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AEL vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-85 (OT)
21-21 18-18 18-23 18-13 12-10
Position#25
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.7
AEL 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeEuroChallenge
Other2009
Meetings · AEL v Den Bosch
02 Feb 2010
AEL87
DBO85
06 Jan 2009
AEL95
DBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A19/03
EuroChallenge
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A24/04
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A26/04
EuroChallenge
Cedevita
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H24/11
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A01/12
EuroChallenge
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/12
EuroChallenge
Cedevita
#20
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A15/12
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#12
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H05/01
EuroChallenge
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/01
EuroChallenge
Gottingen
#1
L
59-92
59
92
-33
A26/01
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-25
21-12
26-11
16-19
18-20
14-29
21-15
19-29
26-28
16-23
21-14
21-22
22-21
20-19
18-11
12-20
13-14
17-26
29-22
17-24
29-21
8-13
18-11
21-26
14-24
21-27
26-23
18-12
25-20
16-12
27-24
16-27
20-15
20-15
18-24
15-26
17-21
15-29
12-16
157.3Avg total
75.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.080.7155.7-5.743%
Season at home (3)79.770.0149.7+9.7100%
Season away (4)71.588.8160.2-17.20%
Last 10 (10)75.981.4157.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)74.682.0156.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.080.7155.7-5.743%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.980.0162.9+2.962%
vs Weaker (12)81.470.2151.7+11.275%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#3
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H24/02
EuroChallenge
Bonn
#26
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A04/03
EuroChallenge
Cholet
#1
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/03
EuroChallenge
Khimik
#29
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A24/11
EuroChallenge
Strasbourg
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H01/12
EuroChallenge
Apoel BC
#11
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A09/12
EuroChallenge
Khimik
#29
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H15/12
EuroChallenge
Strasbourg
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A05/01
EuroChallenge
Apoel BC
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H12/01
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H28/01
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
13-21
12-7
23-15
19-19
20-27
15-21
23-17
25-15
9-18
16-24
20-15
29-17
22-22
23-29
18-23
26-20
17-25
19-23
23-22
20-28
17-13
14-22
15-18
20-19
21-13
27-16
15-20
28-15
15-13
13-20
18-22
26-19
22-25
25-19
9-11
20-23
17-17
20-17
28-23
154.9Avg total
78.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.079.1160.1+1.971%
Season at home (4)83.878.0161.8+5.875%
Season away (3)77.380.7158.0-3.367%
Last 10 (10)78.176.8154.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)78.074.6152.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.479.0157.4-0.660%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.877.8150.7-5.033%
vs Weaker (12)86.676.3162.9+10.283%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
AELDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#18
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A19/03
EuroChallenge
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/04
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A26/04
EuroChallenge
Cedevita
#20
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/11
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#12
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A01/12
EuroChallenge
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/12
EuroChallenge
Cedevita
#20
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A15/12
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/01
EuroChallenge
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/01
EuroChallenge
Gottingen
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A26/01
EuroChallenge
81.3Avg total
37.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)38.739.678.3-0.942%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.936.880.6+7.175%-
Last 30 away (11)34.941.776.6-6.818%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.881.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.141.979.0-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.037.078.0+4.040%-
vs Weaker (7)38.639.377.9-0.757%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/02
EuroChallenge
Bonn
#26
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/03
EuroChallenge
Cholet
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
EuroChallenge
Khimik
#29
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/11
EuroChallenge
Strasbourg
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H01/12
EuroChallenge
Apoel BC
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/12
EuroChallenge
Khimik
#29
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/12
EuroChallenge
Strasbourg
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A05/01
EuroChallenge
Apoel BC
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H12/01
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/01
EuroChallenge
78.9Avg total
40.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)39.339.378.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.336.776.0+2.657%-
Last 30 away (8)39.241.680.9-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.478.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.639.681.2+2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.240.073.2-6.840%-
vs Weaker (5)43.038.481.4+4.660%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEL wins
1
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
06/01/09AEL v Den Bosch95-77
02/12/08Den Bosch v AEL87-76
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/10AGottingen59-92
12/01/10AChalon/Saone74-81
05/01/10HBelfius Mons86-68
15/12/09ACedevita82-100
08/12/09HChalon/Saone72-69
01/12/09ABelfius Mons71-82
24/11/09HCedevita81-73
26/04/09AZenit Petersburg82-94
24/04/09AVirtus Bologna69-83
19/03/09AAmsterdam83-72
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/10HKrasnye Krylya85-80
12/01/10HApoel BC82-74
05/01/10AStrasbourg74-70
15/12/09HKhimik83-68
09/12/09AApoel BC66-81
01/12/09HStrasbourg85-90
24/11/09AKhimik92-91
10/03/09HCholet70-72
04/03/09ABonn77-84
24/02/09HLiege67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
EuroChallenge 2009
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.079.771.5
Allowed / game80.770.088.8
Point differential-5.7+9.7-17.2
Avg total155.7149.7160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
EuroChallenge 2009
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.083.877.3
Allowed / game79.178.080.7
Point differential+1.9+5.8-3.3
Avg total160.1161.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro76186%78.066.7+11.3
2 FMP Beograd76186%87.081.1+5.9
3 Krasnye Krylya86275%81.171.1+10.0
4 Roanne75271%82.474.0+8.4
5 Artland75271%79.171.6+7.6
6 Banvit75271%88.381.0+7.3
7 Liege75271%79.776.6+3.1
8 Chalon/Saone75271%78.075.4+2.6
9 Den Bosch75271%81.079.1+1.9
10 Gravelines-Dunkerque64267%70.270.0+0.2
11 Gottingen85362%82.171.9+10.2
12 Apoel BC74357%80.776.0+4.7
13 Buducnost74357%73.070.6+2.4
14 Enisey74357%77.976.6+1.3
15 Antwerp Giants74357%75.174.6+0.6
16 Zagreb74357%77.680.0-2.4
17 Strasbourg63350%84.083.2+0.8
18 Belfius Mons63350%75.375.7-0.3
19 Wels63350%68.270.7-2.5
20 AEL73443%75.080.7-5.7
21 Cedevita62433%80.381.3-1.0
22 Donetsk62433%83.786.0-2.3
23 CSU Ploiesti62433%78.380.8-2.5
24 BC Kiev62433%66.369.8-3.5
25 Keravnos62433%74.077.8-3.8
26 VEF Riga62433%82.289.8-7.7
27 Minsk62433%69.581.2-11.7
28 Tartu Ulikool61517%68.375.0-6.7
29 Khimik61517%82.791.3-8.7
30 Okapi Aalstar6060%79.087.0-8.0
31 Lokomotiv Kuban6060%64.377.3-13.0
32 Amsterdam6060%59.873.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEL211818181287
Den Bosch211823131085
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