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Afyon Belediye vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-140
13-46 20-29 14-38 36-27
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game80.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Anadolu Efes
11 Dec 2021
ABE83
EFS140
07 Mar 2021
ABE103
EFS85
09 Dec 2019
ABE84
EFS88
11 May 2019
ABE74
EFS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 74
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
61-80
61
80
-19
51avg 74
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
51-63
51
63
-12
38avg 74
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 74
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 74
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
48-68
48
68
-20
40avg 74
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
91-70
91
70
+21
99avg 74
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
76avg 74
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 74
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
51-100
51
100
-49
38avg 74
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
25-21
21-15
20-22
18-11
11-20
13-28
19-21
11-14
9-6
13-12
18-31
25-15
14-19
17-18
20-14
22-25
20-22
17-24
20-16
9-17
14-11
12-22
13-18
20-8
27-19
22-23
22-20
17-28
20-20
22-20
17-22
22-27
16-26
19-27
25-22
11-29
16-25
15-25
9-21
151.2Avg total
70.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.181.1151.2-11.030%
Season at home (4)77.579.5157.0-2.050%
Season away (6)65.282.2147.3-17.017%
Last 10 (10)70.181.1151.2-11.030%
Last 5 (5)69.686.0155.6-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.484.5160.9-8.035%
vs Similar (7)81.785.9167.6-4.143%
vs Weaker (3)93.799.7193.3-6.033%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 83
A11/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
96-71
96
71
+25
106avg 83
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
86avg 83
H17/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
97avg 83
H19/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 83
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 83
A25/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#13
W
92-82
92
82
+10
96avg 83
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#1
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
H03/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
no box
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
61avg 83
A09/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
31-14
19-12
20-16
21-16
24-18
29-20
22-17
23-25
21-19
24-22
20-3
24-20
34-20
15-21
25-16
20-31
20-22
28-8
16-15
20-18
16-23
20-26
33-17
24-19
23-11
23-28
22-24
25-20
22-17
21-25
12-18
20-18
28-22
20-27
18-19
23-27
15-17
26-22
7-17
168.4Avg total
89.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.080.4169.4+8.682%
Season at home (6)85.882.0167.8+3.883%
Season away (5)92.878.4171.2+14.480%
Last 10 (10)89.678.8168.4+10.880%
Last 5 (5)88.086.4174.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)84.984.6169.5+0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.775.2160.9+10.577%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Afyon BelediyeAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
73.7Avg total
34.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.283.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.640.783.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.845.484.2-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.073.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.076.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.641.880.3-3.140%-
vs Similar (7)44.443.688.0+0.929%-
vs Weaker (3)45.052.097.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A11/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H17/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H19/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#13
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
45.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.683.5+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.284.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)42.840.082.8+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.885.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.481.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)41.843.485.2-1.535%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.436.981.3+7.569%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.9
52.5%
53.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
36.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
75.6%12.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.7
58.6%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.4
37.7%
36.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.813.0
82.3%
75.6%13.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLWLLWLLW
Anadolu Efes
LWLWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#2
-16.8
Net rating
+15.2
98.9
Offensive rating
120.7
115.7
Defensive rating
105.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
57.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.7%
3-point %
37.7%
67.9%
Assist %
68.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 120.7Defence115.7 · 105.5Shooting49.0% · 57.7%3-point %29.7% · 37.7%Ball care18.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
4
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21AFenerbahce51-100
01/12/21HBahcesehir Kol.82-102
21/11/21AKarsiyaka76-90
13/11/21HPetkim Spor91-70
06/11/21ABesiktas48-68
24/10/21AMerkezefendi79-87
17/10/21HBuyukcekmece76-66
10/10/21AYalovaspor51-63
03/10/21HTurk Telekom61-80
25/09/21AGaziantep86-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21ABayern71-83
05/12/21HBahcesehir Kol.95-88 OT
03/12/21HBarcelona93-95 OT
30/11/21APetkim Spor92-82
25/11/21AFenerbahce89-84
21/11/21HDarussafaka84-76
19/11/21HMonaco98-77
17/11/21HOlympiacos88-69
13/11/21ABuyukcekmece96-71
11/11/21AAlba Berlin90-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game70.177.565.2
Allowed / game81.179.582.2
Point differential-11.0-2.0-17.0
Avg total151.2157.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Anadolu Efes
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game89.085.892.8
Allowed / game80.482.078.4
Point differential+8.6+3.8+14.4
Avg total169.4167.8171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%17%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1110191%84.969.9+15.0
2 Anadolu Efes119282%89.080.4+8.6
3 Karsiyaka118373%79.173.3+5.8
4 Darussafaka118373%76.572.3+4.3
5 Galatasaray117464%88.481.4+7.0
6 Gaziantep117464%80.576.2+4.3
7 Tofas117464%84.584.4+0.1
8 Besiktas126650%72.073.7-1.7
9 Bahcesehir Kol.115645%83.280.6+2.5
10 Bursaspor115645%79.179.8-0.7
11 Turk Telekom124833%71.072.3-1.3
12 Yalovaspor124833%74.877.6-2.8
13 Afyon Belediye103730%70.181.1-11.0
14 Buyukcekmece113827%79.484.8-5.5
15 Merkezefendi112918%73.684.8-11.2
16 Petkim Spor111109%70.584.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1320143683
Anadolu Efes46293827140
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