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Trelleborg vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 106-91
25-24 30-16 16-24 35-27
Position#10
Record11-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#9
Record13-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game78.3
SwedenSuperettan· Vastervangshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Trelleborg v AIK Basket
23 Jan 2027
TREL v AIK
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
TREL106
AIK 91
06 Nov 2022
TREL104
AIK 91
04 Dec 2021
TREL81
AIK 78
19 Dec 2020
TREL v AIK
upcoming
22 Dec 2019
TREL78
AIK 64
10 Mar 2019
TREL107
AIK 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trelleborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Trelleborg
6.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.1
87.6▲ 3.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.2
87.8▲ 2.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
53%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.2
14.6▼ 2.6
🔥 Form · AIK Basket
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.1
86.2▲ 5.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.3
74.6▼ 3.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
54%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.3
16.8▼ 0.5
TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
99-61
99
61
+38
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A14/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A15/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
H28/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A06/03
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
109-102
109
102
+7
H14/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A28/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A29/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
23-16
21-21
20-27
22-22
25-10
20-16
32-13
35-31
19-20
32-29
16-21
19-31
17-24
25-20
15-15
18-16
11-29
21-14
18-25
23-16
14-13
16-20
14-18
24-22
28-21
35-21
20-16
31-24
34-26
22-28
22-24
24-39
27-16
14-15
17-21
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
173.0Avg total
86.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.185.2169.2-1.144%
Season at home (12)88.183.2171.3+4.858%
Season away (13)80.486.9167.3-6.531%
Last 10 (10)86.486.6173.0-0.240%
Last 5 (5)87.687.8175.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.392.0173.3-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.382.8168.1+2.547%
vs Weaker (9)91.883.3175.1+8.467%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackeberg
#14
W
106-68
106
68
+38
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A01/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
27-17
29-17
25-13
18-18
14-18
21-20
25-13
22-12
28-23
29-14
16-31
26-21
26-27
14-33
22-20
23-22
14-20
29-25
13-24
22-18
33-17
17-29
21-22
23-21
19-20
11-8
20-7
22-23
23-17
24-18
17-17
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
165.9Avg total
87.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.178.3159.4+2.852%
Season at home (13)77.274.6151.8+2.554%
Season away (12)85.482.3167.8+3.150%
Last 10 (10)87.778.2165.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)86.274.6160.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.386.7163.0-10.311%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.578.0160.5+4.562%
vs Weaker (8)83.074.2157.2+8.862%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
TrelleborgAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A14/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A06/03
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H14/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A28/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
90.0Avg total
45.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.586.8-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.586.8+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.686.7-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.893.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.744.886.5-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.843.487.2+0.447%-
vs Weaker (9)43.342.986.2+0.467%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackeberg
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
83.5Avg total
45.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.878.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.375.9+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.380.7+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.483.5+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.082.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.741.178.8-3.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.736.576.2+3.262%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.6
51.9%
50.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.5%
30.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.615.0
66.4%
67.0%15.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.6
56.9%
50.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.3
30.0%
30.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
67.0%14.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trelleborg
LLWWLLLWWL
AIK Basket
WWWWWLLWWW
#10
League position
#9
-0.2
Net rating
+9.0
91.5
Offensive rating
92.7
91.8
Defensive rating
83.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
30.0%
54.8%
Assist %
56.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 92.7Defence91.8 · 83.7Shooting50.6% · 51.1%3-point %32.5% · 30.0%Ball care13.4% · 14.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Trelleborg   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trelleborg wins
4
AIK Basket wins
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92
28/03/26AHuddinge82-91
14/03/26HFryshuset Basket109-102
06/03/26AWetterbygden Stars107-80
28/02/26HAros Basket69-74 OT
15/02/26AAros Basket68-84
14/02/26AEskilstuna76-90
07/02/26HEskilstuna102-101
31/01/26HAlvik99-61
25/01/26AAlvik81-91
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
14/03/26HAros Basket86-75
07/03/26AOckelbo73-56
04/03/26HFryshuset Basket93-86
28/02/26AWetterbygden Stars79-91
22/02/26AMalbas88-101
21/02/26AIK Eos95-80
14/02/26HOckelbo78-69
03/02/26ABlackeberg106-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trelleborg
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%58%31%
Points / game84.188.180.4
Allowed / game85.283.286.9
Point differential-1.1+4.8-6.5
Avg total169.2171.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game81.177.285.4
Allowed / game78.374.682.3
Point differential+2.8+2.5+3.1
Avg total159.4151.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas2519676%87.676.5+11.1
2 Fryshuset Basket2619773%90.784.9+5.8
3 Djurgarden2516964%85.779.1+6.6
4 Alvik24141058%81.180.7+0.4
5 Huddinge25141156%88.387.0+1.3
6 Wetterbygden Stars25141156%79.281.8-2.5
7 AIK Basket25131252%81.178.3+2.8
8 IK Eos25131252%84.982.4+2.6
9 Eskilstuna25121348%86.487.1-0.8
10 Sollentuna25111444%81.080.7+0.3
11 Trelleborg25111444%84.185.2-1.1
12 Ockelbo2591636%75.079.3-4.3
13 Aros Basket2671927%79.885.9-6.0
14 Blackeberg2642215%76.191.6-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trelleborg25301635106
AIK Basket2416242791
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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