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Afyon Belediye vs Merkezefendi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 92-83
25-24 24-14 22-22 21-23
Position#16
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#14
Record5-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 20
Domestic2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
51-100
51
100
-49
38avg 64
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
83-140
83
140
-57
62avg 64
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
82-124
82
124
-42
56avg 64
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
55-108
55
108
-53
28avg 64
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
64-115
64
115
-51
50avg 64
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
55-145
55
145
-90
43avg 64
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
63-100
63
100
-37
46avg 64
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
85-135
85
135
-50
72avg 64
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
63avg 64
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
27avg 64
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
16-25
15-25
9-21
13-46
20-29
14-38
36-27
20-23
22-26
20-37
20-38
12-29
16-29
15-15
12-35
19-35
16-27
6-31
23-22
15-27
19-54
14-35
7-29
4-23
14-34
11-23
34-20
18-31
23-42
14-36
30-26
12-28
21-29
16-25
24-24
16-27
21-25
15-20
24-16
184.8Avg total
68.7Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.498.5168.9-28.216%
Season at home (9)72.098.6170.6-26.622%
Season away (10)68.998.5167.4-29.610%
Last 10 (10)68.7116.1184.8-47.40%
Last 5 (5)70.4114.8185.2-44.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.995.2169.1-21.324%
vs Similar (4)76.293.8170.0-17.50%
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 68
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 68
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
64avg 68
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
72avg 68
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
89-70
89
70
+19
87avg 68
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
67-90
67
90
-23
63avg 68
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 68
H19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
56avg 68
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
76-82
76
82
-6
61avg 68
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
15-26
18-22
25-24
23-22
17-28
18-21
19-26
21-25
19-21
11-26
21-22
17-17
27-23
14-18
21-21
19-14
16-20
22-21
17-14
16-13
24-20
14-17
35-20
20-26
17-17
12-27
18-20
20-29
29-32
23-37
17-15
19-22
16-15
15-25
14-18
13-16
19-25
23-20
21-21
164.0Avg total
77.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.584.6160.1-9.128%
Season at home (8)75.983.6159.5-7.838%
Season away (10)75.285.3160.5-10.120%
Last 10 (10)77.186.9164.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)77.087.0164.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.686.1158.7-13.515%
vs Similar (4)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.370.4157.7+16.9100%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-20-10+0+10+20Q1Q1: -15.8-15.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -13.2-13.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -14.5-14.5Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-20-10+0+10+20Q1Q1: -15.8-15.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -13.2-13.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -14.5-14.5Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Afyon BelediyeMerkezefendi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-75
33
75
-42
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
34-81
34
81
-47
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
18-57
18
57
-39
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
41-73
41
73
-32
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
94.6Avg total
32.8Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.948.886.7-10.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.148.385.5-11.233%-
Last 30 away (15)38.749.388.0-10.77%-
Last 10 (10)32.861.894.6-29.00%-
Last 5 (5)32.664.096.6-31.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.948.885.7-11.924%-
vs Similar (4)41.547.889.2-6.20%-
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
38.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.779.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.838.579.2+2.346%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.679.2-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.881.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.242.778.8-6.515%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.736.879.5+5.854%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.715.5
39.0%
53.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.9
31.2%
36.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws12.210.2
83.6%
75.6%10.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.7
51.8%
53.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
36.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.111.7
77.5%
75.6%11.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLLLLLLLL
Merkezefendi
LLLLWWWLLL
#16
League position
#14
-57.9
Net rating
-16.3
83.7
Offensive rating
104.7
141.6
Defensive rating
120.9
42.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
65.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
34.5%
50.4%
Assist %
66.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 104.7Defence141.6 · 120.9Shooting42.3% · 51.7%3-point %31.2% · 34.5%Ball care19.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds19.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.18 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Merkezefendi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Afyon Belediye wins
1
Merkezefendi wins
DateGameScore
24/10/21Merkezefendi v Afyon Belediye87-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22ABuyukcekmece76-88
22/01/22HYalovaspor73-106
16/01/22ATurk Telekom85-135
08/01/22HGaziantep63-100
02/01/22ATofas55-145
29/12/21HDarussafaka64-115
25/12/21HBursaspor55-108
18/12/21AGalatasaray82-124
11/12/21HAnadolu Efes83-140
05/12/21AFenerbahce51-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22AYalovaspor76-82
22/01/22HGaziantep64-80
19/01/22HBahcesehir Kol.89-113
15/01/22ABursaspor67-90
26/12/21APetkim Spor89-70
18/12/21HDarussafaka74-69
12/12/21ABuyukcekmece90-85 OT
04/12/21ATurk Telekom72-94
01/12/21ATofas77-97
20/11/21HGalatasaray73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game70.472.068.9
Allowed / game98.598.698.5
Point differential-28.2-26.6-29.6
Avg total168.9170.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL28%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%38%20%
Points / game75.575.975.2
Allowed / game84.683.685.3
Point differential-9.1-7.8-10.1
Avg total160.1159.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1915479%82.672.8+9.8
2 Anadolu Efes1814478%90.279.4+10.8
3 Darussafaka1913668%77.772.8+4.9
4 Karsiyaka1913668%80.875.9+4.8
5 Gaziantep2013765%80.874.7+6.2
6 Galatasaray1912763%90.181.0+9.1
7 Tofas1912763%86.781.7+5.1
8 Bahcesehir Kol.1911858%86.781.9+4.7
9 Bursaspor168850%81.478.2+3.2
10 Besiktas189950%74.974.3+0.6
11 Turk Telekom1981142%76.474.1+2.3
12 Yalovaspor1861233%75.180.2-5.1
13 Merkezefendi1851328%75.584.6-9.1
14 Buyukcekmece1941521%78.186.3-8.3
15 Petkim Spor1931616%74.885.7-10.9
16 Afyon Belediye1931616%70.498.5-28.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye2524222192
Merkezefendi2414222383
← all games of the day
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