Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 74-79 (OT)

10-13 23-14 13-15 16-20 12-17

Position#1

Record22-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game70.7

Allowed / game60.0

Apoel BC

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Position#2

Record19-8

FormLWWWL

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game61.9

Division ADivision A - Final

Other2014-15

Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

99-58

+41

A03/03

Division A

Paralimni

87-67

+20

H07/03

Division A

Omonia

87-74

+13

A12/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

65-72

-7

H18/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

72-70

A23/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

71-52

+19

H27/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

55-74

-19

A30/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

83-62

+21

H02/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

67-69

-2

H09/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

82-77

A14/04

Division A

19-11

30-17

31-16

19-14

27-19

17-8

20-26

23-14

23-21

25-10

17-19

22-24

16-18

18-26

15-7

16-21

18-26

17-20

19-13

18-11

18-9

14-8

15-17

24-18

20-22

11-24

12-13

12-15

19-8

22-18

16-12

26-24

22-14

14-15

11-22

20-18

22-20

14-16

20-15

26-26

144.3Avg total

76.8Scored

67.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	70.7	60.0	130.7	+10.6	79%
Season at home (15)	69.7	56.1	125.7	+13.6	80%
Season away (13)	71.8	64.6	136.5	+7.2	77%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	67.5	144.3	+9.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	66.8	138.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	76.8	70.8	147.6	+6.0	70%
vs Weaker (20)	68.0	55.1	123.1	+12.8	80%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

72-51

+21

H20/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

90-96 OT

-6

A03/03

Division A

Apollon

110-49

110

+61

H07/03

Division A

Paralimni

71-56

+15

A12/03

Division A

Keravnos

69-51

+18

H19/03

Division A

Keravnos

73-74

-1

A24/03

Division A

Keravnos

86-83

H27/03

Division A

Keravnos

72-59

+13

A31/03

Division A

Apoel BC

69-67

A09/04

Division A

Apoel BC

77-82

-5

H14/04

Division A

14-16

18-21

16-7

24-7

23-11

10-14

10-20

18-16

22-10

28-13

34-19

26-7

21-16

14-14

18-19

18-7

18-11

13-11

12-14

26-15

16-16

20-19

11-22

26-17

27-22

19-21

20-17

20-23

25-17

17-15

10-18

20-9

14-22

15-14

22-11

18-20

20-22

16-14

15-20

26-26

145.7Avg total

78.9Scored

66.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	72.1	61.9	134.0	+10.3	70%
Season at home (14)	72.4	57.0	129.4	+15.4	86%
Season away (13)	71.9	67.2	139.1	+4.8	54%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	66.8	145.7	+12.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	73.0	148.4	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	71.6	71.8	143.4	-0.2	53%
vs Weaker (15)	70.8	54.4	125.2	+16.4	80%

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apoel BCAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	14.4	34.5	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.6	34.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.9	15.1	33.0	+2.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	16.6	35.1	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.2	31.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.6	16.6	36.3	+3.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	16.1	35.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	17.3	32.6	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	15.6	32.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.3	17.5	33.7	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	60%	-

Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

49-28

+21

A03/03

Division A

Paralimni

44-27

+17

H07/03

Division A

Omonia

48-31

+17

A12/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

34-44

-10

H18/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

35-46

-11

A23/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

32-17

+15

H27/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

31-46

-15

A30/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

41-26

+15

H02/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

36-29

H09/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

36-36

A14/04

Division A

71.6Avg total

38.6Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	38.8	33.0	71.8	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	31.0	69.6	+7.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.9	35.6	74.5	+3.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	33.0	71.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	30.8	66.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.6	34.8	73.4	+3.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.8	32.2	71.1	+6.6	65%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

