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Air Force vs Northern Colorado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 53-71
24-28 29-43
Position#371
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#97
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v Northern Colorado
26 Nov 2025
AIR 53
NORT71
21 Dec 2023
AIR 79
NORT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Colorado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
47-87
47
87
-40
A08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-38
36-42
23-50
24-37
25-21
34-47
38-39
25-40
22-33
32-41
33-32
39-44
26-40
35-36
32-39
34-25
36-27
41-36
48-49
50-36
140.6Avg total
65.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.173.9144.0-3.743%
Season at home (6)71.373.0144.3-1.750%
Season away (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)65.475.2140.6-9.830%
Last 5 (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.675.6138.2-13.014%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Colorado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern ColoradoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H12/03
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H13/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A20/03
NIT
Colorado College
#494
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
A16/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
A23/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-22
0-0
34-30
0-0
29-17
0-0
43-28
0-0
39-48
0-0
44-43
0-0
41-37
0-0
31-45
0-0
42-28
0-0
49-29
0-0
48-27
0-0
53-38
0-0
41-31
0-0
33-43
0-0
36-29
0-0
36-44
0-0
35-32
0-0
34-37
0-0
39-33
0-0
58-60
155.7Avg total
83.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.274.8164.0+14.383%
Season at home (3)96.371.7168.0+24.7100%
Season away (3)82.078.0160.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)83.871.9155.7+11.970%
Last 5 (5)88.878.4167.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.073.0145.0-1.00%
vs Similar (4)78.273.2151.5+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.372.3154.5+10.087%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
Air ForceNorthern Colorado
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
30.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.835.565.4-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.134.264.3-4.229%-
Last 30 away (13)29.537.266.8-7.723%-
Last 10 (10)30.436.867.2-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.035.565.5-5.529%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Colorado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern ColoradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H09/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H13/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
NIT
Colorado College
#494
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A16/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
39.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.532.070.5+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.631.872.4+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)36.132.368.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.230.469.6+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.470.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.029.065.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (4)38.530.869.2+7.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.432.370.7+6.174%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
2
Northern Colorado wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HIU Indy98-85
21/11/25HSiu Edwardsville77-63
19/11/25HAlabama State66-64
15/11/25HMiami (Ohio)61-76
11/11/25HLIU Sharks72-76
08/11/25HAustin Peay54-74
04/11/25ABelmont63-79
12/03/25AUNLV59-68
08/03/25AUtah State47-87
05/03/25HBoise State57-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HCS Fullerton97-93
23/11/25APortland86-80 OT
22/11/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)72-73
16/11/25APepperdine88-81 OT
08/11/25HColorado Christian101-65
04/11/25HColorado College91-57
20/03/25AUC Irvine72-82
13/03/25HMontana83-91
12/03/25HMontana State72-45
09/03/25HWeber State76-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %43%50%0%
Points / game70.171.363.0
Allowed / game73.973.079.0
Point differential-3.7-1.7-16.0
Avg total144.0144.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Colorado
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.296.382.0
Allowed / game74.871.778.0
Point differential+14.3+24.7+4.0
Avg total164.0168.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming65183%84.770.5+14.2
3 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
4 Colorado State64267%85.572.2+13.3
5 Grand Canyon64267%79.371.3+8.0
6 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
7 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
8 San Diego State53260%81.676.8+4.8
9 Boise State74357%75.069.9+5.1
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV73443%87.087.0+0.0
12 Air Force73443%70.173.9-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado65183%89.274.8+14.3
2 Portland State64267%87.074.5+12.5
3 Idaho53260%83.070.2+12.8
4 Northern Arizona53260%81.676.4+5.2
5 Montana84450%83.874.4+9.4
6 Idaho State63350%71.268.3+2.8
7 Sacramento State84450%77.875.2+2.5
8 Montana State73443%80.167.0+13.1
9 Weber State62433%87.775.2+12.5
10 East. Washington71614%75.384.3-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force242953
Northern Colorado284371
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