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FMP Beograd

Serbia ABA 2-5 · 9/10 Group 1
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LLLWWLLLLL
Points / game
82.6
allowed 83.8
Over 168.5
45%
game total, 33 games
Game total
166.4
both teams per game
Win rate
39%
13-20
Margin / game
-1.2
points
1st half
42.1
points scored / game
Overtime
3%
games to overtime
Sections
FMP Beograd

FMP Beograd opened the 2026-27 season with a 2-4 record, falling to eighth place in the ABA League's 10-team table after a 2-4 run in that competition. The squad has struggled in recent form, winning only one of its last five games and suffering defeats to Buducnost 73-76 at home, Cedevita Olimpija 87-96 away and Borac Mozzart 87-95 away. Their net rating sits at -2.3, ranking them 10th out of 20 teams rated and indicating a downward trend from 9th a few games ago. Home and away splits mirror each other at 1-2, with points per game of 76.3 and 84.3 respectively, and points against of 81.0 and 86.3. B. Rush leads the team with 17.2 points per game, Nikola Gasic averages 9.2 rebounds, and N. Rebic records 3.8 assists. The next outing is a home game against Igokea on 20 November 2026, where Pythia projects a 66% chance of victory.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

FMP Beograd stats, form & predictions – 2026

In the ABA League (2025 + 2026) FMP Beograd score 82.6 points a game and allow 83.8 across 33 games – 45% of their games go over 168.5 and they clear 84.5 team points in 42%. They win 39% (44% at home, 35% away), by -1.2 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

FMP BeogradLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
70avg 73
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 73
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 73
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 73
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 73
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
94avg 73
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 73
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 73
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
85-55
85
55
+30
68avg 73
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
56avg 73
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 73
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
76avg 73
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 73
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 73
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 73
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
47avg 73
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
67avg 73
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
82avg 73
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H07/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A13/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
19-15
19-13
18-15
29-12
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
23-18
27-23
18-24
22-24
21-17
24-21
19-10
15-20
22-25
18-17
10-17
16-19
19-32
28-21
16-18
24-24
18-27
27-27
18-20
24-22
14-28
24-16
23-15
12-17
21-17
25-16
17-18
14-29
163.1Avg total
81.5Scored
81.6Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
21.1
21.4
-0.3
won 52%
Q2
21.0
21.5
-0.5
won 45%
Q3
19.1
19.4
-0.3
won 33%
Q4
21.1
21.0
+0.1
won 42%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 45% of 33 games, the 2nd half in 45%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=16AWAY n=17
82.9
Points / game
82.4
81.5
Allowed / game
85.9
164.4
Game total
168.4
50%
Over 168.5
41%
44%
Win %
35%
+1.4
Margin
-3.5
42.9
1st half scored
41.4
69%
Won the 1st half
24%
31%
Won by 10+
6%
Points scored per game
5%9%14%18%15%65-6915%70-749%75-7918%80-8418%85-896%90-949%95-999%100-104
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
5%9%14%18%3%50-543%55-593%60-643%65-696%70-7418%75-7915%80-8415%85-8912%90-949%95-993%100-1049%105-109
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.4 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)81.682.882.681.680.784.040%
vs Stronger (7)81.190.779.888.284.597.014%
vs Similar (17)80.679.984.475.177.983.341%
vs Weaker (6)85.281.783.085.787.377.767%
Over 168.5 (game total)43% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
=14thof 22 · 2 level39%
Attack: points scored per game
13thof 2282.6
Defence: points allowed per game
9thof 2283.8
Game total: both teams' points per game
16thof 22166.4
Ranked against the 22 teams of the league over 2025 + 2026. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
19thof 2244.8%
2-point accuracy
13thof 2253.4%
3-point accuracy
19thof 2231.2%
Free-throw accuracy
11thof 2274.6%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
44.8%-2.0pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#19 of 22 in ABA
✋ 2-pointers
53.4%-1.7pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#13 of 22 in ABA
🌟 3-pointers
31.2%-3.6pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#19 of 22 in ABA
🏹 Free throws
74.6%-0.2pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#11 of 22 in ABA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP BeogradLeague average
100.7
Offensive rating
99.3
101.3
Defensive rating
99.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.6%
3-point %
33.1%
38.9%
3-point attempt rate
39.0%
52.4%
Assist %
60.1%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 99.3Defence101.3 · 99.3Shooting51.1% · 54.4%3-point %31.6% · 33.1%Ball care15.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.35
■ FMP Beograd   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Group 1

