Afyon Belediye vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 81-83

17-25 23-19 16-19 25-20

Position#13

Record7-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game80.2

Afyon Belediye

Darussafaka 🏆

Position#6

Record12-10

FormWLLLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game76.5

Basketbol Süper LigiRound 23

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Darussafaka

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Darussafaka winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon Belediye Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buyukcekmece

#15

81-69

+12

H22/12

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#10

81-90

-9

A29/12

Basketbol Süper Ligi

iLab Basketbol

#16

96-73

+23

H05/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gaziantep

#11

92-95

-3

H12/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

83-92

-9

A26/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

#14

95-91 OT

H02/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

77-83

-6

A09/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

90-92

-2

A27/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

62-64

-2

H01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

71-79

-8

A08/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

21-15

18-19

15-14

27-21

21-17

18-27

19-16

23-30

26-21

20-12

27-19

23-21

27-25

20-28

16-23

29-19

23-33

17-15

20-19

23-25

14-22

17-15

17-20

27-18

27-13

16-27

18-20

16-23

33-27

22-27

18-20

17-18

17-20

15-12

19-12

11-20

13-22

23-23

18-19

17-15

165.6Avg total

82.8Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.0	80.2	159.2	-1.2	32%
Season at home (11)	78.8	77.9	156.7	+0.9	36%
Season away (11)	79.2	82.5	161.6	-3.3	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	82.8	165.6	+0.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	81.8	160.8	-2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.7	85.2	158.8	-11.5	8%
vs Similar (12)	80.0	82.8	162.8	-2.8	25%
vs Weaker (6)	88.0	74.8	162.8	+13.2	83%

This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Darussafaka Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buyukcekmece

#15

105-56

105

+49

H12/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#10

87-79

A25/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

iLab Basketbol

#16

88-74

+14

H01/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gaziantep

#11

86-77

A08/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

81-71

+10

H11/02

Turkish Cup

Galatasaray

85-71

+14

H14/02

Turkish Cup

Fenerbahce

71-74

-3

H16/02

Turkish Cup

Turk Telekom

77-80 OT

-3

H26/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

#14

87-91

-4

A29/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

79-88

-9

H08/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

23-16

36-16

24-15

22-9

27-27

26-25

22-14

12-13

22-20

27-23

14-13

25-18

22-28

27-16

14-17

23-16

24-14

14-25

20-10

23-22

13-20

24-18

19-12

29-21

11-13

19-17

18-17

23-27

20-21

21-12

17-25

12-12

21-28

27-19

13-27

26-17

19-19

17-19

18-16

25-34

160.7Avg total

84.6Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.9	76.5	158.3	+5.4	55%
Season at home (12)	80.8	72.5	153.3	+8.3	67%
Season away (10)	83.1	81.2	164.3	+1.9	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	76.1	160.7	+8.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	80.8	160.6	-1.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.0	83.5	159.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.6	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	85.4	70.9	156.3	+14.5	72%

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Afyon BelediyeDarussafaka

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	8%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.1	40.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	21.2	39.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	23.2	42.6	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	15.7	36.5	+5.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.4	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.8	17.6	42.3	+7.2	83%	-

Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buyukcekmece

#15

39-34

H22/12

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#10

39-44

-5

A29/12

Basketbol Süper Ligi

iLab Basketbol

#16

46-33

+13

H05/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gaziantep

#11

47-53

-6

H12/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

40-48

-8

A26/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

#14

31-37

-6

H02/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

43-40

A09/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

55-54

A27/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

32-32

H01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

36-45

-9

A08/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

82.8Avg total

40.8Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.2	81.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.7	42.1	78.8	-5.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	42.4	84.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.0	82.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.6	42.8	78.4	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.3	44.0	85.3	-2.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	37.3	79.0	+4.3	50%	-

This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buyukcekmece

#15

59-32

+27

H12/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#10

53-52

A25/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

iLab Basketbol

#16

49-43

H01/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gaziantep

#11

49-44

A08/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

38-39

-1

H11/02

Turkish Cup

Galatasaray

37-38

-1

H14/02

Turkish Cup

Fenerbahce

30-30

H16/02

Turkish Cup

Turk Telekom

41-33

H26/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

#14

48-47

A29/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

36-38

-2

H08/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

83.6Avg total

44.0Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.3	37.1	77.3	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	45.0	40.4	85.4	+4.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.2	41.0	74.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.2	37.6	82.8	+7.6	78%	-

