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AEK Larnaca vs Gussing Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-59
18-18 18-12 17-16 15-13
Position#25
Record5-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#35
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gussing Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A01/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#6
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A05/12
Division A
Anagennisi Germasogias
#8
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H09/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/01
Division A
Varese
#10
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A09/01
Division A
Minsk
#8
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A16/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
22-17
13-23
21-14
18-14
19-15
18-20
23-12
–
–
–
–
21-20
33-24
19-23
26-22
15-15
20-17
12-11
13-25
13-17
18-14
16-15
29-17
10-20
13-16
20-10
22-15
19-14
17-12
15-17
25-11
29-15
20-20
14-11
10-22
22-20
13-14
21-14
16-19
142.6Avg total
77.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.373.2150.6+4.156%
Season at home (5)79.471.2150.6+8.280%
Season away (4)74.875.8150.5-1.025%
Last 10 (10)77.065.6142.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)72.462.6135.0+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.068.0141.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (11)74.570.9145.4+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.469.7150.1+10.772%
This opponent (Gussing Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gussing KnightsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#8
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
A08/12
ABL
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H12/12
ABL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Graz UBSC
#10
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A19/12
ABL
Graz UBSC
#10
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H26/12
ABL
Traiskirchen Lions
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/01
Austria Cup
Minsk
#8
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wels
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H09/01
ABL
Varese
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A17/01
ABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
19-23
26-21
13-24
25-6
21-18
19-22
17-14
15-15
17-20
11-12
25-13
23-15
10-19
17-18
17-17
28-24
26-14
19-19
14-12
18-28
14-16
17-16
27-22
14-24
24-20
8-21
14-31
16-17
25-7
16-16
14-23
16-25
18-14
16-20
31-26
15-19
24-19
21-17
24-25
154.0Avg total
77.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.479.9155.3-4.444%
Season at home (4)71.276.0147.2-4.850%
Season away (5)78.883.0161.8-4.240%
Last 10 (10)77.576.5154.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.481.2155.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.485.6159.0-12.220%
vs Similar (2)70.570.0140.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (22)82.272.0154.2+10.186%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
AEK LarnacaGussing Knights
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A01/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A05/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H02/01
Division A
Varese
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A09/01
Division A
Minsk
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A16/01
Division A
72.1Avg total
38.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.433.271.7+5.276%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.432.972.3+6.471%-
Last 30 away (15)37.533.571.1+4.080%-
Last 10 (9)38.833.372.1+5.478%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.467.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (11)34.735.269.9-0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.231.972.1+8.388%-
This opponent (Gussing Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gussing KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A08/12
ABL
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H12/12
ABL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Graz UBSC
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/12
ABL
Graz UBSC
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H26/12
ABL
Traiskirchen Lions
#12
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/01
Austria Cup
Minsk
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wels
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H09/01
ABL
Varese
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/01
ABL
75.7Avg total
39.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.875.9+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.334.976.3+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)39.036.675.6+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.175.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.241.278.4-4.020%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.071.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker (22)41.434.475.8+7.086%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Gussing Knights wins
DateGameScore
16/12/15Gussing Knights v AEK Larnaca68-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16AApoel BC72-67
13/01/16HMinsk73-68
09/01/16AParalimni76-54
06/01/16HVarese65-61
02/01/16HApollon76-63
16/12/15AGussing Knights60-68
12/12/15AETHA Engomi99-89
09/12/15HAnagennisi Germasogias88-55
05/12/15AOmonia78-61
01/12/15AZ-Mobile Prishtina83-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/16AOberwart Gunners84-80
13/01/16AVarese81-85
09/01/16HWels71-63
06/01/16AMinsk60-96
03/01/16ATraiskirchen Lions76-82
26/12/15HGraz UBSC87-69
19/12/15AGraz UBSC67-69
16/12/15HAEK Larnaca68-60
12/12/15HKlosterneuburg Dukes82-60
08/12/15AKapfenberg Bulls99-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game77.379.474.8
Allowed / game73.271.275.8
Point differential+4.1+8.2-1.0
Avg total150.6150.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gussing Knights
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game75.471.278.8
Allowed / game79.976.083.0
Point differential-4.4-4.8-4.2
Avg total155.3147.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt990100%77.964.0+13.9
2 Khimik10100100%77.965.1+12.8
3 Chalon/Saone109190%88.274.0+14.2
4 Antwerp Giants109190%82.574.0+8.5
5 Ventspils109190%83.275.2+8.0
6 Turk Telekom98189%93.272.8+20.4
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne108280%84.070.1+13.9
8 Oostende97278%81.171.0+10.1
9 Gaziantep107370%75.665.4+10.2
10 Le Havre107370%81.978.1+3.8
11 ASC Targu Jiu96367%83.878.2+5.6
12 Maccabi Rishon96367%79.074.2+4.8
13 Varese106460%82.275.2+7.0
14 Minsk106460%85.980.2+5.7
15 Enisey106460%81.380.2+1.1
16 Bakken Bears106460%73.673.5+0.1
17 AEK Larnaca95456%77.373.2+4.1
18 KK Krka Novo mesto95456%75.675.1+0.4
19 Cibona95456%83.084.9-1.9
20 Nymburk105550%84.166.8+17.3
21 Juventus105550%81.172.3+8.8
22 Siauliai63350%84.781.5+3.2
23 Belfius Mons105550%78.275.8+2.4
24 Cantu105550%85.384.2+1.1
25 Kataja105550%83.683.1+0.5
26 Academic105550%73.976.9-3.0
27 Gussing Knights94544%75.479.9-4.4
28 Sodertalje94544%71.676.4-4.9
29 Boras94544%81.388.1-6.8
30 Slask Wroclaw94544%72.981.1-8.2
31 HydroTruck Radom104640%77.577.0+0.5
32 Pieno Zvaigzdes104640%83.486.6-3.2
33 Benfica62433%77.874.5+3.3
34 FC Porto62433%71.871.0+0.8
35 Tajfun Sentjur62433%73.375.3-2.0
36 Den Bosch62433%70.274.8-4.7
37 Kapfenberg Bulls62433%76.281.2-5.0
38 Rilski Sportist62433%83.789.5-5.8
39 Turow Zgorzelec62433%75.781.5-5.8
40 Astana62433%76.383.0-6.7
41 Z-Mobile Prishtina62433%74.281.3-7.2
42 Kormend62433%73.883.2-9.3
43 Zlatorog Lasko62433%71.781.0-9.3
44 Donar Groningen62433%69.079.5-10.5
45 Szombathely62433%69.280.5-11.3
46 Tartu Ulikool103730%71.575.3-3.8
47 Helios Domzale61517%71.576.3-4.8
48 Kumanovo61517%77.386.0-8.7
49 MBK Komarno61517%76.786.7-10.0
50 Soproni KC61517%68.280.0-11.8
51 Inter Bratislava61517%78.390.8-12.5
52 KTP Kotka Basket61517%71.394.5-23.2
53 BC Kalev/Cramo6060%76.280.8-4.7
54 Leiden6060%58.575.2-16.7
55 ETHA Engomi6060%62.885.8-23.0
56 Hibernia6060%57.598.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1818171568
Gussing Knights1812161359
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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