Afyon Belediye vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2015

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 61-82

19-27 13-16 12-18 17-21

Position#15

Record11-22

FormLWLWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game83.9

Afyon Belediye

Denizli Basket 🏆

Position#1

Record26-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game69.3

TBLRound 34

Other2014-15

Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Denizli Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denizli Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon Belediye Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Final Spor

#13

80-83

-3

A06/03

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

86-84

H14/03

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#16

54-65

-11

A21/03

TBL

Adanaspor

78-77

H28/03

TBL

Buyukcekmece

93-92

A04/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

74-81

-7

H11/04

TBL

ITU

#17

81-76

H15/04

TBL

Socar Spor

#10

72-74

-2

A18/04

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#12

98-77

+21

H25/04

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

#11

53-80

-27

A01/05

TBL

22-17

13-31

26-13

19-22

–

20-19

10-18

15-15

9-13

–

25-33

29-21

17-21

22-17

18-16

23-25

16-23

17-17

12-20

25-22

19-16

25-18

16-17

18-15

15-22

23-20

23-21

18-15

30-21

27-20

13-20

18-21

15-19

7-20

155.8Avg total

76.9Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	77.4	83.9	161.3	-6.5	33%
Season at home (16)	79.8	80.9	160.7	-1.1	50%
Season away (17)	75.1	86.8	161.9	-11.6	18%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	78.9	155.8	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	77.6	153.2	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	77.5	84.7	162.2	-7.3	32%
vs Similar (11)	79.2	82.1	161.3	-2.9	45%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli Basket Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mersin SK

#18

80-75

A07/03

TBL

Meliksah

89-69

+20

H14/03

TBL

Pertevniyal

#14

78-76

A21/03

TBL

Yesilgiresun

86-88 OT

-2

H28/03

TBL

Final Spor

#13

96-92 OT

A03/04

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

78-62

+16

H11/04

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#16

72-67

A14/04

TBL

Adanaspor

69-70

-1

H18/04

TBL

Buyukcekmece

76-74

A25/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

74-73

H02/05

TBL

19-12

13-20

28-15

20-28

21-20

20-20

25-6

23-23

26-12

18-19

15-30

19-15

16-14

22-19

25-20

13-23

24-17

21-21

17-27

24-21

17-13

18-17

26-18

17-14

22-16

19-19

14-12

17-20

21-12

16-21

18-17

14-20

19-23

13-13

19-21

25-17

24-13

20-22

15-13

15-25

154.4Avg total

79.8Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	78.5	69.3	147.8	+9.2	79%
Season at home (17)	79.4	64.3	143.7	+15.1	82%
Season away (16)	77.6	74.6	152.2	+2.9	75%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	74.6	154.4	+5.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	69.2	143.0	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	75.9	68.4	144.2	+7.5	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	78.4	69.1	147.5	+9.3	82%

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Afyon BelediyeDenizli Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	21.9	40.6	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	15.4	35.9	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	16.3	36.1	+3.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.2	36.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.4	15.8	36.1	+4.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.1	17.1	34.2	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	16.1	33.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	18.1	34.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	16.9	16.0	32.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	38%	-

Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Final Spor

#13

35-48

-13

A06/03

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#16

30-37

-7

A21/03

TBL

Buyukcekmece

54-54

A04/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

41-41

H11/04

TBL

ITU

#17

37-42

-5

H15/04

TBL

Socar Spor

#10

34-32

A18/04

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#12

41-36

H25/04

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

#11

31-41

-10

A01/05

TBL

79.2Avg total

37.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.3	40.4	77.8	-3.1	32%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.4	39.1	76.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.4	78.7	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.9	41.4	79.2	-3.5	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	38.4	75.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.8	41.1	78.8	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mersin SK