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+5883%3-02-150%WWWWW
2 Buducnost65183%87.778.2+5757%2-03-167%LWWWW
3 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+3350%2-12-10%LWLWW
4 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+657%1-23-1100%WLLLW
5 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-1467%1-02-3100%WLWWL
6 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-3367%1-22-1100%WWWLL
7 Cibona73443%86.088.1-1557%2-31-150%LWLWW
8 Igokea62433%82.883.2-257%1-31-150%LLLWL
9 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-2343%1-21-333%LLLLL
10 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-6743%1-40-20%LLLWL

Group 2

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Partizan660100%90.376.3+8457%4-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Dubai660100%94.281.7+7567%2-04-0-WWWWW
3 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+19100%0-24-050%WLLWW
4 Spartak Subotica64267%84.380.5+2333%2-22-050%WWLWW
5 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-1667%1-31-1-LWLLW
6 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-6267%1-21-20%WLWLL
7 Cluj-Napoca62433%87.288.8-1071%1-21-20%LLWLL
8 Zadar62433%74.276.2-1214%2-00-4-LLWLL
9 Perspektiva Ilirija62433%76.080.0-240%1-31-1100%LWLWL
10 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-7767%0-20-40%LLLLL
Winners stage
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 168.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H07/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
19-15
19-13
18-15
29-12
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
23-18
27-23
18-24
22-24
21-17
24-21
19-10
15-20
22-25
18-17
10-17
16-19
19-32
28-21
16-18
24-24
18-27
27-27
18-20
24-22
14-28
24-16
23-15
12-17
21-17
25-16
17-18
14-29
163.1Avg total
81.5Scored
81.6Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 168.5
Last 30 (30)81.682.8164.4-1.240%43%
Last 30 at home (15)82.681.6164.2+1.040%53%
Last 30 away (15)80.784.0164.7-3.340%33%
Last 10 (10)79.083.8162.8-4.820%50%
Last 5 (5)78.085.0163.0-7.00%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.190.7171.9-9.614%71%
vs Similar (17)80.679.9160.5+0.641%29%
vs Weaker (6)85.281.7166.8+3.567%50%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 168.5 = the league line
Over 168.543%
n=30
Under 168.557%
n=30
Won the game40%
n=30
Lost the game60%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025 + 2026, ABA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 168.5)Team points (line 84.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (33)166.4164.4168.482.682.982.4-1.2+1.4-3.5
vs Stronger (7)181.6174.0191.786.483.290.7-8.7-7.5-10.3
vs Similar (22)161.4160.4162.281.182.879.7+0.8+5.2-2.8
vs Weaker (4)167.8165.0170.584.582.586.5+1.2+0.0+2.5
% over line / win45%50%41%42%44%41%39%44%35%
% under line / loss55%50%59%58%56%59%61%56%65%
Scoring dials
Points / game82.6
League avg 84.4 · below by 1.8
Allowed / game83.8
League avg 84.4 · below by 0.6
1st half scored42.1
League avg 42.5 · below by 0.4
3-pointers made7.6
League avg 7.9 · below by 0.3
Free throws made18.4
League avg 15.9 · above by 2.5
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025 + 2026)
Over 79.5 pts61%
n=33
Under 79.5 pts39%
n=33
Over 84.5 pts42%
n=33
Under 84.5 pts58%
n=33
Over 89.5 pts24%
n=33
Under 89.5 pts76%
🔥 70%+n=33
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 158.555%
n=33
Under 158.545%
n=33
