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Penarol vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 May 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 92-59
29-11 24-14 20-12 19-22
Position#3
Record20-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game72.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#6
Record21-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.1
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals
Other2021-22
Meetings · Penarol v Aguada
23 Mar 2023
PENA87
AGUA68
20 Mar 2023
PENA85
AGUA82
18 Jan 2023
PENA83
AGUA74
24 May 2022
PENA85
AGUA60
16 May 2022
PENA92
AGUA59
28 Jan 2022
PENA83
AGUA85
05 Apr 2021
PENA90
AGUA98
13 Nov 2013
PENA72
AGUA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#17
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A19/04
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A27/04
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H30/04
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H01/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A05/05
Liga A
Malvin
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A08/05
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
19-17
15-26
27-16
18-24
28-17
21-13
24-17
18-16
15-12
4-25
12-18
21-20
20-20
14-17
15-24
18-12
13-10
17-27
23-12
25-13
11-26
22-19
22-23
20-17
21-20
18-14
16-17
18-15
26-20
11-19
12-16
16-25
19-23
23-17
19-21
19-16
21-15
13-19
16-14
146.0Avg total
73.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.172.0147.1+3.165%
Season at home (16)78.170.8148.9+7.375%
Season away (15)71.973.3145.2-1.353%
Last 10 (10)73.672.4146.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)73.673.8147.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.976.1151.9-0.256%
vs Weaker (11)77.973.9151.8+4.064%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H20/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A07/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H11/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
18-25
15-22
19-20
18-16
24-16
20-18
31-22
17-21
17-14
9-27
18-22
31-19
13-22
14-19
22-25
11-14
21-12
27-29
21-10
19-18
24-14
23-23
16-16
20-24
17-13
20-12
12-21
23-26
16-21
16-19
30-14
12-24
12-19
26-13
16-12
19-14
15-19
20-17
28-32
156.7Avg total
78.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)80.077.1157.1+2.960%
Season at home (17)79.373.4152.7+5.965%
Season away (18)80.780.6161.3+0.256%
Last 10 (10)78.178.6156.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.676.6156.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.173.8142.9-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.881.2162.9+0.654%
vs Weaker (8)88.879.8168.5+9.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
PenarolAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#17
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A19/04
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A27/04
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A05/05
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/05
Liga A
Malvin
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H10/05
Liga Uruguaya
74.2Avg total
39.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.773.9+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.935.073.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.436.473.8+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.074.2+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.038.079.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.936.674.5+1.361%-
vs Weaker (11)38.334.172.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#2
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H20/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H11/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
74.5Avg total
36.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.338.676.9-0.355%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.937.273.1-1.350%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.980.4+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.174.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.640.175.8-4.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.939.076.9-1.154%-
vs Weaker (8)41.636.478.0+5.275%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
4
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
29/01/22Penarol v Aguada83-85
31/10/21Aguada v Penarol84-70
05/04/21Penarol v Aguada90-98
13/11/13Penarol v Aguada72-81
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/22HMalvin69-64
08/05/22ABoca Juniors77-86
06/05/22AMalvin67-70
05/05/22ABoca Juniors75-68
01/05/22HBoca Juniors80-81
30/04/22HMalvin71-61
30/04/22HBoca Juniors70-81
27/04/22AMalvin49-71
22/04/22HMalvin91-71
19/04/22AUnion De Santa Fe87-71
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22AGoes96-94 OT
11/05/22HGoes66-68
07/05/22AGoes85-80
26/04/22HGoes69-70
23/04/22AGoes82-71
20/04/22HNacional80-65
15/04/22ANacional80-85
10/04/22ANacional61-84
07/04/22HNacional93-72
02/04/22HGoes69-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%75%53%
Points / game75.178.171.9
Allowed / game72.070.873.3
Point differential+3.1+7.3-1.3
Avg total147.1148.9145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWLL65%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %60%65%56%
Points / game80.079.380.7
Allowed / game77.173.480.6
Point differential+2.9+5.9+0.2
Avg total157.1152.7161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%41%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bigua3226681%88.882.4+6.4
2 Goes3124777%79.772.0+7.7
3 Penarol31201165%75.172.0+3.1
4 Urupan31191261%86.483.2+3.3
5 Aguada35211460%80.077.1+2.9
6 Malvin34191556%79.779.4+0.3
7 Trouville34181653%87.286.4+0.9
8 Olimpia Kings34161847%82.681.5+1.1
9 Nacional30131743%82.382.4-0.1
10 Defensor29111838%77.180.2-3.1
11 Urunday30102033%79.585.9-6.4
12 Hebraica y Macabi2891932%83.987.1-3.2
13 Olivol Mundial2781930%76.981.7-4.8
14 Capitol262248%78.390.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2924201992
Aguada1114122259
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