AIK Basket vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 86-72

28-16 12-15 29-24 17-17

Position#7

Record8-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.5

AIK Basket 🏆

Hogsbo

Position#8

Record2-15

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game95.0

Superettan

Other2018-19

Meetings · AIK Basket v Hogsbo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hogsbo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

IK Eos

98-96

H27/10

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

51-89

-38

A11/11

Superettan

Djurgarden

73-99

-26

H27/11

Superettan

IK Eos

75-85

-10

A08/12

Superettan

Alvik

70-76

-6

A11/12

Superettan

Hogsbo

81-72

H16/12

Superettan

Trelleborg

85-81

H05/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

96-95

A13/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

88-74

+14

H20/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

97-69

+28

A27/01

Superettan

10-21

28-27

26-27

34-21

19-21

7-27

10-19

15-22

14-30

21-19

21-20

17-30

16-23

31-21

14-15

14-26

28-23

10-19

22-16

10-18

12-23

21-13

26-16

22-20

19-14

21-19

19-18

26-30

17-25

28-22

21-32

30-16

21-15

23-29

23-14

21-16

20-18

20-15

27-21

30-15

165.0Avg total

81.4Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.3	81.5	160.9	-2.2	53%
Season at home (7)	86.4	85.9	172.3	+0.6	71%
Season away (8)	73.1	77.8	150.9	-4.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	83.6	165.0	-2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	78.2	167.6	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.8	83.4	158.2	-8.6	30%
vs Similar (1)	85.0	81.0	166.0	+4.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	89.2	77.0	166.2	+12.2	100%

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hogsbo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

63-89

-26

A11/11

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

93-100 OT

100

-7

A18/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

79-109

109

-30

H25/11

Superettan

Helsingborg

57-106

106

-49

A02/12

Superettan

Djurgarden

67-97

-30

H08/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

72-81

-9

A16/12

Superettan

Alvik

66-91

-25

H27/12

Superettan

IK Eos

51-104

104

-53

A12/01

Superettan

Trelleborg

100-77

100

+23

H20/01

Superettan

Helsingborg

90-108

108

-18

A27/01

Superettan

18-17

11-21

22-25

12-26

18-22

22-21

19-26

24-14

22-20

19-33

16-31

22-25

18-24

18-21

15-30

6-31

18-28

13-26

20-16

16-27

23-12

13-21

16-26

20-22

15-27

17-19

20-28

14-17

12-28

15-33

11-22

13-21

20-16

25-15

26-16

29-30

21-31

23-16

17-37

29-24

170.0Avg total

73.8Scored

96.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.4	95.0	169.4	-20.6	12%
Season at home (8)	78.5	92.2	170.8	-13.8	25%
Season away (9)	70.8	97.4	168.2	-26.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	96.2	170.0	-22.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	92.2	168.0	-16.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.7	96.9	169.7	-24.2	7%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	80.5	167.5	+6.5	50%

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AIK BasketHogsbo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	16.5	19.8	36.2	-3.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	22.7	41.3	-4.0	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.7	71%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	56%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.8	25.8	44.5	-7.0	12%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.6	24.8	42.4	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-

AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

IK Eos

38-48

-10

H27/10

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

26-48

-22

A11/11

Superettan

Djurgarden

35-49

-14

H27/11

Superettan

IK Eos

47-44

A08/12

Superettan

Alvik

38-42

-4

A11/12

Superettan

Hogsbo

33-36

-3

H16/12

Superettan

Trelleborg

40-33

H05/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

45-47

-2

A13/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

44-44

H20/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

40-33

A27/01

Superettan

81.0Avg total

38.6Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	40.9	42.7	83.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	40.0	42.3	82.3	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	41.9	43.1	85.0	-1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	42.4	81.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.3	45.9	87.2	-4.6	44%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	50%	-

