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AEK Athens

Greece BCL 2-1 · 2/4 Group 1 Greek A1 2-4 · 9/14
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LWWLWLLLWL
Points / game
81.9
allowed 81.1
Over 165.5
42%
game total, 36 games
Game total
163.0
both teams per game
Win rate
56%
20-16
Margin / game
+0.7
points
1st half
41.2
points scored / game
Overtime
0%
games to overtime
Sections
AEK Athens

AEK Athens in the 2026-27 season sit at 4-5, with a 2-1 record in the Basketball Champions League where they are second of four and a 2-4 mark in the Greek Basket League, ninth of fourteen. Their form over the last five games is 1-4, highlighted by a 74-83 home loss to Panathinaikos, a 72-66 away win over Szombathely and a 84-95 defeat to Vikos. In the Greek league the net rating is -1.3, placing them eighth of fourteen teams and down from fifth a few games ago. Home play yields 3-2, 84.0 points for and 85.6 against, while away results are 1-3, 69.0 for and 78.5 against. Frank Bartley leads with 14.0 points per game, DeAndre Pinckney grabs 7.7 rebounds and Thomas Heurtel discharges 7.0 assists. Their next outing is a home BCL match against Szombathely on 18 November, where the Pythia model gives a 65% chance of victory.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

AEK Athens stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Greek Basket League (2025-26 + 2026-27) AEK Athens score 81.9 points a game and allow 81.1 across 36 games – 42% of their games go over 165.5 and they clear 82.5 team points in 47%. They win 56% (63% at home, 47% away), by +0.7 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

AEK AthensLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 80
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 80
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 80
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 80
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 80
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 80
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 80
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 80
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 80
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
161.4Avg total
78.8Scored
82.7Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
20.4
19.8
+0.7
won 53%
Q2
20.8
21.2
-0.4
won 50%
Q3
20.1
20.1
-0.0
won 47%
Q4
20.6
20.1
+0.5
won 42%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 58% of 36 games, the 2nd half in 50%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=19AWAY n=17
83.6
Points / game
79.9
80.8
Allowed / game
81.5
164.5
Game total
161.4
37%
Over 165.5
47%
63%
Win %
47%
+2.8
Margin
-1.6
41.5
1st half scored
40.9
63%
Won the 1st half
53%
37%
Won by 10+
24%
Points scored per game
5%10%15%19%11%60-646%65-698%70-7419%75-7919%80-848%85-8914%90-943%95-9911%100-104
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
4%8%12%17%3%55-596%60-646%65-6917%70-7417%75-7914%80-8414%85-898%90-948%95-998%100-104
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 82.9 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)80.983.484.885.475.880.950%
vs Stronger (11)74.786.379.493.670.880.227%
vs Similar (13)82.281.882.880.581.283.854%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.895.584.877.576.083%
Over 165.5 (game total)50% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
5thof 1556%
Attack: points scored per game
6thof 1581.9
Defence: points allowed per game
7thof 1581.1
Game total: both teams' points per game
10thof 15163.0
Ranked against the 15 teams of the league over 2025-26 + 2026-27. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
3rdof 1547.4%
2-point accuracy
4thof 1554.3%
3-point accuracy
5thof 1535.6%
Free-throw accuracy
3rdof 1576.2%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
4 Maroussi45.5%
5 PAOK45.4%
7 Aris44.6%
8 Mykonos44.3%
10 Panionios43.9%
11 Vikos43.5%
13 Peristeri43.4%
14 Iraklis43.2%
15 Lefkadas42.9%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
3 PAOK54.9%
5 Maroussi54.0%
7 Mykonos51.5%
9 Iraklis51.4%
10 Panionios51.4%
11 Peristeri51.3%
13 Lefkadas50.3%
14 Aris50.0%
15 Vikos47.2%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
3 Aris37.3%
4 Vikos37.3%
6 Mykonos34.7%
7 PAOK34.2%
8 Maroussi34.1%
12 Panionios32.4%
13 Iraklis32.2%
14 Peristeri31.5%
15 Lefkadas30.6%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
4 Maroussi76.2%
5 Aris75.6%
7 PAOK73.8%
10 Vikos71.8%
11 Mykonos71.0%
12 Panionios70.7%
13 Iraklis69.9%
15 Lefkadas69.6%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
47.4%+1.7pp v the Greek A1 average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the Greek A1 average
#3 of 15 in Greek A1
✋ 2-pointers
54.3%+0.7pp v the Greek A1 average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the Greek A1 average
#4 of 15 in Greek A1
🌟 3-pointers
35.6%+0.8pp v the Greek A1 average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the Greek A1 average
#5 of 15 in Greek A1
🏹 Free throws
76.2%+2.3pp v the Greek A1 average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the Greek A1 average
#3 of 15 in Greek A1