#18

32-32

A07/03

TBL

Meliksah

41-40

H14/03

TBL

Pertevniyal

#14

44-31

+13

A21/03

TBL

Yesilgiresun

38-33

H28/03

TBL

Final Spor

#13

45-38

A03/04

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

35-30

H11/04

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#16

41-35

A14/04

TBL

Adanaspor

37-33

H18/04

TBL

Buyukcekmece

32-36

-4

A25/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

44-35

H02/05

TBL

73.2Avg total

38.9Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	32.9	70.2	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	31.5	69.7	+6.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	34.4	70.7	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	34.3	73.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	37.2	31.8	69.0	+5.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	37.3	33.3	70.7	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.7	21.2	41.0	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.1	12%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	22.1	40.8	-3.3	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.9	17.8	36.6	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	76%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.2	40.7	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	41%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	17.2	36.7	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	15.7	34.3	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.8	17.1	37.0	+2.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.9	42.6	82.5	-2.7	29%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.7	41.0	83.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	43.8	81.7	-5.9	12%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.8	37.1	74.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.6	43.4	82.1	-4.8	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	32.3	71.9	+7.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	37.9	77.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	38.5	77.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	35.4	71.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	37.4	35.1	72.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.2	34.9	75.1	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Afyon Belediye wins

Denizli Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/15	Denizli Basket v Afyon Belediye	85-62

Afyon Belediyelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/15	A	Gediz Universitesi	53-80
25/04/15	H	MKE Ankaragucu	98-77
18/04/15	A	Socar Spor	72-74
15/04/15	H	ITU	81-76
11/04/15	H	Best Balikesir	74-81
04/04/15	A	Buyukcekmece	93-92
28/03/15	H	Adanaspor	78-77
21/03/15	A	Istanbul DSI	54-65
14/03/15	H	Akhisar Belediye	86-84
06/03/15	A	Final Spor	80-83

Denizli Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/15	H	Best Balikesir	74-73
25/04/15	A	Buyukcekmece	76-74
18/04/15	H	Adanaspor	69-70
14/04/15	A	Istanbul DSI	72-67
11/04/15	H	Akhisar Belediye	78-62
03/04/15	A	Final Spor	96-92 OT
28/03/15	H	Yesilgiresun	86-88 OT
21/03/15	A	Pertevniyal	78-76
14/03/15	H	Meliksah	89-69
07/03/15	A	Mersin SK	80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye

TBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	WWLWW	50%
Away	LLWLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	33%	50%	18%
Points / game	77.4	79.8	75.1
Allowed / game	83.9	80.9	86.8
Point differential	-6.5	-1.1	-11.6
Avg total	161.3	160.7	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	6%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	71% (7)	50% (6)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Denizli Basket

TBL 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	79%
Home	WLWLW	82%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	79%	82%	75%
Points / game	78.5	79.4	77.6
Allowed / game	69.3	64.3	74.6
Point differential	+9.2	+15.1	+2.9
Avg total	147.8	143.7	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	65%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	82% (11)	60% (5)	100% (6)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Denizli Basket	33	26	7	79%	78.5	69.3	+9.2
2	Best Balikesir	33	24	9	73%	78.8	72.3	+6.5
3	Sakarya BB	33	24	9	73%	77.5	71.4	+6.2
4	Buyukcekmece	33	23	10	70%	79.0	74.0	+5.0
5	Akhisar Belediye	33	22	11	67%	76.0	72.7	+3.2
6	Yesilgiresun	33	20	13	61%	76.7	72.5	+4.1
7	Adanaspor	33	19	14	58%	85.1	83.4	+1.6
8	Gelisim Koleji	33	19	14	58%	76.0	74.4	+1.6
9	Meliksah	33	19	14	58%	77.1	75.7	+1.4
10	Socar Spor	33	15	18	45%	82.9	82.9	+0.0
11	Gediz Universitesi	33	14	19	42%	72.8	74.3	-1.5
12	Final Spor	33	12	21	36%	81.9	84.8	-2.9
13	MKE Ankaragucu	33	12	21	36%	76.2	80.3	-4.1
14	Pertevniyal	33	11	22	33%	76.1	79.4	-3.3
15	Afyon Belediye	33	11	22	33%	77.4	83.9	-6.5
16	Istanbul DSI	33	10	23	30%	70.4	76.9	-6.5
17	ITU	33	9	24	27%	72.5	81.3	-8.8
18	Mersin SK	33	7	26	21%	71.3	76.5	-5.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Afyon Belediye	19	13	12	17	61
Denizli Basket	27	16	18	21	82

← all games of the day

Afyon Belediye vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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