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Afyon Belediye vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 103-85
22-24 30-27 20-7 31-27
Position#9
Record11-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#1
Record22-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game73.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Anadolu Efes
11 Dec 2021
ABE83
EFS140
07 Mar 2021
ABE103
EFS85
09 Dec 2019
ABE84
EFS88
11 May 2019
ABE74
EFS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-29
45-13
15-22
25-21
17-19
22-23
9-33
20-26
25-26
19-23
25-25
17-18
23-19
19-21
18-19
28-17
25-13
22-18
19-28
21-27
24-20
15-18
25-18
19-21
19-13
17-24
25-21
28-22
31-24
15-25
12-18
16-25
22-19
20-23
19-22
29-21
20-30
19-22
15-22
173.2Avg total
85.6Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.985.2167.1-3.350%
Season at home (10)81.381.2162.5+0.160%
Season away (12)82.488.5170.9-6.142%
Last 10 (10)85.687.6173.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)82.287.0169.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.585.5163.1-8.027%
vs Similar (12)83.882.8166.6+0.950%
vs Weaker (3)95.092.0187.0+3.067%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A04/02
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H18/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
106-74
106
74
+32
A26/02
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H02/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H04/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
27-22
19-17
11-20
32-16
20-25
19-16
29-19
27-22
26-28
19-15
16-21
27-25
15-16
25-17
17-22
21-19
24-17
27-24
22-23
11-26
32-8
15-9
18-10
24-11
29-28
28-19
25-16
35-22
31-18
19-17
16-28
18-23
28-17
22-18
31-25
31-13
24-15
20-17
25-25
169.6Avg total
93.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.173.3161.4+14.8100%
Season at home (11)88.772.8161.5+15.9100%
Season away (11)87.573.8161.3+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)93.476.2169.6+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)96.473.0169.4+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)80.580.7161.2-0.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.173.8160.0+12.383%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Afyon BelediyeAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.1Avg total
45.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.384.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.040.880.8-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)42.945.688.4-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.188.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.490.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.743.281.9-4.533%-
vs Similar (12)45.742.888.4+2.950%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.385.3-7.30%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H26/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#2
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A04/02
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A26/02
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H02/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H04/03
Euroleague
89.5Avg total
51.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.637.982.5+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.036.781.7+8.376%-
Last 30 away (13)44.139.483.5+4.769%-
Last 10 (10)51.138.489.5+12.7100%-
Last 5 (5)52.636.288.8+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.341.285.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.081.7+7.679%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.0
54.4%
53.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.2
40.7%
36.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.410.1
70.1%
74.6%10.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.6
43.1%
36.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
74.6%14.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLWWWWLLW
Anadolu Efes
WWWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-0.9
Net rating
+23.6
113.8
Offensive rating
125.4
114.7
Defensive rating
101.9
56.7%
Effective FG%
61.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.7%
3-point %
43.1%
66.3%
Assist %
69.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 125.4Defence114.7 · 101.9Shooting56.7% · 61.7%3-point %40.7% · 43.1%Ball care18.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.4% · 29.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Afyon Belediye wins
4
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21ABuyukcekmece83-95
09/02/21HBahcesehir Kol.77-89
06/02/21ATurk Telekom86-89
30/01/21HDarussafaka80-79
24/01/21ATofas85-83
16/01/21HPetkim Spor94-76
10/01/21AGaziantep88-84 OT
03/01/21AFethiye Bld.89-100
27/12/20HBesiktas73-96
20/12/20AOGM Ormanspor101-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21HCSKA Moscow100-70
02/03/21HValencia99-83
28/02/21HFethiye Bld.101-85
26/02/21AFenerbahce106-74
18/02/21HOlympiacos76-53
09/02/21ABuyukcekmece94-83
07/02/21HBesiktas84-80
04/02/21ABarcelona88-86
31/01/21ABahcesehir Kol.100-76
26/01/21HCrvena zvezda86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%60%42%
Points / game81.981.382.4
Allowed / game85.281.288.5
Point differential-3.3+0.1-6.1
Avg total167.1162.5170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Anadolu Efes
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.188.787.5
Allowed / game73.372.873.8
Point differential+14.8+15.9+13.6
Avg total161.4161.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%82%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes22220100%88.173.3+14.8
2 Karsiyaka2319483%84.774.6+10.1
3 Fenerbahce2216673%85.976.7+9.2
4 Turk Telekom2213959%83.281.4+1.8
5 Tofas23131057%85.282.0+3.2
6 Besiktas23131057%83.380.3+3.0
7 Darussafaka23121152%80.878.5+2.3
8 Gaziantep23121152%75.774.0+1.7
9 Afyon Belediye22111150%81.985.2-3.3
10 Petkim Spor2391439%81.581.3+0.1
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2281436%81.283.0-1.9
12 Buyukcekmece2381535%80.487.3-6.8
13 Bursaspor2271532%79.284.9-5.7
14 Galatasaray2371630%79.986.0-6.1
15 OGM Ormanspor2361726%77.887.7-9.9
16 Fethiye Bld.2351822%75.787.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye22302031103
Anadolu Efes242772785
← all games of the day
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