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AIK Basket vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 74-63
21-7 12-23 16-22 25-11
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game72.4
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · AIK Basket v Ockelbo
21 Mar 2027
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
AIK 78
OCKE69
26 Oct 2024
AIK 74
OCKE63
30 Sep 2023
AIK 87
OCKE68
25 Feb 2023
AIK 69
OCKE83
11 Dec 2021
AIK 79
OCKE68
29 Nov 2020
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
68avg 72
A27/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 72
H03/04
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
90avg 72
H06/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 72
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 72
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 72
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 72
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
66-97
66
97
-31
36avg 72
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 72
A07/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
90avg 72
A20/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-22
17-23
29-33
19-15
23-22
7-23
20-24
18-23
27-19
20-19
24-23
18-16
19-23
18-16
17-26
16-21
21-11
30-19
20-19
22-23
19-25
13-26
27-23
24-19
17-18
22-28
21-17
20-26
10-19
14-28
22-24
22-17
13-13
23-19
22-22
23-15
22-16
22-27
25-25
165.3Avg total
80.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.383.7163.0-4.367%
Season at home (1)66.097.0163.0-31.00%
Season away (2)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.285.1165.3-4.950%
Last 5 (5)80.686.0166.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.087.3164.3-10.333%
vs Similar (14)86.183.9170.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (13)78.875.1153.8+3.769%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
73avg 66
H06/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
75avg 66
H09/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 66
H17/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 66
A27/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
90-101
90
101
-11
78avg 66
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
61avg 66
H22/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
71avg 66
A28/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
83-59
83
59
+24
79avg 66
H05/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
75avg 66
H12/10
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
57avg 66
A19/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
29-13
10-17
23-17
19-10
20-23
22-15
16-14
11-13
19-26
18-24
24-20
27-18
16-15
19-27
26-16
27-31
16-25
19-20
28-25
26-20
22-13
21-15
10-23
11-19
16-26
24-15
25-22
27-16
22-11
13-20
21-12
27-17
25-22
15-18
17-13
20-17
14-18
19-24
23-21
155.1Avg total
80.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.672.4152.0+7.260%
Season at home (3)82.066.7148.7+15.3100%
Season away (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.574.6155.1+5.960%
Last 5 (5)79.672.4152.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.385.7163.0-8.443%
vs Similar (17)73.875.6149.5-1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.069.5149.5+10.583%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
AIK BasketOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A27/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/04
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A20/10
Superettan
77.6Avg total
38.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.879.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.736.976.6+2.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.640.482.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.777.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (14)44.140.985.0+3.150%-
vs Weaker (13)37.837.174.9+0.854%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H17/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H22/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A28/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H05/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/10
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A19/10
Superettan
78.0Avg total
41.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.878.7-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.680.8+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.276.3-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.877.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.983.4-12.314%-
vs Similar (17)39.237.977.1+1.335%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.836.077.8+5.867%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.822.2
48.5%
49.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
30.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.811.1
59.0%
67.1%11.1
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.3
47.0%
49.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
30.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
67.1%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWLWLWLWLL
Ockelbo
LWWLWLWLWW
#12
League position
#4
-6.5
Net rating
+8.3
97.5
Offensive rating
99.2
104.0
Defensive rating
90.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
33.9%
66.4%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 99.2Defence104.0 · 90.9Shooting48.0% · 48.6%3-point %31.5% · 33.9%Ball care19.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
3
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Ockelbo v AIK Basket77-62
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AAros Basket92-83
07/10/24ATureberg80-71
22/09/24HKFUM Fryshuset66-97
21/04/24HSloga Uppsala84-82
19/04/24ASloga Uppsala81-97
14/04/24HTureberg87-70
12/04/24ATureberg72-81
06/04/24HMalbas89-84
03/04/24HEskilstuna69-84
27/03/24ASloga Uppsala82-102
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AAlvik76-80
12/10/24HBlackeberg84-70
05/10/24HHuddinge83-59
28/09/24AWetterbygden Stars76-82
22/09/24HMalbas79-71
07/04/24HHogsbo90-101
27/03/24AEskilstuna88-76
17/03/24HKFUM Kalmar72-83
09/03/24HAIK Basket77-62
06/03/24HDjurgarden80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game79.366.086.0
Allowed / game83.797.077.0
Point differential-4.3-31.0+9.0
Avg total163.0163.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game79.682.076.0
Allowed / game72.466.781.0
Point differential+7.2+15.3-5.0
Avg total152.0148.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KFUM Fryshuset440100%88.262.5+25.8
2 Sloga Uppsala330100%93.076.3+16.7
3 Wetterbygden Stars65183%80.582.7-2.2
4 AIK Basket32167%79.383.7-4.3
5 Ockelbo53260%79.672.4+7.2
6 Alvik53260%85.279.8+5.4
7 Malbas63350%79.871.3+8.5
8 Djurgarden42250%71.870.8+1.0
9 Akersberga52340%79.285.0-5.8
10 Aros Basket62433%78.075.3+2.7
11 Blackeberg62433%75.582.0-6.5
12 Huddinge62433%74.581.8-7.3
13 IK Eos41325%76.586.2-9.8
14 Tureberg5050%64.486.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket2112162574
Ockelbo723221163
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