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AEK Athens vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-64
17-11 25-26 28-11 14-16
Position#11
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#13
Record5-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 9
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H05/11
Greek Cup
Strasbourg
#16
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A07/11
Champions League
Koroivos
#13
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H11/11
Basket League
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H15/11
Champions League
Panionios
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H18/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/12
Basket League
Bayreuth
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A06/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Estudiantes
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A12/12
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A16/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-10
10-16
31-25
11-19
18-20
18-18
31-23
26-19
25-16
14-16
21-9
27-20
23-19
22-20
19-14
21-27
25-23
19-12
18-11
18-23
14-13
16-22
24-22
11-25
24-19
20-16
18-20
22-12
17-25
12-13
15-12
14-18
20-23
21-15
30-22
19-29
17-16
15-23
14-18
151.3Avg total
77.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.483.1167.5+1.250%
Season at home (4)84.081.5165.5+2.550%
Season away (4)84.884.8169.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)77.274.1151.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)72.277.2149.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.279.6148.8-10.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.681.7159.2-4.133%
vs Weaker (15)83.374.6157.9+8.780%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H05/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A11/11
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H14/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H18/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
77-87 OT
77
87
-10
A02/12
Lega A
Estudiantes
#14
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H09/12
Lega A
Banvit
#7
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A13/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A17/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
20-27
20-24
26-22
13-22
18-14
21-12
24-18
30-13
15-30
25-23
14-18
23-17
18-13
15-21
14-16
27-17
18-24
23-15
16-24
16-22
14-17
19-15
21-16
18-20
22-13
16-23
24-25
20-14
13-21
16-19
17-14
17-15
19-21
10-28
16-26
25-19
12-17
24-25
10-29
158.7Avg total
77.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.080.8162.8+1.262%
Season at home (4)89.284.5173.8+4.875%
Season away (4)74.877.0151.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)77.081.7158.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)71.283.2154.4-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.078.4156.4-0.565%
vs Weaker (8)82.578.5161.0+4.075%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
AEK AthensVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H05/11
Greek Cup
Strasbourg
#16
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A07/11
Champions League
Koroivos
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/11
Basket League
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/11
Champions League
Panionios
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
Basket League
Bayreuth
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H10/12
Basket League
Estudiantes
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/12
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/12
Basket League
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.938.778.6+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)36.839.876.6-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.039.474.4-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.739.773.3-6.011%-
vs Weaker (15)42.338.981.3+3.467%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A11/11
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H14/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A02/12
Lega A
Estudiantes
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/12
Lega A
Banvit
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/12
Lega A
76.2Avg total
38.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.976.6+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.537.276.7+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.476.4-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.976.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.871.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.040.079.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.836.574.2+1.350%-
vs Weaker (8)41.042.083.0-1.038%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.1
51.4%
52.6%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.8
40.4%
34.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.7
71.8%
73.8%12.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
0
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
17/10/17Venezia v AEK Athens101-103 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/17APAOK65-86
12/12/17AEstudiantes85-78
10/12/17HOlympiacos66-62
06/12/17ABayreuth73-80
03/12/17ALavrio72-80
18/11/17HPanionios83-73
15/11/17HPetrol Olimpija91-73
11/11/17HKoroivos86-60
07/11/17AStrasbourg78-80
05/11/17HPanathinaikos73-69
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/17ABrescia71-90
13/12/17ABanvit62-90
09/12/17HReggiana66-68
06/12/17AEstudiantes80-81
02/12/17AAvellino77-87 OT
18/11/17HPistoia84-80
14/11/17HBayreuth70-67
11/11/17ACantu93-92 OT
07/11/17APetrol Olimpija76-66
05/11/17HTorino91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.484.084.8
Allowed / game83.181.584.8
Point differential+1.2+2.5+0.0
Avg total167.5165.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Venezia
Champions League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game82.089.274.8
Allowed / game80.884.577.0
Point differential+1.2+4.8-2.2
Avg total162.8173.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco990100%85.166.1+19.0
2 Ludwigsburg1513287%83.568.5+15.1
3 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
4 Tenerife97278%79.966.8+13.1
5 Besiktas97278%76.670.4+6.1
6 Oldenburg96367%88.881.0+7.8
7 Neptunas96367%84.877.2+7.6
8 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
9 Banvit96367%78.274.4+3.8
10 Nymburk96367%80.276.8+3.4
11 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
12 Karsiyaka117464%85.483.8+1.5
13 Strasbourg85362%78.174.2+3.9
14 Bayreuth85362%82.979.9+3.0
15 Venezia85362%82.080.8+1.2
16 Nanterre106460%79.275.3+3.9
17 Chalon/Saone95456%73.972.7+1.2
18 Estudiantes116555%80.078.0+2.0
19 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
20 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
21 Avellino84450%74.972.6+2.2
22 AEK Athens84450%84.483.1+1.2
23 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
24 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
25 Murcia84450%79.080.4-1.4
26 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
27 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
28 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
29 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
30 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
31 Bonn115645%75.674.5+1.2
32 Sassari94544%79.881.0-1.2
33 Ventspils94544%73.675.7-2.1
34 Aris94544%67.972.3-4.4
35 Oostende94544%71.176.2-5.1
36 Juventus114736%80.086.2-6.2
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 Petrol Olimpija93633%73.879.6-5.8
39 PAOK93633%71.378.4-7.1
40 Capo d'Orlando113827%67.071.1-4.1
41 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
42 Enisey82625%72.982.0-9.1
43 Zielona Gora92722%73.277.8-4.6
44 Hapoel Holon92722%76.785.6-8.9
45 Gaziantep92722%72.486.4-14.0
46 HydroTruck Radom112918%73.579.3-5.8
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1725281484
Venezia1126111664
← all games of the day
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