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AIK Basket vs KFUM Kalmar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-64
14-11 27-19 21-14 15-20
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game75.0
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
vs
KFUM Kalmar
Sweden
Position#14
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game81.2
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen (Solna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket v KFUM Kalmar
15 Oct 2023
AIK 77
KFUM64
12 Mar 2022
AIK 65
KFUM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
94-94
94
94
+0
no box
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
75avg 79
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 79
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 79
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 79
H07/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-12
20-21
7-15
29-17
19-33
28-30
26-20
20-15
20-21
22-32
28-17
17-17
28-24
26-18
24-25
17-26
17-26
18-18
25-27
26-26
14-26
27-25
27-17
15-26
19-18
32-22
21-16
18-22
23-29
20-11
20-14
18-25
23-10
17-12
29-21
18-17
24-20
28-17
12-20
168.5Avg total
86.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.275.0159.2+9.2100%
Season at home (3)85.374.7160.0+10.7100%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.182.4168.5+3.780%
Last 5 (5)86.278.8165.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.192.2177.3-7.136%
vs Similar (12)82.480.2162.6+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.778.1166.9+10.671%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
no box
H14/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
no box
H03/03
Basketligan
Umea
#4
L
91-107
91
107
-16
no box
A07/03
Basketligan
KFUM Fryshuset
#11
W
69-56
69
56
+13
no box
A11/03
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
A17/03
Basketligan
Huddinge
#5
L
50-76
50
76
-26
33avg 50
A23/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
56-74
56
74
-18
44avg 50
A24/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 50
A01/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
75-107
75
107
-32
74avg 50
H07/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
52-70
52
70
-18
38avg 50
A14/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
22-32
15-19
14-24
27-23
9-27
16-21
21-18
29-33
16-23
24-30
22-21
16-19
20-13
14-13
19-11
23-29
9-28
16-19
23-20
16-22
9-19
9-15
16-20
13-20
11-17
20-21
12-16
20-18
17-19
21-16
8-26
14-26
21-29
21-23
19-29
6-9
18-19
17-19
11-23
153.4Avg total
67.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.881.2141.0-21.40%
Season at home (1)75.0107.0182.0-32.00%
Season away (4)56.074.8130.8-18.80%
Last 10 (10)67.486.0153.4-18.610%
Last 5 (5)59.881.2141.0-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.091.6162.7-20.68%
vs Similar (2)61.076.5137.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (3)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
AIK BasketKFUM Kalmar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/10
Superettan
83.0Avg total
40.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.583.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.085.4+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.982.0+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.683.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.883.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.546.987.4-6.518%-
vs Similar (12)42.437.880.2+4.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.039.384.3+5.771%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H14/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/03
Basketligan
Umea
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A07/03
Basketligan
KFUM Fryshuset
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A11/03
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A17/03
Basketligan
Huddinge
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A23/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A24/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A01/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H07/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A14/10
Superettan
79.2Avg total
33.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.344.079.3-8.717%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.445.280.5-9.823%-
Last 30 away (17)35.243.278.4-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)33.645.679.2-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)29.039.668.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.645.981.5-10.212%-
vs Similar (2)30.537.067.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (3)35.733.369.0+2.367%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.827.0
52.2%
50.1%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.2
30.9%
31.3%15.8
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.5%
66.9%13.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.214.0
40.9%
50.1%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.2
25.0%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.49.4
70.1%
66.9%9.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWWLLWWWW
KFUM Kalmar
LLLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#14
+13.4
Net rating
-28.1
104.2
Offensive rating
74.8
90.8
Defensive rating
102.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
39.4%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
26.2%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.9%
3-point %
25.0%
65.1%
Assist %
68.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 74.8Defence90.8 · 102.9Shooting50.7% · 39.4%3-point %30.9% · 25.0%Ball care18.2% · 26.2%Off. rebounds36.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ AIK Basket   ■ KFUM Kalmar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket wins
2
KFUM Kalmar wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22AIK Basket v KFUM Kalmar65-79
16/10/21KFUM Kalmar v AIK Basket86-59
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HWetterbygden Stars82-74
30/09/23HOckelbo87-68
23/09/23AHogsbo81-76
17/09/23HKFUM Fryshuset87-82
10/04/23AHelsingborg94-94
06/04/23HHelsingborg77-97
01/04/23HHelsingborg95-84
28/03/23ANorrort90-85
19/03/23HTureberg102-100
04/03/23ARIG Mark66-64
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ATureberg52-70
07/10/23HHelsingborg75-107
01/10/23AEskilstuna66-79
24/09/23ANorrort56-74
23/09/23AHuddinge50-76
17/03/23ABoras71-96
11/03/23AKFUM Fryshuset69-56
07/03/23AUmea91-107
03/03/23HJamtland73-89
14/02/23HNorrkoping71-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.285.381.0
Allowed / game75.074.776.0
Point differential+9.2+10.7+5.0
Avg total159.2160.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.875.056.0
Allowed / game81.2107.074.8
Point differential-21.4-32.0-18.8
Avg total141.0182.0130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tureberg330100%70.358.0+12.3
2 AIK Basket440100%84.275.0+9.2
3 Huddinge65183%86.275.2+11.0
4 Helsingborg54180%84.872.4+12.4
5 IK Eos43175%84.874.8+10.0
6 Djurgarden64267%85.379.0+6.3
7 Malbas53260%73.268.4+4.8
8 Hogsbo42250%79.577.8+1.8
9 KFUM Fryshuset63350%80.284.3-4.2
10 Ockelbo73443%70.772.3-1.6
11 Wetterbygden Stars72529%76.178.6-2.4
12 Sloga Uppsala41325%74.284.0-9.8
13 Eskilstuna41325%70.585.8-15.2
14 Norrort51420%65.470.4-5.0
15 RIG Mark51420%69.274.4-5.2
16 KFUM Kalmar5050%59.881.2-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1427211577
KFUM Kalmar1119142064
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