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Aguada vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 67-80
11-18 24-20 15-17 17-25
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.0
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game71.2
South-AmericaSouth American League
Other2017-18
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/10
South American League
Pinheiros
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/10
South American League
Bigua
#9
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Quilmes
#6
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A14/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
16-21
25-21
23-19
14-27
20-14
19-16
25-20
27-12
11-9
19-9
18-25
19-16
14-19
15-23
27-28
20-32
14-20
22-18
24-26
18-25
16-26
24-21
28-11
11-23
16-22
18-13
17-11
15-29
20-11
18-20
24-15
21-18
20-19
26-17
19-24
12-24
14-13
14-20
17-19
153.0Avg total
75.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.0155.2+5.250%
Season at home (2)95.069.5164.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)65.580.5146.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.676.2149.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.779.3149.0-9.733%
vs Similar (22)81.382.2163.5-0.959%
vs Weaker (5)82.664.0146.6+18.680%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H27/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A30/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H14/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-22
23-15
28-28
18-22
24-21
23-24
22-25
26-14
18-16
17-28
28-16
24-26
17-18
18-26
21-21
21-23
33-18
21-16
25-15
17-14
22-22
16-20
16-20
24-13
19-23
17-19
15-18
22-21
19-15
18-17
22-16
21-13
17-14
24-13
27-22
16-14
30-22
16-18
21-27
162.9Avg total
85.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.071.2153.2+10.8100%
Season at home (2)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)85.065.5150.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.477.5162.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)79.872.2152.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.282.6174.8+9.783%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
AguadaGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#6
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/10
South American League
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/10
South American League
Bigua
#9
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Quilmes
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A14/11
South American League
73.2Avg total
32.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.975.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.034.473.4+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.041.178.1-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.840.473.2-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.074.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.741.069.7-12.30%-
vs Similar (22)39.039.778.8-0.755%-
vs Weaker (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/11
South American League
80.7Avg total
43.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.138.684.7+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.538.386.9+10.293%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.882.5+4.973%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.180.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.275.6+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.338.785.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aguada wins
0
Guaros de Lara wins
No previous meetings.
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/17AQuilmes57-76
10/11/17HNacional86-78
07/11/17HBohemios77-75
03/11/17AMalvin62-69
01/11/17AHebraica y Macabi86-83
28/10/17AWelcome80-96
24/10/17ADefensor75-86
20/10/17HBigua75-55
14/10/17HPinheiros78-77
13/10/17AQuilmes74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/17HCimarrones del Choco83-81
19/10/17AUniverso/Vitoria89-62
18/10/17AMalvin81-69
17/10/17HEstudiantes75-73
24/09/17ATenerife71-76
05/07/17HMarinos100-72
02/07/17AMarinos80-91
01/07/17AMarinos89-74
30/06/17AMarinos87-92
27/06/17HMarinos99-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.295.065.5
Allowed / game75.069.580.5
Point differential+5.2+25.5-15.0
Avg total155.2164.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.079.085.0
Allowed / game71.277.065.5
Point differential+10.8+2.0+19.5
Avg total153.2156.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guaros de Lara440100%82.071.2+10.8
2 Pinheiros64267%86.073.7+12.3
3 Flamengo64267%81.072.5+8.5
4 Olimpia Kings64267%80.076.5+3.5
5 Estudiantes64267%72.771.2+1.5
6 Regatas Lima32167%73.773.0+0.7
7 Quilmes53260%85.277.0+8.2
8 Cimarrones del Choco53260%80.679.8+0.8
9 Aguada42250%80.275.0+5.2
10 San Martin31233%75.073.3+1.7
11 Deportivo Calero31233%81.783.7-2.0
12 Universo/Vitoria31233%68.379.0-10.7
13 Malvin3030%64.772.3-7.7
14 Hebraica y Macabi3030%64.081.0-17.0
15 Hr Portoviejo3030%75.794.7-19.0
16 CDSC Osorno3030%71.0105.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1124151767
Guaros de Lara1820172580
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