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Air Force vs Northern Colorado Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-83
43-43 36-40
Position#331
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#132
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Air Force v Northern Colorado
26 Nov 2025
AIR 53
NORT71
21 Dec 2023
AIR 79
NORT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Colorado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#350
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A10/11
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/11
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-27
39-40
19-29
38-36
41-29
35-29
33-27
29-35
30-24
28-32
36-20
28-34
33-28
25-29
37-33
43-25
26-41
42-32
37-42
36-34
133.1Avg total
69.6Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.363.4131.6+4.964%
Season at home (6)66.862.3129.2+4.567%
Season away (5)70.064.6134.6+5.460%
Last 10 (10)69.663.5133.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)68.663.6132.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.470.4133.8-7.012%
vs Similar (12)68.566.4134.9+2.167%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Northern Colorado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern ColoradoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado College
#464
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H15/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A19/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H22/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H02/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
47-32
39-17
42-43
28-41
36-42
40-28
31-48
36-25
34-45
34-40
34-39
28-29
44-45
33-36
42-35
38-27
38-49
27-48
41-42
153.2Avg total
76.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.376.9153.2-0.640%
Season at home (6)75.571.3146.8+4.267%
Season away (4)77.585.2162.8-7.80%
Last 10 (10)76.376.9153.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)76.483.0159.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.479.6151.0-8.225%
vs Similar (13)76.574.5151.1+2.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.073.8155.8+8.240%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
Air ForceNorthern Colorado
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#350
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/11
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H17/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H19/11
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
33.5Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.332.462.7-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.431.962.3-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.133.063.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.063.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.866.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.634.462.0-6.919%-
vs Similar (12)32.331.263.6+1.158%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Northern Colorado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern ColoradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado College
#464
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H15/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A19/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/12
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A16/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.967.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.932.766.5+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)31.337.168.3-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.766.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.068.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.541.171.6-10.617%-
vs Similar (13)32.832.865.5+0.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.025.462.4+11.680%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
0
Northern Colorado wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Northern Colorado v Air Force65-67
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AUT Arlington73-76
09/12/23HEast. Washington68-73
03/12/23APortland80-58
26/11/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes58-57
22/11/23HVMI64-54
19/11/23HNebraska O.58-56
17/11/23HWilliam & Mary80-71 OT
16/11/23HLindenwood76-58
12/11/23ADelaware57-65
10/11/23ALIU Sharks82-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AColorado68-90
11/12/23ATX A&M Commerce99-101 OT
02/12/23HCS Northridge75-71
30/11/23ASan Diego Toreros72-74
22/11/23HRadford68-79
21/11/23HChicago State78-77 OT
19/11/23ANew Mexico State71-76
15/11/23HColorado State64-83
09/11/23HNorthern New Mexico81-60
07/11/23HColorado College87-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game68.366.870.0
Allowed / game63.462.364.6
Point differential+4.9+4.5+5.4
Avg total131.6129.2134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Northern Colorado
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game76.375.577.5
Allowed / game76.971.385.2
Point differential-0.6+4.2-7.8
Avg total153.2146.8162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %20%17%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1211192%84.368.2+16.1
2 Utah State1211192%81.465.8+15.7
3 Colorado State1110191%83.569.0+14.5
4 Nevada1110191%78.563.9+14.5
5 Grand Canyon1110191%79.767.5+12.3
6 San Diego State119282%77.566.9+10.5
7 Boise State118373%76.465.8+10.5
8 Wyoming117464%76.270.6+5.5
9 Air Force117464%68.363.4+4.9
10 Fresno State116555%72.772.2+0.5
11 San Jose State137654%75.771.1+4.6
12 UNLV94544%73.072.7+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State129375%73.866.9+6.9
2 Montana117464%76.269.2+7.0
3 Weber State106460%72.661.1+11.5
4 Idaho116555%73.168.2+4.9
5 Montana State105550%74.371.5+2.8
6 Northern Arizona126650%66.175.3-9.2
7 Idaho State104640%69.465.2+4.2
8 East. Washington104640%75.874.5+1.3
9 Northern Colorado104640%76.376.9-0.6
10 Sacramento State102820%71.776.6-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force433679
Northern Colorado434083
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