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AIK Basket vs Cross Over Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 95-67
Projected total 162.1
Final 93-61
25-17 31-17 15-12 22-15
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.0
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
Vs
99%
■ AIK 99%■ CROS 1%
Pythia win probability
Cross Over
Sweden
Position#14
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game93.8
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

AIK Basket hosts Cross Over in the Superettan on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model names AIK Basket the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win because of their 5-1 record, 83.3 points per game and only 71.0 points allowed, placing them first in the league, while Cross Over sits 14th with a 0-9 record, 70.2 points per game and 93.8 points allowed. AIK Basket's home form is flawless, 2-0 at home with 83.0 points scored and 62.0 points allowed, and their last five games include wins over Eskilstuna 73-56 away, Malbas 82-66 at home and Huddinge 84-58 at home, showing a recent run of four wins and one loss. Cross Over's road record is 0-3, with 68.0 points per game and 91.0 points allowed, and their last five games are all losses, including defeats to Huddinge 75-86, Wetterbygden Stars 65-77 and Fryshuset Basket 78-109, all at home. The model projects a 95-67 score, 162.1 total points, and gives AIK Basket a 99% chance to win and Cross Over a 1% chance to win, with an overtime probability of 0%. The game ends with AIK Basket's dominant 95-67 victory.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
98.8%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cross Over winLost
1.2%fair 80.42
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Aros Basket
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 77
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 77
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 77
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 77
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 77
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 77
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 77
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 77
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 77
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 77
A01/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-17
24-18
17-17
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
161.9Avg total
85.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.371.0154.3+12.383%
Season at home (2)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)85.676.3161.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)81.472.8154.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.386.0158.3-13.70%
vs Similar (15)83.981.7165.5+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.069.7152.7+13.375%
This opponent (Cross Over) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cross OverSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOver
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
9avg 51
A19/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 51
A20/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 51
H26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 51
H04/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 51
A11/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
68-120
68
120
-52
50avg 51
H18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
78-109
78
109
-31
69avg 51
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H04/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H07/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-27
13-25
18-27
13-24
18-19
13-30
16-17
20-16
19-22
12-28
24-28
16-21
18-18
20-21
13-25
15-21
17-23
21-17
18-22
18-24
19-25
18-34
13-37
20-31
20-25
26-26
12-27
14-18
23-16
12-21
16-22
24-17
19-26
7-22
25-21
164.0Avg total
70.2Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.293.8164.0-23.60%
Season at home (6)71.395.2166.5-23.80%
Season away (3)68.091.0159.0-23.00%
Last 10 (9)70.293.8164.0-23.60%
Last 5 (5)71.495.0166.4-23.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.293.8164.0-23.60%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
61.2%
Under 157.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
48.9%
Under 162.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
36.7%
Under 167.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

AIK Basket total 78.5Actual: AIK Basket over 78.5
Over 78.5
95.0%
Under 78.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AIK Basket total 82.5Actual: AIK Basket over 82.5
Over 82.5
89.4%
Under 82.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AIK Basket total 86.5Actual: AIK Basket over 86.5
Over 86.5
80.1%
Under 86.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 76Actual: Cross Over under 76
Over 76
17.9%
Under 76
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 80Actual: Cross Over under 80
Over 80
9.3%
Under 80
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 84Actual: Cross Over under 84
Over 84
4.3%
Under 84
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread AIK Basket -3Actual: AIK Basket -3
AIK -3
98.2%
CROS +3
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
AIK
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.
Spread AIK Basket 0Actual: AIK Basket 0
AIK 0
98.8%
CROS 0
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
AIK
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.
Spread AIK Basket +3Actual: AIK Basket +3
AIK +3
99.2%
CROS -3
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
AIK
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -9.1-9.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -7.9-7.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -9.1-9.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -7.9-7.9
AIK BasketCross Over
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
80.6Avg total
43.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.735.976.6+4.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.680.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.678.6+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.339.880.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.936.478.3+5.558%-
This opponent (Cross Over) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cross OverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/11
Superettan
81.0Avg total
37.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)37.243.881.0-6.622%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.343.281.5-4.833%-
Last 30 away (3)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
Last 10 (9)37.243.881.0-6.622%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.283.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.243.881.0-6.622%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cross Overtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cross Over: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.6
49.3%
50.0%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.94.3
24.0%
29.5%12.9
🏀 Free throws12.49.0
72.4%
65.7%9.0
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWLWWLWWW
Cross Over
LLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+8.3
Net rating
-33.6
87.9
Offensive rating
71.1
79.6
Defensive rating
104.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
45.2%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
22.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.3%
3-point %
24.0%
65.0%
Assist %
64.7%
80%
Form (last 10/9)
0%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 71.1Defence79.6 · 104.7Shooting48.7% · 45.2%3-point %30.3% · 24.0%Ball care14.4% · 22.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.22Form (last 10/9)80% · 0%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Cross Over
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket wins
0
Cross Over wins
No previous meetings.
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
14/03/26HAros Basket86-75
Cross Overlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHuddinge75-86
04/11/26HWetterbygden Stars65-77
31/10/26HFryshuset Basket78-109
18/10/26HIK Eos68-120
11/10/26ADjurgarden71-83
04/10/26HSollentuna67-85
26/09/26HOckelbo75-94
20/09/26ASollentuna60-90
19/09/26ANorrort73-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game83.383.083.5
Allowed / game71.062.075.5
Point differential+12.3+21.0+8.0
Avg total154.3145.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cross Over
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 9 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.271.368.0
Allowed / game93.895.291.0
Point differential-23.6-23.8-23.0
Avg total164.0166.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket65183%83.371.0+12.3
2 Fryshuset Basket108280%89.679.2+10.4
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars96367%84.680.8+3.8
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Trelleborg74357%80.179.3+0.9
8 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Sollentuna105550%85.781.6+4.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo93633%71.681.8-10.2
13 Malbas100100%70.085.9-15.9
14 Cross Over9090%70.293.8-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket2531152293
Cross Over1717121561
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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