32-37

-5

H20/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

33-25

A03/03

Division A

Apollon

50-23

+27

H07/03

Division A

Paralimni

35-30

A12/03

Division A

Keravnos

31-22

H19/03

Division A

Keravnos

36-35

A24/03

Division A

Keravnos

46-43

H27/03

Division A

Keravnos

42-32

+10

A31/03

Division A

Apoel BC

29-36

-7

A09/04

Division A

Apoel BC

36-36

H14/04

Division A

68.9Avg total

37.0Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	35.1	34.5	69.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	33.6	72.4	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	31.7	35.3	67.0	-3.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	31.9	68.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	34.1	37.0	71.1	-2.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.7	30.7	67.4	+6.0	80%	-

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.5	15.4	33.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	15.0	33.6	+3.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	15.9	34.3	+2.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	15.8	30.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.7	15.2	33.9	+3.5	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.1	15.3	34.4	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	17.5	35.6	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	16.7	33.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.4	68%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.1	16.8	38.8	+5.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	14.7	36.9	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	17.7	38.3	+2.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	15.8	38.3	+6.7	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	38.4	33.6	72.0	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	32.6	71.6	+6.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.6	34.8	72.5	+2.8	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	34.5	72.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	36.0	72.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	37.6	32.6	70.2	+4.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	39.9	33.4	73.3	+6.5	64%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.2	32.1	73.2	+9.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	34.6	73.4	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	31.4	70.4	+7.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.6	74.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.5	34.8	72.3	+2.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.5	31.3	74.8	+12.2	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apoel BC wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
14/04/15	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	77-82
09/04/15	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	67-69
11/02/15	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	94-73
20/12/14	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	63-71
08/11/14	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	82-75
18/03/14	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	81-50
14/03/14	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	80-67
11/03/14	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	74-58
07/03/14	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	89-72
04/03/14	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	95-88 OT

Apoel BClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/15	A	AEK Larnaca	82-77
09/04/15	H	AEK Larnaca	67-69
02/04/15	H	ETHA Engomi	83-62
30/03/15	A	ETHA Engomi	55-74
27/03/15	H	ETHA Engomi	71-52
23/03/15	A	ETHA Engomi	72-70
18/03/15	H	ETHA Engomi	65-72
12/03/15	A	Omonia	87-74
07/03/15	H	Paralimni	87-67
03/03/15	A	Apollon	99-58

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/15	H	Apoel BC	77-82
09/04/15	A	Apoel BC	69-67
31/03/15	A	Keravnos	72-59
27/03/15	H	Keravnos	86-83
24/03/15	A	Keravnos	73-74
19/03/15	H	Keravnos	69-51
12/03/15	A	Paralimni	71-56
07/03/15	H	Apollon	110-49
03/03/15	A	ETHA Engomi	90-96 OT
20/02/15	H	Keravnos	72-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC

Division A 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	79%
Home	WLWWL	80%
Away	WWWLW	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	79%	80%	77%
Points / game	70.7	69.7	71.8
Allowed / game	60.0	56.1	64.6
Point differential	+10.6	+13.6	+7.2
Avg total	130.7	125.7	136.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	60%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	70%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	LWLWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	70%	86%	54%
Points / game	72.1	72.4	71.9
Allowed / game	61.9	57.0	67.2
Point differential	+10.3	+15.4	+4.8
Avg total	134.0	129.4	139.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	71%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apoel BC	28	22	6	79%	70.7	60.0	+10.6
2	AEK Larnaca	27	19	8	70%	72.1	61.9	+10.3
3	Keravnos	25	15	10	60%	69.8	62.6	+7.3
4	ETHA Engomi	26	15	11	58%	67.2	62.0	+5.3
5	Apollon	21	11	10	52%	65.0	71.0	-6.0
6	Paralimni	21	9	12	43%	62.3	64.0	-1.8
7	Omonia	21	4	17	19%	59.7	74.5	-14.8
8	AEL	21	0	21	0%	0.0	20.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Apoel BC	10	23	13	16	12	74
AEK Larnaca	13	14	15	20	17	79

← all games of the day

Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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