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AEK Larnaca vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-68
25-9 21-21 18-19 23-19
Position#25
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#40
Record1-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#3
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A31/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A09/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H14/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
A18/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H21/04
Division A
Astana
#40
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
L
50-76
50
76
-26
H06/11
Division A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
L
78-89 OT
78
89
-11
A13/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
17-15
10-18
20-9
14-22
15-14
22-11
18-20
20-22
16-14
15-20
26-26
13-10
14-23
15-13
20-16
14-11
22-22
22-14
18-20
16-20
25-20
19-19
14-19
24-20
19-15
16-17
12-23
3-21
22-16
13-19
12-20
28-19
27-22
23-17
23-26
20-14
21-14
10-17
19-25
149.8Avg total
74.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.079.0161.0+3.033%
Season at home (2)86.079.5165.5+6.550%
Season away (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.775.1149.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)74.880.4155.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)73.370.7144.0+2.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)72.160.6132.7+11.465%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H07/05
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
66-99
66
99
-33
A11/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H18/10
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#14
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H22/10
VTB United League
Nymburk
#8
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A25/10
VTB United League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#10
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A07/11
VTB United League
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#12
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H14/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
25-28
14-27
17-27
13-22
15-25
27-26
11-26
23-28
23-23
21-26
23-26
25-16
23-24
15-18
20-22
9-21
22-16
20-20
10-22
20-16
20-25
19-19
19-14
20-17
20-18
12-16
21-24
19-32
22-30
27-15
25-17
14-24
19-28
19-17
20-20
16-21
9-14
25-26
27-16
168.0Avg total
78.3Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.379.3153.7-5.033%
Season at home (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)72.582.0154.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)78.389.7168.0-11.420%
Last 5 (5)81.685.0166.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.090.2166.2-14.228%
vs Similar (6)68.067.2135.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (6)93.565.7159.2+27.883%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
AEK LarnacaAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#3
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A31/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H14/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A18/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/04
Division A
Astana
#40
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H06/11
Division A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/11
Division A
72.6Avg total
37.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.434.371.7+3.064%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.334.073.3+5.369%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.769.9+0.658%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.172.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.277.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)35.035.470.4-0.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.933.273.1+6.883%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H07/05
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A11/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H18/10
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H22/10
VTB United League
Nymburk
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A25/10
VTB United League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#10
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A07/11
VTB United League
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#12
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/11
VTB United League
83.3Avg total
37.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.141.982.0-1.841%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.781.8+2.450%-
Last 30 away (13)37.644.682.2-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)37.645.783.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.080.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.145.483.6-7.322%-
vs Similar (5)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
vs Weaker (6)45.833.379.2+12.583%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Astana wins
DateGameScore
29/10/15Astana v AEK Larnaca78-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/15AApollon78-89 OT
10/11/15HZ-Mobile Prishtina101-84
06/11/15HKeravnos50-76
03/11/15HASC Targu Jiu71-75
29/10/15AAstana74-78
21/04/15HApoel BC76-67
18/04/15AApoel BC79-74 OT
14/04/15HApoel BC77-82
09/04/15AApoel BC69-67
31/03/15AKeravnos72-59
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/15HMinsk92-93 OT
10/11/15AASC Targu Jiu72-89
07/11/15AVEF Riga93-94
04/11/15AZ-Mobile Prishtina73-75
29/10/15HAEK Larnaca78-74
25/10/15ANymburk61-79
22/10/15HBisons Loimaa83-80
18/10/15HUnics Kazan90-103
11/10/15ALokomotiv Kuban66-99
07/05/15HCSKA Moscow75-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game82.086.074.0
Allowed / game79.079.578.0
Point differential+3.0+6.5-4.0
Avg total161.0165.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.378.072.5
Allowed / game79.374.082.0
Point differential-5.0+4.0-9.5
Avg total153.7152.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom330100%95.068.3+26.7
2 Chalon/Saone330100%85.764.7+21.0
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%85.065.3+19.7
4 Bakken Bears330100%78.064.0+14.0
5 Khimik330100%80.366.3+14.0
6 ASC Targu Jiu330100%83.771.7+12.0
7 Oostende330100%84.772.7+12.0
8 Antwerp Giants330100%85.775.7+10.0
9 Ventspils330100%86.378.0+8.3
10 Enisey330100%74.768.7+6.0
11 Frankfurt330100%73.068.0+5.0
12 Kataja43175%87.079.2+7.8
13 Nymburk32167%80.055.7+24.3
14 Gaziantep32167%77.363.3+14.0
15 Siauliai32167%85.773.3+12.3
16 KK Krka Novo mesto32167%71.360.0+11.3
17 Belfius Mons32167%86.377.7+8.7
18 Minsk32167%89.781.3+8.3
19 Maccabi Rishon32167%81.374.3+7.0
20 Tartu Ulikool32167%69.763.3+6.3
21 Le Havre32167%73.768.7+5.0
22 Boras32167%87.382.7+4.7
23 HydroTruck Radom32167%83.078.3+4.7
24 Cantu32167%79.778.3+1.3
25 Cibona32167%79.378.0+1.3
26 Turow Zgorzelec32167%74.774.0+0.7
27 Gussing Knights32167%81.781.7+0.0
28 Rilski Sportist42250%83.588.5-5.0
29 Juventus31233%84.076.7+7.3
30 Varese31233%86.381.3+5.0
31 FC Porto31233%73.370.0+3.3
32 AEK Larnaca31233%82.079.0+3.0
33 Tajfun Sentjur31233%68.765.7+3.0
34 Benfica31233%77.777.3+0.3
35 Den Bosch31233%71.072.3-1.3
36 Pieno Zvaigzdes31233%85.387.0-1.7
37 Sodertalje31233%73.776.0-2.3
38 Astana31233%74.379.3-5.0
39 Academic31233%72.779.0-6.3
40 Kumanovo31233%78.085.0-7.0
41 Z-Mobile Prishtina31233%77.087.0-10.0
42 Inter Bratislava31233%82.795.3-12.7
43 Slask Wroclaw31233%66.079.7-13.7
44 Szombathely31233%65.079.7-14.7
45 Donar Groningen41325%73.080.2-7.2
46 Kormend41325%70.084.0-14.0
47 BC Kalev/Cramo3030%76.383.0-6.7
48 Helios Domzale3030%61.068.3-7.3
49 Kapfenberg Bulls3030%69.080.0-11.0
50 Soproni KC3030%67.078.7-11.7
51 MBK Komarno3030%74.086.0-12.0
52 Leiden3030%53.373.0-19.7
53 Zlatorog Lasko3030%68.788.3-19.7
54 KTP Kotka Basket3030%73.397.7-24.3
55 ETHA Engomi3030%55.383.0-27.7
56 Hibernia3030%53.394.7-41.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2521182387
Astana921191968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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