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AIK Basket vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-75
22-23 23-17 24-18 17-17
Position#9
Record10-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#13
Record6-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.3
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket v Aros Basket
14 Mar 2026
AIK 86
AROS75
16 Nov 2024
AIK 88
AROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 74
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
86avg 74
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 74
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
62avg 74
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 74
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 74
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 74
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 74
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
73-56
73
56
+17
64avg 74
A07/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
18-21
13-21
17-16
18-18
27-18
24-22
22-18
21-19
18-19
14-24
27-18
25-21
27-17
29-17
25-13
18-18
14-18
21-20
25-13
22-12
28-23
29-14
16-31
26-21
26-27
14-33
22-20
23-22
14-20
29-25
13-24
22-18
33-17
17-29
21-22
23-21
19-20
11-8
20-7
165.6Avg total
85.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.178.5158.6+1.645%
Season at home (11)75.074.9149.9+0.145%
Season away (11)85.382.1167.4+3.245%
Last 10 (10)85.979.7165.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)85.682.8168.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.087.2164.2-10.29%
vs Similar (12)82.378.7161.0+3.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.674.1156.7+8.457%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
91avg 72
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 72
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 72
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 72
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 72
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
no box
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
66avg 72
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
73avg 72
H07/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-28
25-18
24-23
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
16-18
29-11
14-21
25-18
26-28
29-25
25-14
28-20
16-23
13-14
20-16
18-14
25-34
12-22
22-15
17-22
170.0Avg total
82.8Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.685.3165.9-4.829%
Season at home (11)83.985.4169.3-1.527%
Season away (10)76.985.3162.2-8.430%
Last 10 (10)82.887.2170.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)83.880.4164.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.886.7165.6-7.922%
vs Similar (7)73.772.1145.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (5)93.286.0179.2+7.280%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
AIK BasketAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/03
Superettan
83.1Avg total
43.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.878.7-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.638.776.2-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.081.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.683.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.287.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.242.379.5-5.136%-
vs Similar (12)39.637.376.9+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.740.080.7+0.743%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H07/03
Superettan
86.4Avg total
41.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.182.1-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.543.483.9-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.880.3-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.386.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.885.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.344.682.9-6.317%-
vs Similar (7)34.437.371.7-2.957%-
vs Weaker (5)47.845.893.6+2.060%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.6
53.4%
50.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.4
31.1%
30.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
67.0%16.5
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.6
53.9%
50.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.5
25.6%
30.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
67.0%14.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWLLWWWWWL
Aros Basket
LWWWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#13
+8.8
Net rating
-7.0
91.7
Offensive rating
89.4
82.9
Defensive rating
96.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.2%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
25.6%
60.7%
Assist %
69.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 89.4Defence82.9 · 96.5Shooting50.2% · 48.2%3-point %31.1% · 25.6%Ball care15.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds- · 28.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
0
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Aros Basket v AIK Basket76-91
16/11/24AIK Basket v Aros Basket88-76
20/10/24Aros Basket v AIK Basket83-92
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOckelbo73-56
04/03/26HFryshuset Basket93-86
28/02/26AWetterbygden Stars79-91
22/02/26AMalbas88-101
21/02/26AIK Eos95-80
14/02/26HOckelbo78-69
03/02/26ABlackeberg106-68
31/01/26AFryshuset Basket95-86 OT
24/01/26AAros Basket91-76
18/01/26HMalbas61-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HIK Eos76-93
28/02/26ATrelleborg74-69 OT
21/02/26HBlackeberg108-87
15/02/26HTrelleborg84-68
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97
13/12/25HHuddinge97-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayWWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game80.175.085.3
Allowed / game78.574.982.1
Point differential+1.6+0.1+3.2
Avg total158.6149.9167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%9%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL29%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game80.683.976.9
Allowed / game85.385.485.3
Point differential-4.8-1.5-8.4
Avg total165.9169.3162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas2116576%88.376.2+12.0
2 Fryshuset Basket2418675%88.982.8+6.1
3 Djurgarden2214864%84.278.0+6.2
4 Wetterbygden Stars2314961%79.580.6-1.0
5 Huddinge23131057%87.586.2+1.3
6 Sollentuna21111052%79.277.7+1.6
7 Alvik21111052%79.481.9-2.4
8 IK Eos22111150%84.181.3+2.8
9 Trelleborg23111248%84.784.6+0.1
10 AIK Basket22101245%80.178.5+1.6
11 Eskilstuna2291341%85.588.0-2.5
12 Ockelbo2281436%75.779.7-4.0
13 Aros Basket2161529%80.685.3-4.8
14 Blackeberg2332013%75.792.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket2223241786
Aros Basket2317181775
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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