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK AthensLeague average
97.3
Offensive rating
92.1
98.7
Defensive rating
92.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.5%
3-point %
34.4%
38.0%
3-point attempt rate
42.4%
65.4%
Assist %
63.2%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 92.1Defence98.7 · 92.1Shooting54.2% · 51.0%3-point %36.5% · 34.4%Ball care15.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.36
■ AEK Athens   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 165.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+10817%2-04-0100%WWWWW
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+5929%3-03-0100%WWWWW
3 Aris65183%84.571.5+7817%3-02-1-WWWWW
4 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+8750%3-02-1-WWWLW
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+180%3-01-20%WLLWW
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-750%3-10-250%LLWLW
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-4250%2-01-367%WLWLL
8 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-1929%1-21-250%LLWWL
9 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-2714%2-10-333%LWLLL
10 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+1943%2-20-20%LWLLW
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-340%1-20-30%LLLWL
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-6617%0-31-233%WLLLL
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-7633%1-10-4-LLLWL
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-9829%0-41-1100%LWLLL
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 165.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
161.4Avg total
78.8Scored
82.7Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 165.5
Last 30 (30)80.983.4164.3-2.550%50%
Last 30 at home (17)84.885.4170.1-0.659%59%
Last 30 away (13)75.880.9156.8-5.138%38%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%30%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%45%
vs Similar (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%46%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%67%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 165.5 = the league line
Over 165.550%
n=30
Under 165.550%
n=30
Won the game50%
n=30
Lost the game50%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025-26 + 2026-27, Greek A1 games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 165.5)Team points (line 82.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (36)163.0164.5161.481.983.679.9+0.7+2.8-1.6
vs Stronger (7)172.4165.5181.776.772.282.7-19.0-21.0-16.3
vs Similar (14)157.6165.1150.178.583.473.6-0.6+1.7-3.0
vs Weaker (15)163.6163.4163.987.489.585.0+11.2+15.6+6.1
% over line / win42%37%47%47%58%35%56%63%47%
% under line / loss58%63%53%53%42%65%44%37%53%
Scoring dials
Points / game81.9
League avg 82.9 · below by 1.1
Allowed / game81.1
League avg 82.9 · below by 1.8
1st half scored41.2
League avg 41.5 · below by 0.3
3-pointers made7.8
League avg 8.9 · below by 1.1
Free throws made17.7
League avg 15.5 · above by 2.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025-26 + 2026-27)
Over 77.5 pts64%
n=36
Under 77.5 pts36%
n=36
Over 82.5 pts47%
n=36
Under 82.5 pts53%
n=36
Over 87.5 pts31%
n=36
Under 87.5 pts69%
n=36
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 155.567%
n=36
Under 155.533%
n=36
Over 165.542%
n=36
Under 165.558%
n=36
Over 175.528%
n=36
Under 175.572%
🔥 70%+n=36
Result markets
Win56%
n=36
Win by 6+ (-5.5)44%
n=36
Cover +5.567%
n=36
Win by 10+31%
n=36
Win the 1st half58%
n=36
Overtime0%
n=36
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