Over 168.545%
n=33
Under 168.555%
n=33
Over 178.533%
n=33
Under 178.567%
n=33
Result markets
Win39%
n=33
Win by 6+ (-5.5)30%
n=33
Cover +5.555%
n=33
Win by 10+18%
n=33
Win the 1st half45%
n=33
Overtime3%
n=33
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
57.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.6%
33.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.0 points a game allowed
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.4
52.6%
57.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.3
28.5%
33.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.8%
73.2%16.3
Their opponents take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of those shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
J. NealABA5530.015.26.23.439.2%30.6%
B. RushABA5328.817.21.22.640.6%29.7%
Nikola GasicABA5527.07.29.21.263.2%-
N. RebicABA5125.28.42.03.838.5%20.0%
M. KovacevicABA5024.813.23.60.640.8%28.0%
A. StanojevicABA5421.27.02.00.648.1%28.6%
F. RebracaABA5120.57.05.40.857.1%0.0%
M. BelicABA5514.04.02.00.250.0%0.0%
Petar GrojicABA316.51.31.00.750.0%0.0%
P. RadovicABA204.50.00.00.00.0%0.0%
R. LivadicABA103.22.00.00.00.0%-
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
5.4
8 rated players
C. Eugene7.5 pts9.8
L. Stefanovic11.0 pts9.8
F. Rebraca7.3 pts8.8
Petar Grojic3.4 pts7.2
Nikola Gasic4.2 pts6.8
J. Neal15.2 pts5.4
A. Stanojevic5.8 pts4.9
J. Scott12.3 pts4.7
N. Rebic8.4 pts4.1
B. Rush17.2 pts3.1
M. Kovacevic13.2 pts2.6
F. Barna20.7 pts0.0
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
2025 + 2026, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
69%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
18-8favourite won / lost
Across 26 games of FMP Beograd, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 69% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
FMP Beograd
v
Igokea
Fri 20 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Pythia: FMP Beograd 66%
home 66%away 34%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: FMP Beograd v Igokea Fri 20 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022
n=29
2023
n=26
2024
n=30
2025
n=26
2026
n=7
Trend
Points scored / game89.678.279.683.479.9
Points allowed / game87.184.485.084.083.1
Game total176.6162.6164.7167.3163.0
Over 158.586%42%57%58%43%
Over 168.562%35%43%46%43%
Over 178.541%23%23%31%43%
Team points over 84.566%27%43%42%43%
Win %52%38%47%42%29%
Home win %79%38%67%46%33%
Away win %27%38%27%38%25%
Margin / game+2.5-6.3-5.4-0.6-3.3
Won by 10+31%15%13%19%14%
Close games won (5 or fewer)62%71%70%40%33%
Overtime %3%8%7%4%0%
1st half total87.780.082.584.188.0
Won the 1st half48%23%40%46%43%
3-point attempt rate37%39%38%37%44%
Effective FG%57%48%48%51%49%
Pace76.177.175.876.3-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
13 NovCibona v FMP Beograd ABA League80-77L
07 NovFMP Beograd v Buducnost ABA League73-76L
31 OctCedevita Olimpija v FMP Beograd ABA League96-87L
23 OctBorac Mozzart v FMP Beograd ABA League95-87L
17 OctFMP Beograd v Siroki Brijeg ABA League66-78L
11 OctKK Krka Novo mesto v FMP Beograd ABA League68-79W
04 OctFMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda ABA League90-89W
25 AprFMP Beograd v Perspektiva Ilirija ABA League82-88L
20 AprFMP Beograd v Vienna Basket ABA League84-92L
14 AprZadar v FMP Beograd ABA League76-65L
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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