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Agrigento vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-76
18-18 18-19 14-13 19-26
Position#19
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.2
ItalySerie A2Round 5· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Agrigento v Treviglio
22 Oct 2023
AGRI69
TREV76
04 Dec 2022
AGRI67
TREV54
11 Nov 2018
AGRI83
TREV91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H23/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
78-107
78
107
-29
no box
A29/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H07/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A13/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A15/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
H19/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
57avg 61
H01/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 61
A07/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 61
H11/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 61
A14/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
23-19
24-19
19-18
20-29
19-22
23-30
16-26
17-18
23-11
20-20
17-20
14-22
21-15
7-20
25-26
25-21
13-16
14-27
11-15
23-20
15-14
21-23
25-27
7-19
15-19
27-16
18-21
21-12
22-20
17-24
15-13
17-25
25-18
11-23
17-11
16-15
25-21
18-18
15-22
156.7Avg total
75.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.574.2145.8-2.825%
Season at home (2)68.576.0144.5-7.50%
Season away (2)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)75.281.5156.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)75.478.8154.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.678.8152.3-5.222%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.884.8169.5+0.056%
vs Weaker (5)81.669.4151.0+12.280%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A19/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
no box
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 76
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 76
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 76
A15/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
22-19
18-22
21-20
19-17
28-18
16-12
18-16
18-17
9-20
15-19
10-11
27-17
16-20
21-15
19-20
18-26
20-18
20-19
21-16
21-20
23-17
19-24
24-27
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
160.0Avg total
79.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.588.2170.8-5.850%
Season at home (2)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
Season away (2)76.586.5163.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)79.980.1160.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.488.2171.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.588.5178.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.279.2161.4+3.060%
vs Weaker (18)79.574.4153.9+5.161%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
AgrigentoTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A29/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H07/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H01/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/10
Serie A2
76.8Avg total
38.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.979.2+3.580%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.979.6-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.376.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.673.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.638.773.2-4.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.241.084.2+2.269%-
vs Weaker (5)39.835.475.2+4.480%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A19/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.482.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.578.4+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.888.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.540.087.5+7.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.040.883.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker (18)40.237.878.0+2.456%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.515.2
43.0%
50.3%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.010.0
58.8%
74.2%10.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.0
48.2%
50.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.1%
34.1%26.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.0
66.7%
74.2%10.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LLWLLLLWLW
Treviglio
LWWLLLWLWW
#19
League position
#16
-4.3
Net rating
-8.0
92.6
Offensive rating
101.3
96.8
Defensive rating
109.3
46.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.2%
3-point %
36.1%
66.3%
Assist %
67.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 101.3Defence96.8 · 109.3Shooting46.7% · 50.2%3-point %34.2% · 36.1%Ball care16.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds19.3% · 20.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Agrigento   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Agrigento wins
3
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
26/02/23Treviglio v Agrigento86-82
04/12/22Agrigento v Treviglio67-54
17/02/19Treviglio v Agrigento94-68
11/11/18Agrigento v Treviglio83-91
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AMonferrato74-76
11/10/23HBasket Torino70-77
07/10/23AUrania Milano75-69
01/10/23HSebastiani Rieti67-75
19/05/23HCremona91-97 OT
15/05/23ACremona63-79
13/05/23ACremona67-83
07/05/23HRimini77-69
29/04/23APallacanestro Nardo78-107
23/04/23HChiusi90-83
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
03/06/23ABasket Torino87-88
01/06/23ABasket Torino85-86 OT
29/05/23HBasket Torino83-72
27/05/23HBasket Torino52-67
21/05/23ARimini81-63
19/05/23ARimini81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game71.568.574.5
Allowed / game74.276.072.5
Point differential-2.8-7.5+2.0
Avg total145.8144.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.588.576.5
Allowed / game88.290.086.5
Point differential-5.8-1.5-10.0
Avg total170.8178.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%81.066.8+14.2
2 Cantu54180%92.680.4+12.2
3 Basket Torino54180%82.273.2+9.0
4 Trapani54180%86.483.6+2.8
5 Forli43175%81.568.2+13.2
6 Trieste43175%85.279.0+6.2
7 Udine43175%80.574.5+6.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti53260%87.281.4+5.8
9 Urania Milano53260%87.683.4+4.2
10 Assigeco Piacenza53260%82.278.6+3.6
11 JuVi Cremona42250%88.584.5+4.0
12 Verona42250%74.272.0+2.2
13 Cividale42250%73.271.2+2.0
14 Cento42250%77.282.5-5.2
15 Treviglio42250%82.588.2-5.8
16 Monferrato52340%82.682.8-0.2
17 Luiss Roma52340%76.687.4-10.8
18 Agrigento41325%71.574.2-2.8
19 Rimini41325%73.878.2-4.5
20 Orzinuovi41325%71.577.2-5.8
21 Vigevano41325%78.086.5-8.5
22 Nardo51420%77.689.2-11.6
23 Latina5050%76.489.0-12.6
24 Chiusi4040%58.577.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento1818141969
Treviglio1819132676
← all games of the day
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