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Fenerbahce vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 100-51
29-11 25-16 25-15 21-9
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#16
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 11
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Afyon Belediye
05 Dec 2021
FEN100
ABE51
06 Dec 2020
FEN94
ABE74
03 Nov 2019
FEN86
ABE80
15 Dec 2018
FEN92
ABE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 78
A04/11
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
89avg 78
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
43-68
43
68
-25
32avg 78
H12/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 78
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
58avg 78
A16/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A19/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 78
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 78
H25/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
97avg 78
H30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
102avg 78
H02/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
24-23
20-18
22-20
23-20
24-13
18-16
21-11
3-22
17-15
9-25
14-6
18-21
24-23
21-13
22-20
12-22
18-13
16-14
17-22
18-16
11-22
30-26
16-22
21-27
25-14
13-13
23-20
18-20
23-16
26-20
17-33
29-15
19-15
23-19
20-20
16-18
24-24
23-21
33-23
155.8Avg total
79.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.471.8155.2+11.690%
Season at home (5)87.871.4159.2+16.4100%
Season away (5)79.072.2151.2+6.880%
Last 10 (10)79.676.2155.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)85.680.8166.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.880.2151.0-9.40%
vs Similar (13)77.873.3151.1+4.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.975.8157.7+6.267%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
91-114
91
114
-23
84avg 75
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 75
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
61-80
61
80
-19
51avg 75
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
51-63
51
63
-12
38avg 75
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 75
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 75
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
48-68
48
68
-20
40avg 75
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
91-70
91
70
+21
99avg 75
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
76avg 75
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 75
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-29
18-29
24-31
20-27
25-21
21-15
20-22
18-11
11-20
13-28
19-21
11-14
9-6
13-12
18-31
25-15
14-19
17-18
20-14
22-25
20-22
17-24
20-16
9-17
14-11
12-22
13-18
20-8
27-19
22-23
22-20
17-28
20-20
22-20
17-22
22-27
16-26
19-27
25-22
156.6Avg total
74.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.279.0151.2-6.833%
Season at home (4)77.579.5157.0-2.050%
Season away (5)68.078.6146.6-10.620%
Last 10 (10)74.182.5156.6-8.430%
Last 5 (5)75.283.4158.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.283.8160.9-6.535%
vs Similar (7)81.785.9167.6-4.143%
vs Weaker (3)93.799.7193.3-6.033%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
FenerbahceAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/11
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#15
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H12/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A16/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A19/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/12
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.877.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.175.9+3.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.578.9-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.043.482.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (13)39.135.274.3+3.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.338.278.6+2.150%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
75.9Avg total
36.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.883.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.640.783.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.683.9-5.212%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.075.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.041.180.2-2.140%-
vs Similar (7)44.443.688.0+0.929%-
vs Weaker (3)45.052.097.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.1
54.9%
53.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.4
37.7%
36.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
75.6%15.4
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.7
53.6%
53.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
36.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
75.6%13.7
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLWLLWLWW
Afyon Belediye
LLWLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#16
+5.1
Net rating
-12.4
111.8
Offensive rating
104.3
106.7
Defensive rating
116.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.7%
3-point %
31.9%
72.4%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 104.3Defence106.7 · 116.8Shooting55.5% · 51.1%3-point %37.7% · 31.9%Ball care19.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.5% · 25.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
0
Afyon Belediye wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21HMonaco96-86
30/11/21HKarsiyaka91-69
25/11/21HAnadolu Efes84-89
21/11/21ABesiktas82-74
19/11/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-86
16/11/21ABayern63-71
14/11/21HMerkezefendi85-77
12/11/21HOlimpia Milano43-68
07/11/21AYalovaspor86-60
04/11/21ACSKA Moscow91-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/21HBahcesehir Kol.82-102
21/11/21AKarsiyaka76-90
13/11/21HPetkim Spor91-70
06/11/21ABesiktas48-68
24/10/21AMerkezefendi79-87
17/10/21HBuyukcekmece76-66
10/10/21AYalovaspor51-63
03/10/21HTurk Telekom61-80
25/09/21AGaziantep86-85
27/04/21HOGM Ormanspor91-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game83.487.879.0
Allowed / game71.871.472.2
Point differential+11.6+16.4+6.8
Avg total155.2159.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game72.277.568.0
Allowed / game79.079.578.6
Point differential-6.8-2.0-10.6
Avg total151.2157.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%83.471.8+11.6
2 Anadolu Efes108280%88.479.6+8.8
3 Karsiyaka118373%79.173.3+5.8
4 Darussafaka107370%76.873.3+3.5
5 Galatasaray117464%88.481.4+7.0
6 Gaziantep117464%80.576.2+4.3
7 Tofas117464%84.584.4+0.1
8 Bahcesehir Kol.105550%82.779.2+3.5
9 Bursaspor115645%79.179.8-0.7
10 Besiktas115645%72.775.5-2.7
11 Turk Telekom114736%72.573.1-0.5
12 Afyon Belediye93633%72.279.0-6.8
13 Yalovaspor103730%75.578.9-3.4
14 Buyukcekmece103730%80.585.3-4.8
15 Merkezefendi112918%73.684.8-11.2
16 Petkim Spor111109%70.584.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce29252521100
Afyon Belediye111615951
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