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AEK Larnaca vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-61
10-20 13-16 20-10 22-15
Position#25
Record3-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#10
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Varese
23 Jan 2019
ALA59
VAR74
06 Jan 2016
ALA65
VAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#40
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/11
Division A
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A24/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H27/11
Division A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A01/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#6
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A05/12
Division A
Anagennisi Germasogias
#8
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H09/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
21-21
18-19
23-19
21-13
22-15
19-21
18-14
20-17
13-29
24-18
25-23
18-18
19-13
19-16
18-22
27-16
22-17
13-23
21-14
18-14
19-15
18-20
23-12
–
–
–
–
21-20
33-24
19-23
26-22
15-15
20-17
12-11
13-25
13-17
18-14
16-15
29-17
150.0Avg total
80.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.775.7155.4+4.043%
Season at home (3)86.375.7162.0+10.767%
Season away (4)74.875.8150.5-1.025%
Last 10 (10)80.769.3150.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)80.267.2147.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.972.0146.9+2.958%
vs Weaker (18)78.467.3145.7+11.272%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#46
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
11-15
18-21
21-18
19-13
14-14
20-25
21-28
23-21
18-20
20-14
15-6
22-31
24-24
13-20
22-18
15-11
18-18
16-12
16-26
27-17
15-21
23-10
29-15
17-18
12-20
20-28
9-18
23-9
17-11
15-22
16-29
11-27
16-12
15-33
27-14
20-21
25-13
19-18
15-14
151.3Avg total
75.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.974.6158.4+9.357%
Season at home (4)85.869.5155.2+16.275%
Season away (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)75.675.7151.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)77.476.2153.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.885.0154.8-15.217%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.276.8156.1+2.460%
vs Weaker (4)82.274.2156.5+8.050%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
AEK LarnacaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#40
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
Division A
ASC Targu Jiu
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A24/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/11
Division A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#41
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A01/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A05/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H02/01
Division A
74.3Avg total
40.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.733.872.5+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.332.872.2+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)38.134.672.8+3.571%-
Last 10 (9)40.633.874.3+6.878%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.875.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.135.871.9+0.250%-
vs Weaker (15)40.832.172.9+8.787%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#46
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/12
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/01
Lega A
72.7Avg total
37.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.038.678.6+1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)37.538.576.0-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.772.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.870.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.343.579.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.836.876.5+3.055%-
vs Weaker (4)38.540.278.8-1.825%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/16HApollon76-63
16/12/15AGussing Knights60-68
12/12/15AETHA Engomi99-89
09/12/15HAnagennisi Germasogias88-55
05/12/15AOmonia78-61
01/12/15AZ-Mobile Prishtina83-70
27/11/15HApoel BC74-69
24/11/15AASC Targu Jiu82-87
20/11/15HParalimni80-63
17/11/15HAstana87-68
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/16HCantu79-66
27/12/15AReggiana69-86
23/12/15HCremona87-82 OT
20/12/15AVenezia58-84
16/12/15HMinsk94-63
13/12/15APistoia65-67
07/12/15HAvellino81-93
02/12/15HSodertalje76-61
29/11/15ABrindisi74-80
25/11/15ASzombathely73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game79.786.374.8
Allowed / game75.775.775.8
Point differential+4.0+10.7-1.0
Avg total155.4162.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.985.881.3
Allowed / game74.669.581.3
Point differential+9.3+16.2+0.0
Avg total158.4155.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom770100%93.070.3+22.7
2 Khimik880100%77.663.5+14.1
3 Frankfurt770100%77.064.1+12.9
4 Chalon/Saone87188%87.872.8+15.0
5 Antwerp Giants87188%84.174.8+9.4
6 Ventspils87188%85.476.8+8.6
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%87.070.7+16.3
8 Minsk86275%88.480.0+8.4
9 Bakken Bears86275%75.470.5+4.9
10 Gaziantep75271%76.465.3+11.1
11 Oostende75271%81.072.3+8.7
12 ASC Targu Jiu75271%83.377.3+6.0
13 Le Havre75271%78.773.6+5.1
14 Nymburk85362%86.664.4+22.2
15 KK Krka Novo mesto85362%77.573.5+4.0
16 Kataja85362%85.982.9+3.0
17 Cibona85362%80.181.4-1.2
18 Academic85362%75.977.6-1.8
19 Varese74357%83.974.6+9.3
20 Cantu74357%85.382.3+3.0
21 Maccabi Rishon74357%76.173.1+3.0
22 Slask Wroclaw74357%73.779.7-6.0
23 Juventus84450%79.072.6+6.4
24 HydroTruck Radom84450%80.575.0+5.5
25 Belfius Mons84450%78.473.6+4.8
26 Siauliai63350%84.781.5+3.2
27 Enisey84450%79.080.4-1.4
28 Sodertalje84450%73.576.5-3.0
29 Gussing Knights84450%74.879.2-4.5
30 AEK Larnaca73443%79.775.7+4.0
31 Tartu Ulikool73443%69.169.7-0.6
32 Boras73443%80.085.4-5.4
33 Pieno Zvaigzdes83538%82.185.8-3.6
34 Benfica62433%77.874.5+3.3
35 FC Porto62433%71.871.0+0.8
36 Tajfun Sentjur62433%73.375.3-2.0
37 Den Bosch62433%70.274.8-4.7
38 Kapfenberg Bulls62433%76.281.2-5.0
39 Rilski Sportist62433%83.789.5-5.8
40 Turow Zgorzelec62433%75.781.5-5.8
41 Astana62433%76.383.0-6.7
42 Z-Mobile Prishtina62433%74.281.3-7.2
43 Kormend62433%73.883.2-9.3
44 Zlatorog Lasko62433%71.781.0-9.3
45 Donar Groningen62433%69.079.5-10.5
46 Szombathely62433%69.280.5-11.3
47 Helios Domzale61517%71.576.3-4.8
48 Kumanovo61517%77.386.0-8.7
49 MBK Komarno61517%76.786.7-10.0
50 Soproni KC61517%68.280.0-11.8
51 Inter Bratislava61517%78.390.8-12.5
52 KTP Kotka Basket61517%71.394.5-23.2
53 BC Kalev/Cramo6060%76.280.8-4.7
54 Leiden6060%58.575.2-16.7
55 ETHA Engomi6060%62.885.8-23.0
56 Hibernia6060%57.598.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1013202265
Varese2016101561
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