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AIK Basket vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 73-82
15-15 23-18 15-25 20-24
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.8
AIK Basket
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game80.0
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen (Solna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket v Hogsbo
13 Jan 2024
AIK 73
HOGS82
23 Oct 2022
AIK 72
HOGS102
09 Jan 2022
AIK 87
HOGS90
17 Oct 2020
AIK 77
HOGS88
14 Dec 2019
AIK 88
HOGS98
01 Feb 2019
AIK 86
HOGS72
16 Dec 2018
AIK 81
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
66avg 77
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
75avg 77
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
130-97
130
97
+33
137avg 77
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
87-73
87
73
+14
72avg 77
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 77
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
61-62
61
62
-1
36avg 77
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 77
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 77
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
80-108
80
108
-28
64avg 77
A06/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
21-9
25-15
15-18
16-14
20-10
28-18
20-26
44-24
43-22
23-22
20-29
29-22
21-31
24-23
20-18
21-16
26-18
29-18
11-21
14-21
20-16
20-20
31-21
15-19
12-17
12-14
22-12
22-13
23-20
27-25
16-22
23-20
22-17
19-19
14-19
15-33
21-22
26-22
18-31
169.2Avg total
88.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.478.8165.1+7.688%
Season at home (8)86.475.8162.1+10.6100%
Season away (9)86.381.4167.8+4.978%
Last 10 (10)88.181.1169.2+7.080%
Last 5 (5)78.480.6159.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.888.7176.5-0.850%
vs Similar (15)86.978.7165.7+8.293%
vs Weaker (9)79.875.2155.0+4.667%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 86
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 86
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 86
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 86
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 86
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 86
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 86
H06/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
175.8Avg total
94.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.080.0171.0+11.069%
Season at home (9)96.379.9176.2+16.489%
Season away (7)84.180.1164.3+4.043%
Last 10 (10)94.481.4175.8+13.070%
Last 5 (5)96.280.0176.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.782.2174.9+10.573%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
AIK BasketHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A06/01
Superettan
83.6Avg total
44.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.881.8+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.281.0+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.339.382.6+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.083.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.848.390.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (15)46.536.883.3+9.787%-
vs Weaker (9)38.035.773.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
86.1Avg total
45.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.288.0+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.941.292.1+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.283.2+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.386.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.086.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.841.288.0+5.670%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.924.5
48.1%
50.1%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.1
35.0%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.414.0
62.5%
66.9%14.0
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.5
58.7%
50.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.9
35.3%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.410.7
74.3%
66.9%10.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
LWWLWWWWWW
Hogsbo
WLWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#1
+6.9
Net rating
+18.0
101.4
Offensive rating
113.9
94.5
Defensive rating
96.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.0%
3-point %
35.3%
59.8%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 113.9Defence94.5 · 96.0Shooting49.4% · 56.5%3-point %35.0% · 35.3%Ball care21.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds36.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
7
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Hogsbo v AIK Basket76-81
04/02/23Hogsbo v AIK Basket81-78
23/10/22AIK Basket v Hogsbo72-102
12/02/22Hogsbo v AIK Basket91-83
09/01/22AIK Basket v Hogsbo87-90
17/10/20AIK Basket v Hogsbo77-88
14/12/19AIK Basket v Hogsbo88-98
19/10/19Hogsbo v AIK Basket97-62
01/02/19AIK Basket v Hogsbo86-72
16/12/18AIK Basket v Hogsbo81-72
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AKFUM Kalmar80-108
16/12/23HTureberg78-75
12/12/23ANorrort88-80
03/12/23AMalbas61-62
02/12/23AIK Eos85-78
22/11/23HDjurgarden87-73
18/11/23HHelsingborg109-102 OT
07/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset130-97
29/10/23HNorrort84-68
25/10/23ATureberg79-68
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game86.486.486.3
Allowed / game78.875.881.4
Point differential+7.6+10.6+4.9
Avg total165.1162.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game91.096.384.1
Allowed / game80.079.980.1
Point differential+11.0+16.4+4.0
Avg total171.0176.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1715288%86.478.8+7.6
2 Hogsbo1611569%91.080.0+11.0
3 Tureberg1611569%78.673.4+5.2
4 Huddinge1711665%81.375.6+5.7
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg2012860%87.879.2+8.6
7 Sloga Uppsala158753%77.380.7-3.4
8 KFUM Fryshuset1910953%86.587.2-0.7
9 Djurgarden1991047%85.986.5-0.5
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos157847%79.780.7-1.1
12 Malbas1871139%73.277.7-4.4
13 KFUM Kalmar1541127%75.482.5-7.1
14 Norrort1641225%72.377.6-5.3
15 RIG Mark1641225%69.075.8-6.8
16 Eskilstuna1421214%72.589.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1523152073
Hogsbo1518252482
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