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Afyon Belediye vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 80-79
19-21 19-13 17-24 25-21
Position#9
Record10-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#7
Record9-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Darussafaka
29 Dec 2021
ABE64
DAR115
30 Jan 2021
ABE80
DAR79
14 Mar 2020
ABE81
DAR83
25 Nov 2018
ABE93
DAR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
86avg 77
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 77
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 77
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 77
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
90avg 77
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
61avg 77
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
86avg 77
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
no box
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 77
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 77
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
13-23
20-24
17-26
24-21
33-20
22-25
12-23
30-12
24-21
17-29
45-13
15-22
25-21
17-19
22-23
9-33
20-26
25-26
19-23
25-25
17-18
23-19
19-21
18-19
28-17
25-13
22-18
19-28
21-27
24-20
15-18
25-18
172.3Avg total
85.9Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.084.6166.6-2.656%
Season at home (8)82.080.5162.5+1.562%
Season away (10)82.087.8169.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)85.986.4172.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)85.887.8173.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.785.8162.5-9.123%
vs Similar (12)84.181.7165.8+2.458%
vs Weaker (5)92.483.6176.0+8.880%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
63avg 73
A09/12
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 73
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
69avg 73
H22/12
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 73
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
75avg 73
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
78avg 73
H13/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
76avg 73
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#30
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 73
A27/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-25
19-25
14-27
22-15
21-14
15-25
24-21
22-16
14-24
20-15
15-19
22-17
13-27
21-21
16-20
15-21
20-18
23-18
12-24
21-22
23-19
16-21
24-10
27-19
13-20
23-18
20-30
19-18
31-22
19-20
16-16
20-25
19-18
20-19
26-20
21-26
19-17
14-21
13-13
157.8Avg total
76.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.879.4161.2+2.453%
Season at home (10)83.781.0164.7+2.760%
Season away (7)79.177.1156.3+2.043%
Last 10 (10)76.980.9157.8-4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.878.8159.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.085.4160.4-10.40%
vs Similar (9)76.980.6157.4-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.278.2163.3+7.069%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
Afyon BelediyeDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.9Avg total
42.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.583.5-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.080.6+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)41.244.785.9-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.286.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.286.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.243.780.9-6.523%-
vs Similar (12)45.241.887.0+3.558%-
vs Weaker (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/12
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/12
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#30
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A27/01
Champions League
80.5Avg total
39.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.180.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.439.478.9+0.033%-
Last 30 away (12)41.841.082.8+0.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.680.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.283.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.040.476.4-4.414%-
vs Similar (9)37.938.376.2-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.741.285.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.110.5
69.5%
74.6%10.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.7
50.1%
53.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.414.1
72.7%
74.6%14.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
WWWLLWWLWL
Darussafaka
LWWLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#7
-4.2
Net rating
-4.6
109.6
Offensive rating
106.6
113.8
Defensive rating
111.2
57.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.8%
3-point %
34.2%
64.5%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 106.6Defence113.8 · 111.2Shooting57.2% · 50.6%3-point %37.8% · 34.2%Ball care20.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
4
Darussafaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21ATofas85-83
16/01/21HPetkim Spor94-76
10/01/21AGaziantep88-84 OT
03/01/21AFethiye Bld.89-100
27/12/20HBesiktas73-96
20/12/20AOGM Ormanspor101-85
12/12/20HGalatasaray97-80
06/12/20AFenerbahce74-94
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21AOostende67-77
23/01/21HBuyukcekmece85-82
17/01/21ABahcesehir Kol.85-76
13/01/21HBrindisi83-87
10/01/21HTurk Telekom84-72
02/01/21HAnadolu Efes70-81
27/12/20HTofas72-85
22/12/20HSan Pablo Burgos71-74
13/12/20HGaziantep82-75
09/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos70-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game82.082.082.0
Allowed / game84.680.587.8
Point differential-2.6+1.5-5.8
Avg total166.6162.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%60%43%
Points / game81.883.779.1
Allowed / game79.481.077.1
Point differential+2.4+2.7+2.0
Avg total161.2164.7156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes18180100%86.671.6+15.0
2 Karsiyaka1815383%82.673.6+9.1
3 Fenerbahce1814478%87.076.2+10.8
4 Tofas1810856%85.981.7+4.2
5 Turk Telekom1810856%83.581.5+2.0
6 Afyon Belediye1810856%82.084.6-2.6
7 Darussafaka179853%81.879.4+2.4
8 Besiktas189950%82.781.1+1.7
9 Gaziantep1881044%73.473.3+0.2
10 Buyukcekmece1871139%80.185.8-5.7
11 Bursaspor1971237%79.785.8-6.1
12 Petkim Spor1861233%81.382.4-1.2
13 Bahcesehir Kol.1861233%80.882.2-1.4
14 Galatasaray1861233%81.386.5-5.2
15 OGM Ormanspor1851328%77.788.1-10.4
16 Fethiye Bld.1841422%75.888.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1919172580
Darussafaka2113242179
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