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.3	38.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	21.1	38.8	-3.3	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.1	15.8	35.9	+4.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.6	34.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.8	39.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+4.9	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.1	38.3	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.3	21.2	41.6	-0.9	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	19.2	39.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.4	78.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	39.4	80.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.0	72.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.1	42.3	80.4	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	34.8	77.8	+8.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.2	76.6	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.5	35.3	75.8	+5.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.3	37.5	77.8	+2.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	35.5	75.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.6	81.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.8	42.5	85.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	42.1	82.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.8	32.7	72.6	+7.1	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 73.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.2	49.1%	54.1%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	7.7	34.1%	35.6%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	15.6	12.3	78.8%	75.9%	12.3

They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	23.1	56.8%	54.1%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	8.6	38.7%	35.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.2	78.3%	75.9%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.5	49.9%	54.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	6.7	31.5%	35.6%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.6	74.7%	75.9%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.1	53.1%	54.1%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	8.5	37.8%	35.6%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	19.2	15.1	78.5%	75.9%	15.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Afyon Belediye wins

Darussafaka wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/19	Darussafaka v Afyon Belediye	68-72
25/03/19	Darussafaka v Afyon Belediye	85-67
25/11/18	Afyon Belediye v Darussafaka	93-96

Afyon Belediyelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Tofas	71-79
01/03/20	H	Fenerbahce	62-64
27/02/20	A	Besiktas	90-92
09/02/20	A	Galatasaray	77-83
02/02/20	H	Bahcesehir Kol.	95-91 OT
26/01/20	A	Turk Telekom	83-92
12/01/20	H	Gaziantep	92-95
05/01/20	H	iLab Basketbol	96-73
29/12/19	A	Bursaspor	81-90
22/12/19	H	Buyukcekmece	81-69

Darussafakalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Galatasaray	79-88
29/02/20	A	Bahcesehir Kol.	87-91
26/02/20	H	Turk Telekom	77-80 OT
16/02/20	H	Fenerbahce	71-74
14/02/20	H	Galatasaray	85-71
11/02/20	H	Anadolu Efes	81-71
08/02/20	A	Gaziantep	86-77
01/02/20	H	iLab Basketbol	88-74
25/01/20	A	Bursaspor	87-79
12/01/20	H	Buyukcekmece	105-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	32%
Home	WWLWL	36%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	36%	27%
Points / game	79.0	78.8	79.2
Allowed / game	80.2	77.9	82.5
Point differential	-1.2	+0.9	-3.3
Avg total	159.2	156.7	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	29% (7)	60% (5)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

Darussafaka

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	55%
Home	WWWLL	67%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	55%	67%	40%
Points / game	81.9	80.8	83.1
Allowed / game	76.5	72.5	81.2
Point differential	+5.4	+8.3	+1.9
Avg total	158.3	153.3	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	42%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Anadolu Efes	21	19	2	90%	88.4	75.0	+13.3
2	Karsiyaka	23	20	3	87%	83.7	69.0	+14.7
3	Fenerbahce	22	17	5	77%	80.2	72.7	+7.5
4	Galatasaray	23	16	7	70%	81.2	78.4	+2.8
5	Tofas	22	15	7	68%	87.6	77.5	+10.1
6	Darussafaka	22	12	10	55%	81.9	76.5	+5.4
7	Bandirma	23	12	11	52%	81.0	78.6	+2.4
8	Besiktas	22	11	11	50%	79.0	79.4	-0.4
9	Turk Telekom	22	11	11	50%	77.4	78.5	-1.1
10	Bursaspor	21	10	11	48%	78.8	82.5	-3.7
11	Gaziantep	23	9	14	39%	81.4	83.9	-2.5
12	Afyon Belediye	22	7	15	32%	79.0	80.2	-1.2
13	Bahcesehir Kol.	22	7	15	32%	80.3	86.0	-5.7
14	OGM Ormanspor	22	7	15	32%	77.3	83.6	-6.3
15	Buyukcekmece	23	3	20	13%	73.6	91.5	-17.9
16	iLab Basketbol	23	2	21	9%	74.8	91.0	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Afyon Belediye	17	23	16	25	81
Darussafaka	25	19	19	20	83

← all games of the day

Afyon Belediye vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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