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

29-38

-9

A11/11

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

40-43

-3

A18/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

41-53

-12

H25/11

Superettan

Helsingborg

36-45

-9

A02/12

Superettan

Djurgarden

31-54

-23

H08/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

36-33

A16/12

Superettan

Alvik

32-46

-14

H27/12

Superettan

IK Eos

27-61

-34

A12/01

Superettan

Trelleborg

45-31

+14

H20/01

Superettan

Helsingborg

44-47

-3

A27/01

Superettan

81.2Avg total

36.1Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	37.0	46.4	83.4	-9.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.0	47.1	86.1	-8.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (9)	35.2	45.8	81.0	-10.6	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	45.1	81.2	-9.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.6	80.4	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.3	47.5	83.7	-11.2	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	38.5	81.0	+4.0	50%	-

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.5	25.3	43.8	-6.8	18%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.0	27.2	44.2	-10.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	25.7	43.9	-7.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.8	43.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	26.2	44.6	-7.8	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.4	45.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	30.0	56.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.4	22.3	40.6	-3.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.1	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	23.3	41.3	-5.2	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	42.5	41.8	84.3	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	44.7	42.6	87.3	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	39.6	88.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.3	42.3	81.7	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	49.0	39.0	88.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	36.8	47.6	84.4	-10.8	18%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.5	45.1	84.6	-5.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (9)	34.4	49.8	84.2	-15.3	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	49.4	86.1	-12.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	48.6	87.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.5	49.5	85.9	-13.0	7%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	33.5	73.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AIK Basket wins

Hogsbo wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/18	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	81-72
20/10/18	Hogsbo v AIK Basket	72-83

AIK Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/19	A	Lulea Steelers	97-69
20/01/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	88-74
13/01/19	A	Lulea Steelers	96-95
05/01/19	H	Trelleborg	85-81
16/12/18	H	Hogsbo	81-72
11/12/18	A	Alvik	70-76
08/12/18	A	IK Eos	75-85
27/11/18	H	Djurgarden	73-99
11/11/18	A	KFUM Fryshuset	51-89
27/10/18	H	IK Eos	98-96

Hogsbolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/19	A	Helsingborg	90-108
20/01/19	H	Trelleborg	100-77
12/01/19	A	IK Eos	51-104
27/12/18	H	Alvik	66-91
16/12/18	A	AIK Basket	72-81
08/12/18	H	Djurgarden	67-97
02/12/18	A	Helsingborg	57-106
25/11/18	H	KFUM Fryshuset	79-109
18/11/18	A	Lulea Steelers	93-100 OT
11/11/18	A	Trelleborg	63-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket

Superettan 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	53%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LLLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	53%	71%	38%
Points / game	79.3	86.4	73.1
Allowed / game	81.5	85.9	77.8
Point differential	-2.2	+0.6	-4.6
Avg total	160.9	172.3	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	14%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

Hogsbo

Superettan 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	12%
Home	LLLLW	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	12%	25%	0%
Points / game	74.4	78.5	70.8
Allowed / game	95.0	92.2	97.4
Point differential	-20.6	-13.8	-26.7
Avg total	169.4	170.8	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Djurgarden	15	15	0	100%	95.0	82.7	+12.3
2	Alvik	18	12	6	67%	84.4	74.8	+9.6
3	IK Eos	17	11	6	65%	88.3	76.1	+12.2
4	AIK Basket	15	8	7	53%	79.3	81.5	-2.2
5	KFUM Fryshuset	17	9	8	53%	85.8	79.1	+6.7
6	Helsingborg	17	9	8	53%	86.8	81.2	+5.6
7	Trelleborg	16	6	10	38%	78.4	81.6	-3.2
8	Hogsbo	17	2	15	12%	74.4	95.0	-20.6
9	Lulea Steelers	14	1	13	7%	72.4	96.6	-24.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AIK Basket	28	12	29	17	86
Hogsbo	16	15	24	17	72

← all games of the day

AIK Basket vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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