AEK Athens: 87.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.5
53.1%
50.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.3
38.3%
34.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.0
76.6%
71.8%16.0
Their opponents take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
N. JosephGreek A1 BCL7728.913.37.10.677.3%100.0%
Giannoulis LarentzakisGreek A1 BCL7220.57.72.73.132.7%23.3%
Dimitrios KatsivelisGreek A1 BCL6023.68.34.51.542.5%50.0%
Frank BartleyGreek A1 BCL5527.814.02.42.439.7%26.9%
Landers Nolley IIGreek A1 BCL6622.210.83.21.355.0%40.0%
Lukas LekaviciusGreek A1 BCL7117.04.91.32.041.9%45.5%
Dimitris FlionisGreek A1 BCL7715.23.90.72.042.3%50.0%
DeAndre PinckneyGreek A1 BCL3329.08.37.71.040.0%22.2%
Georgios TsalmpourisGreek A1 BCL7112.34.01.11.134.5%26.7%
Thomas HeurtelGreek A1 BCL4019.86.52.27.028.6%21.1%
Greg Brown IIIGreek A1 BCL4017.910.24.20.264.0%28.6%
D. WilliamsGreek A1 BCL3323.08.33.00.742.9%37.5%
G. SkordilisGreek A1 BCL404.72.21.00.066.7%-
V. ChartonasGreek A1101.83.00.00.0100.0%100.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
3.9
12 rated players
Greg Brown III10.5 pts6.9
Thomas Heurtel6.5 pts6.2
Gian Clavell1.3 pts5.9
G. Skordilis2.1 pts5.2
Adonis Arms6.9 pts4.4
Frank Bartley15.9 pts3.9
Marko Pecarski4.2 pts3.7
N. Joseph13.3 pts3.1
D. Williams8.3 pts2.1
R. Gray12.6 pts1.6
C. Silva15.8 pts1.0
Player market rates – share of games
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
2025-26 + 2026-27, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
72%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
33-13favourite won / lost
Across 46 games of AEK Athens, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 72% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
AEK Athens
v
Szombathely
Wed 18 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Pythia: AEK Athens 65%
home 65%away 35%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: AEK Athens v Szombathely Wed 18 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=24
2023-24
n=29
2024-25
n=28
2025-26
n=29
2026-27
n=7
Trend
Points scored / game76.786.184.283.575.1
Points allowed / game78.686.381.481.579.6
Game total155.2172.4165.6165.0154.7
Over 155.542%93%86%69%57%
Over 165.525%76%46%48%14%
Over 175.521%38%14%31%14%
Team points over 82.529%62%57%48%43%
Win %50%41%61%62%29%
Home win %58%53%80%67%50%
Away win %42%29%38%57%0%
Margin / game-1.9-0.2+2.8+2.0-4.4
Won by 10+21%21%43%34%14%
Close games won (5 or fewer)100%22%62%60%33%
Overtime %4%0%7%0%0%
1st half total77.586.082.283.875.7
Won the 1st half46%41%61%59%57%
3-point attempt rate41%34%36%36%39%
Effective FG%51%52%54%54%51%
Pace72.275.574.773.0-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovAEK Athens v Lefkadas Basket League73-77L
08 NovAEK Athens v Panathinaikos Basket League74-83L
04 NovSzombathely v AEK Athens Champions League66-72W
31 OctVikos v AEK Athens Basket League95-84L
24 OctPAOK v AEK Athens Basket League65-62L
21 OctAEK Athens v Antwerp Giants Champions League76-103L
17 OctAEK Athens v Mykonos Basket League84-79W
10 OctAris v AEK Athens Basket League88-58L
07 OctAEK Athens v Salon Vilpas Champions League95-93W
03 OctAEK Athens v Maroussi Basket League91-70W
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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