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AEK Larnaca vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 56-78
17-18 18-19 13-22 8-19
Position#27
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#16
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#15
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
H03/11
Division A
Balkan
#9
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A10/11
Division A
Belfius Mons
#35
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#4
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H17/11
Division A
Minsk
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A24/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
A08/12
Division A
Varese
#4
L
74-109
74
109
-35
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
25-20
13-25
23-23
21-14
10-23
17-17
22-16
24-20
23-26
13-15
18-16
17-26
22-21
18-17
28-11
13-9
18-22
20-18
12-13
16-15
17-18
18-9
15-14
20-14
19-22
18-26
25-15
19-21
22-11
25-13
14-5
22-29
10-24
26-13
25-17
20-28
23-26
18-30
13-25
154.9Avg total
78.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.781.3156.0-6.657%
Season at home (3)71.072.7143.7-1.767%
Season away (4)77.587.8165.2-10.250%
Last 10 (10)78.576.4154.9+2.180%
Last 5 (5)80.477.4157.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.480.9153.3-8.444%
vs Similar (7)75.774.0149.7+1.771%
vs Weaker (14)82.669.1151.7+13.686%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#10
W
105-60
105
60
+45
A18/11
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#10
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H20/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A22/11
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A24/11
DBL
Den Helder
#6
W
110-83
110
83
+27
H27/11
DBL
Zwolle
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H06/12
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A09/12
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Grasshoppers
#15
W
112-68
112
68
+44
A13/12
NBB Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A15/12
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
34-15
23-17
30-15
28-16
15-25
21-14
12-18
23-13
24-17
27-14
23-16
19-13
14-24
16-18
16-18
33-25
22-23
24-16
31-19
24-21
19-17
20-26
21-26
19-20
20-20
24-14
13-21
15-22
14-16
21-22
28-24
–
–
–
–
21-16
21-20
18-18
19-23
162.5Avg total
88.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.774.9153.6+3.971%
Season at home (4)83.280.2163.5+3.075%
Season away (3)72.767.7140.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)88.274.3162.5+13.970%
Last 5 (5)85.878.8164.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.783.0155.7-10.333%
vs Similar (8)76.576.5153.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.266.9153.1+19.388%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
AEK LarnacaDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/11
Division A
Balkan
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A10/11
Division A
Belfius Mons
#35
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/11
Division A
Minsk
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A08/12
Division A
Varese
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
78.3Avg total
37.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.876.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.135.572.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.839.980.7+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.878.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.679.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.040.178.1-2.133%-
vs Similar (7)35.341.176.4-5.929%-
vs Weaker (14)41.634.776.4+6.971%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A18/11
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/11
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/11
DBL
Den Helder
#6
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H27/11
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/12
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/12
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A15/12
DBL
79.9Avg total
42.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.634.776.2+6.969%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.733.876.5+8.973%-
Last 30 away (14)40.435.676.0+4.764%-
Last 10 (9)42.637.379.9+5.267%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.741.075.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (8)40.937.878.6+3.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.431.675.0+11.882%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Donar Groningen wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18AVarese74-109
08/12/18AKeravnos100-95 OT
24/11/18AOmonia80-50
21/11/18HMinsk82-77
17/11/18HApollon66-56
14/11/18HBelfius Mons63-62
10/11/18AParalimni85-75
07/11/18ABalkan78-77
03/11/18HAEL82-76 OT
31/10/18AMinsk75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18ARotterdam79-77
13/12/18AGrasshoppers112-68
12/12/18HSassari78-84
09/12/18ADordrecht76-75
06/12/18HZwolle84-90
27/11/18HDen Helder110-83
24/11/18ADen Bosch65-73
22/11/18ALWD Basket97-60
20/11/18HSpirou Charleroi76-73
18/11/18ABAL Weert105-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game74.771.077.5
Allowed / game81.372.787.8
Point differential-6.6-1.7-10.2
Avg total156.0143.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game78.783.272.7
Allowed / game74.980.267.7
Point differential+3.9+3.0+5.0
Avg total153.6163.5140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%106.076.8+29.2
2 Sassari98189%94.276.0+18.2
3 Varese76186%90.172.3+17.9
4 Saratov76186%96.682.6+14.0
5 Nes Ziona118373%91.882.5+9.3
6 Karsiyaka75271%80.672.4+8.1
7 Lukoil Levski75271%87.080.4+6.6
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg75271%79.973.3+6.6
9 Szolnoki Olaj75271%82.778.3+4.4
10 Donar Groningen75271%78.774.9+3.9
11 Balkan96367%80.075.3+4.7
12 Alba Fehervar96367%84.182.4+1.7
13 Leiden96367%75.377.0-1.7
14 Z-Mobile Prishtina74357%83.386.9-3.6
15 AEK Larnaca74357%74.781.3-6.6
16 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
17 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
18 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
19 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
20 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
21 Kataja126650%80.984.1-3.2
22 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
23 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
24 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
25 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca171813856
Donar Groningen1819221978
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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