
08/03/17	A	Monaco	87-95
04/03/17	A	Promitheas	86-67
28/02/17	H	Monaco	69-68
25/02/17	H	PAOK	77-71

Rethymnolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/17	H	Kolossos Rhodes	69-55
23/04/17	A	Kolossos Rhodes	73-78
20/04/17	H	Kolossos Rhodes	84-71 OT
13/04/17	A	Lefkadas	80-67
10/04/17	H	Panathinaikos	74-101
01/04/17	A	Koroivos	78-67
27/03/17	H	Olympiacos	63-70
18/03/17	A	Promitheas	84-80
11/03/17	H	PAOK	73-70
04/03/17	H	G.S. Kymis	84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	73%
Home	WWLLW	85%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	73%	85%	62%
Points / game	79.0	81.6	76.5
Allowed / game	70.5	70.6	70.5
Point differential	+8.5	+11.0	+6.0
Avg total	149.6	152.2	146.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	54%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Rethymno

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	52%
Home	WLLWW	73%
Away	LWWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	52%	73%	29%
Points / game	75.1	79.5	70.4
Allowed / game	76.3	72.8	80.0
Point differential	-1.1	+6.7	-9.6
Avg total	151.4	152.3	150.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	40%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	26	25	1	96%	84.8	65.6	+19.2
2	Olympiacos	26	25	1	96%	80.6	63.5	+17.2
3	AEK Athens	26	19	7	73%	79.0	70.5	+8.5
4	Aris	27	16	11	59%	75.6	71.4	+4.2
5	PAOK	29	16	13	55%	75.8	76.2	-0.5
6	Rethymno	29	15	14	52%	75.1	76.3	-1.1
7	Kolossos Rhodes	29	14	15	48%	71.4	72.9	-1.5
8	Lavrio	28	11	17	39%	72.4	75.6	-3.2
9	Promitheas	26	10	16	38%	71.4	74.2	-2.8
10	Trikala	26	10	16	38%	69.9	75.3	-5.5
11	G.S. Kymis	26	8	18	31%	70.0	77.8	-7.7
12	Koroivos	26	8	18	31%	72.3	82.8	-10.5
13	Apollon Patras	26	7	19	27%	69.2	75.3	-6.2
14	Lefkadas	26	4	22	15%	68.5	78.2	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	19	22	25	24	90
Rethymno	14	20	20	24	78

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Rethymno Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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