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Guaros de Lara vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 20:45
Final 75-73
24-13 19-23 17-19 15-18
Position#1
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
South-AmericaSouth American League
Other2017-18
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes
09 Mar 2018
GUAR73
EST78
07 Dec 2017
GUAR88
EST83
06 Dec 2017
GUAR77
EST74
17 Oct 2017
GUAR75
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#2
W
110-92
110
92
+18
H16/06
LPB
Cocodrilos
#2
W
93-92
93
92
+1
A19/06
LPB
Cocodrilos
#2
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A20/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H26/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H27/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A30/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-13
28-30
33-28
21-19
30-19
25-28
17-26
28-22
22-25
24-26
23-22
27-19
24-26
20-31
25-18
21-20
27-22
23-15
28-28
18-22
24-21
23-24
22-25
26-14
18-16
17-28
28-16
24-26
17-18
18-26
21-21
21-23
33-18
21-16
25-15
17-14
22-22
16-20
16-20
178.5Avg total
92.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.286.3178.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)85.481.0166.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)93.684.7178.3+8.983%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
W
77-69 OT
77
69
+8
H02/10
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/10
Torneo Super 20
Baskonia
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A05/10
ACB
La Union
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/10
Torneo Super 20
Gipuzkoa
#13
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H08/10
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A10/10
Champions League
San Martin
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H12/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H14/10
Torneo Super 20
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A14/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
14-12
14-28
23-15
23-20
24-20
11-18
7-7
23-24
18-15
27-22
21-24
19-20
10-29
31-22
16-23
8-19
20-25
19-23
23-12
11-23
16-25
19-20
29-24
31-15
17-23
17-17
22-24
25-22
18-21
17-18
20-14
17-19
16-17
21-19
19-26
25-18
21-21
18-16
23-17
159.0Avg total
78.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.880.2159.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.479.8160.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.288.3164.5-12.217%
vs Similar (17)79.479.6159.0-0.341%
vs Weaker (7)85.176.9162.0+8.386%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Guaros de LaraEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H16/06
LPB
Cocodrilos
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A19/06
LPB
Cocodrilos
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A20/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H26/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/06
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
86.9Avg total
46.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.639.185.7+7.479%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.738.286.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (14)44.240.184.4+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.086.9+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.839.286.1+7.679%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/10
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/10
Torneo Super 20
Baskonia
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A05/10
ACB
La Union
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A07/10
Torneo Super 20
Gipuzkoa
#13
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H08/10
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A10/10
Champions League
San Martin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/10
Torneo Super 20
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
ACB
78.8Avg total
37.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.677.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.677.5+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.477.0-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.978.8-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.543.779.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (17)36.138.574.5-2.441%-
vs Weaker (7)43.338.982.1+4.486%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.0
47.5%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.38.3
26.6%
-25.0
🏀 Free throws18.315.0
81.8%
-15.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guaros de Lara wins
0
Estudiantes wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/17ATenerife71-76
05/07/17HMarinos100-72
02/07/17AMarinos80-91
01/07/17AMarinos89-74
30/06/17AMarinos87-92
27/06/17HMarinos99-85
26/06/17HMarinos96-94
20/06/17ACocodrilos97-95
19/06/17ACocodrilos93-92
16/06/17HCocodrilos110-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/17ASan Pablo Burgos87-72
14/10/17HLa Union73-81
12/10/17HSan Martin80-75
10/10/17AAEK Athens87-79
08/10/17HGipuzkoa75-92
07/10/17ALa Union70-79
05/10/17ABaskonia76-94
05/10/17ARegatas89-85
02/10/17HDonar Groningen77-69 OT
30/09/17HRegatas74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Estudiantes
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%82.367.3+15.0
2 Aguada32167%88.074.7+13.3
3 Pinheiros32167%87.375.7+11.7
4 Quilmes32167%87.378.3+9.0
5 Cimarrones del Choco32167%76.376.0+0.3
6 San Martin31233%75.073.3+1.7
7 Hebraica y Macabi3030%64.081.0-17.0
8 CDSC Osorno3030%71.0105.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2419171575
Estudiantes1323191873
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