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AIK Basket vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-68
18-25 23-10 17-12 29-21
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.0
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
vs
Ockelbo
Sweden
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.3
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen (Solna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket v Ockelbo
21 Mar 2027
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
AIK 78
OCKE69
26 Oct 2024
AIK 74
OCKE63
30 Sep 2023
AIK 87
OCKE68
25 Feb 2023
AIK 69
OCKE83
11 Dec 2021
AIK 79
OCKE68
29 Nov 2020
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A19/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
H25/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
94-94
94
94
+0
no box
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
75avg 75
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 75
A23/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-15
14-21
16-20
18-14
21-22
10-28
20-19
21-16
18-12
20-21
7-15
29-17
19-33
28-30
26-20
20-15
20-21
22-32
28-17
17-17
28-24
26-18
24-25
17-26
17-26
18-18
25-27
26-26
14-26
27-25
27-17
15-26
19-18
32-22
21-16
18-22
23-29
20-11
20-14
167.4Avg total
83.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.484.0167.4-0.660%
Last 5 (5)86.886.6173.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.292.1176.2-7.931%
vs Similar (11)82.580.7163.2+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.079.8168.8+9.267%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#8
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A25/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
92-109
92
109
-17
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A05/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
A18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
no box
H06/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
no box
A10/04
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H16/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 58
H24/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
67-71
67
71
-4
44avg 58
A27/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
22-21
28-10
19-20
28-32
24-17
21-28
19-32
16-21
19-20
14-29
19-17
26-9
30-8
15-14
11-24
23-23
30-23
21-25
23-19
18-17
16-28
22-24
23-26
13-23
14-23
19-19
18-15
–
–
–
–
20-21
14-21
20-14
25-12
17-18
19-15
21-17
10-21
158.1Avg total
78.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.369.3143.7+5.067%
Season at home (2)78.068.5146.5+9.5100%
Season away (1)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)78.879.3158.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.276.6149.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.285.8162.0-9.640%
vs Similar (13)77.678.9156.5-1.338%
vs Weaker (12)88.778.1166.8+10.667%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
AIK BasketOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/09
Superettan
82.7Avg total
40.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.184.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.885.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.482.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.482.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.086.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.746.686.3-6.915%-
vs Similar (11)42.537.980.4+4.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.740.085.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A04/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A05/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
W
56-17
56
17
+39
A18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H06/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A10/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H24/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A27/09
Superettan
80.1Avg total
40.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.639.180.7+2.552%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.179.8+1.550%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.081.5+3.553%-
Last 10 (9)40.339.880.1+0.644%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.042.880.8-4.820%-
vs Similar (12)37.939.377.2-1.442%-
vs Weaker (12)46.837.284.0+9.575%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.528.5
51.4%
50.1%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.0
28.6%
31.3%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.511.0
59.5%
66.9%11.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.523.0
56.8%
50.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.5
25.6%
31.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws17.09.5
55.9%
66.9%9.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWLLWWWWLL
Ockelbo
LWWLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#10
+6.3
Net rating
+4.5
104.9
Offensive rating
92.3
98.5
Defensive rating
87.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.8%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.6%
3-point %
25.6%
47.8%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 92.3Defence98.5 · 87.9Shooting49.3% · 50.4%3-point %28.6% · 25.6%Ball care16.7% · 21.8%Off. rebounds37.9% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket wins
2
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AHogsbo81-76
17/09/23HKFUM Fryshuset87-82
10/04/23AHelsingborg94-94
06/04/23HHelsingborg77-97
01/04/23HHelsingborg95-84
28/03/23ANorrort90-85
19/03/23HTureberg102-100
04/03/23ARIG Mark66-64
25/02/23HOckelbo69-83
19/02/23AHuddinge73-75
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23AKFUM Fryshuset67-71
24/09/23HWetterbygden Stars79-68
16/09/23HNorrort77-69
10/04/23AEskilstuna64-80
06/04/23HEskilstuna79-95
25/03/23HWetterbygden Stars97-90
18/03/23AHuddinge82-55
05/03/23AHelsingborg68-87
04/03/23AIK Eos92-109
25/02/23AAIK Basket83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.087.081.0
Allowed / game79.082.076.0
Point differential+5.0+5.0+5.0
Avg total163.0169.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game74.378.067.0
Allowed / game69.368.571.0
Point differential+5.0+9.5-4.0
Avg total143.7146.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsingborg110100%90.065.0+25.0
2 Huddinge220100%81.559.0+22.5
3 AIK Basket220100%84.079.0+5.0
4 RIG Mark110100%71.068.0+3.0
5 Ockelbo32167%74.369.3+5.0
6 Norrort21150%71.566.5+5.0
7 Djurgarden21150%88.086.0+2.0
8 Sloga Uppsala21150%76.582.0-5.5
9 Wetterbygden Stars31233%80.378.7+1.7
10 KFUM Fryshuset31233%76.386.0-9.7
11 Malbas1010%68.071.0-3.0
12 Hogsbo1010%76.081.0-5.0
13 KFUM Kalmar2020%53.075.0-22.0
14 Eskilstuna1010%65.090.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1823172987
Ockelbo2510122168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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