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AEL vs Apollon Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Apollon
Cyprus
Position#7
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.3
CyprusDivision ARound 9· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEL v Apollon
04 Dec 2026
AEL v APOL
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
AEL80
APOL62
11 Oct 2024
AEL105
APOL79
15 Jan 2024
AEL98
APOL64
04 Apr 2023
AEL75
APOL72
20 Nov 2022
AEL81
APOL66
11 Mar 2022
AEL82
APOL81
20 Dec 2020
AEL74
APOL82
22 Nov 2019
AEL71
APOL83
02 Feb 2019
AEL93
APOL86
09 Nov 2018
AEL90
APOL87
10 Feb 2015
AEL0
APOL20
13 Jan 2015
AEL0
APOL20
01 Nov 2013
AEL56
APOL66
28 Dec 2012
AEL85
APOL71
18 Nov 2011
AEL86
APOL89
15 Mar 2011
AEL81
APOL75
03 Dec 2010
AEL63
APOL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 72
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 72
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 72
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 72
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 72
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 72
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 72
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormApollon
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 69
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 69
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 69
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 69
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
56-90
56
90
-34
36avg 69
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
76avg 69
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 69
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
66-51
66
51
+15
no box
H14/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
29-13
14-27
14-25
19-19
17-24
22-15
17-26
15-15
22-19
20-21
19-21
22-25
13-28
21-21
15-18
14-26
12-23
13-18
17-23
24-21
14-30
17-16
24-12
19-19
18-21
15-32
23-18
20-21
16-22
20-18
8-16
17-15
7-23
23-17
22-25
21-14
19-13
12-15
14-9
155.1Avg total
73.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.079.3149.3-9.333%
Season at home (4)65.277.0142.2-11.825%
Season away (2)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.082.1155.1-9.130%
Last 5 (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.388.0157.3-18.78%
vs Similar (11)83.784.8168.5-1.136%
vs Weaker (7)92.080.4172.4+11.686%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
AELApollon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/11
Division A
77.3Avg total
35.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.081.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.579.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.682.7-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.577.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.247.280.4-13.98%-
vs Similar (11)39.040.679.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (7)45.439.785.1+5.771%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.9
47.0%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
72.9%12.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
Apollon
WLLLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#7
+2.4
Net rating
-11.4
92.1
Offensive rating
87.8
89.7
Defensive rating
99.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.8%
3-point %
33.6%
62.3%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 87.8Defence89.7 · 99.2Shooting50.3% · 48.3%3-point %28.8% · 33.6%Ball care14.3% · 13.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ AEL   ■ Apollon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEL wins
2
Apollon wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Apollon v AEL77-89
06/03/26Apollon v AEL85-76
03/10/25AEL v Apollon80-62
23/04/25Apollon v AEL66-96
12/02/25Apollon v AEL81-91
11/10/24AEL v Apollon105-79
08/04/24Apollon v AEL74-99
15/01/24AEL v Apollon98-64
27/10/23Apollon v AEL90-94
07/04/23Apollon v AEL92-68
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
Apollonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HETHA Engomi66-51
09/11/26AParalimni69-80
02/11/26HApoel BC64-77
24/10/26HKeravnos75-90
16/10/26AAchilleas K.90-88 OT
11/10/26HAEK Larnaca56-90
07/04/26AKeravnos71-92
05/04/26AParalimni87-80 OT
01/04/26AApoel BC75-84
27/03/26HAEL77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game70.065.279.5
Allowed / game79.377.084.0
Point differential-9.3-11.8-4.5
Avg total149.3142.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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