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Akhaltsikhe vs Telavi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Projected 81-82
Projected total 163.2
Final 80-76
17-18 17-16 24-25 22-17
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.5
Akhaltsikhe 🏆
Georgia
Vs
46%
54%
■ AKHA 46%■ TELA 54%
Pythia win probability
Telavi
Georgia
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.0
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 6· Olympic Palace
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Superleague clash on 8 November 2026 between Akhaltsikhe and Telavi is a razor-thin affair, with the odds almost level as the teams sit in eighth and fifth places respectively; Telavi holds a slight edge at 54% to Akhaltsikhe's 46%. Akhaltsikhe's overall record of 2-2 comes from 75.0 points per game and 79.5 allowed, while their home outings have been 1-1 with 74.0 points and 74.5 conceded; their last five games were split 2-2, including a 84-81 win over TSU away, a 78-74 home victory over Iverioni, and a 68-88 loss to CIU away. Telavi, meanwhile, has a 3-2 season record with 85.4 points scored and 82.0 allowed, and a 1-1 road record of 91.0 points and 88.0 conceded; their recent five games were 3-2, highlighted by a 89-80 home win over Kutaisi, an 88-79 away triumph over Black Fortress, and a 75-67 home win over Margveti. Pythia projects a close 81-82 finish with a total of 163.2 points, the home team covering the 2.5-point line with a 53% probability and the over on the 161.5 line also at 53%, while the chance of overtime sits at 5%. The game will hinge on Telavi's ability to maintain its offensive edge against a resilient Akhaltsikhe that has already pulled off a narrow win on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akhaltsikhe winWon
45.8%fair 2.18
Best odds2.12
Implied48.4%
Edge-2.6pp
Telavi winLost
54.2%fair 1.84
Best odds1.81
Implied51.6%
Edge+2.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 14:23 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkhaltsikheGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkhaltsikhe
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 64
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
52avg 64
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 64
H23/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 64
A31/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-17
18-22
11-15
15-16
14-25
12-25
27-22
15-19
19-13
22-18
22-24
21-21
21-27
20-21
22-12
154.5Avg total
75.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.079.5154.5-4.550%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season away (2)76.084.5160.5-8.550%
Last 10 (4)75.079.5154.5-4.550%
Last 5 (4)75.079.5154.5-4.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.081.5150.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelaviGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelavi
Date
Competition
Orbi
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
53avg 74
H04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
84avg 74
A09/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 74
H18/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 74
A24/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 74
H01/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-24
13-21
23-24
24-21
14-24
25-27
25-16
12-23
22-15
24-18
17-11
26-19
19-17
17-22
26-21
20-18
27-22
16-20
26-20
167.4Avg total
85.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Season at home (3)81.778.0159.7+3.767%
Season away (2)91.088.0179.0+3.050%
Last 10 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (2)88.579.5168.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
64.9%
Under 156.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
53.1%
@ 1.88+3.4pp
Under 161.5
46.9%
@ 1.86-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
41.2%
Under 166.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Akhaltsikhe total 75.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe over 75.5
Over 75.5
69.9%
Under 75.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 79.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe over 79.5
Over 79.5
55.3%
@ 1.83+5.3pp
Under 79.5
44.7%
@ 1.87-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Akhaltsikhe total 83.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe under 83.5
Over 83.5
40.0%
Under 83.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi total 77.5Actual: Telavi under 77.5
Over 77.5
67.3%
Under 77.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi total 81.5 · main lineActual: Telavi under 81.5
Over 81.5
52.4%
@ 1.85+2.6pp
Under 81.5
47.6%
@ 1.86-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.78
Telavi total 85.5Actual: Telavi under 85.5
Over 85.5
37.1%
Under 85.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Akhaltsikhe -1.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe -1.5
AKHA -1.5
43.0%
@ 2.06-2.1pp
TELA +1.5
57.0%
@ 1.69+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
AKHA
Pinnacle
2.06
TELA
Pinnacle
1.69
Spread Akhaltsikhe +1.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe +1.5
AKHA +1.5
48.6%
@ 1.99-1.8pp
TELA -1.5
51.4%
@ 1.88+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
AKHA
SBO
1.99
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.82
TELA
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.72
Spread Akhaltsikhe +4.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe +4.5
AKHA +4.5
60.2%
@ 1.61+2.5pp
TELA -4.5
39.8%
@ 2.19-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
AKHA
Pinnacle
1.61
TELA
Pinnacle
2.19

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.0+5.0
AkhaltsikheTelavi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkhaltsikheLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/10
Superleague
76.2Avg total
36.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (4)36.539.876.2-3.250%25%
Last 30 at home (2)37.535.072.5+2.5100%0%
Last 30 away (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%50%
Last 10 (4)36.539.876.2-3.250%25%
Last 5 (4)36.539.876.2-3.250%25%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.039.574.5-4.550%0%
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.040.078.0-2.050%50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelaviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orbi
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H01/11
Superleague
82.0Avg total
41.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%80%
Last 30 at home (3)42.040.082.0+2.067%67%
Last 30 away (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%100%
Last 10 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%80%
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.045.083.0-7.00%100%
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.540.079.5-0.550%50%
vs Weaker (2)46.038.084.0+8.0100%100%
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Telavi win
AKHA win
no forecast
@ 2.05
TELA win
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Akhaltsikhe +1 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe +1
AKHA +1
no forecast
@ 1.83
TELA -1
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Akhaltsikhe 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Telavi 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Telavi under 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half: AKHA + total 80.5
AKHA & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
AKHA & under
no forecast
@ 4.00
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Akhaltsikhe (regulation)
AKHA
no forecast
@ 2.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
TELA
no forecast
@ 1.85

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
AKHA win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
TELA win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AKHA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TELA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AKHA:TELA): split
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AKHA:TELA): AKHA wins more
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AKHA:TELA): TELA wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akhaltsikhetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akhaltsikhe: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.8
48.0%
48.2%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.8
29.4%
31.1%26.2
🏀 Free throws21.813.2
60.9%
64.0%13.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telavitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telavi: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
48.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
31.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
64.0%14.6
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akhaltsikhe
WWLL
Telavi
WWWLL
#5
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
+8.0
80.5
Offensive rating
91.4
85.3
Defensive rating
83.5
46.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.4%
3-point %
31.9%
52.8%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 4/5)
60%

Profile

Offence80.5 · 91.4Defence85.3 · 83.5Shooting46.3% · 49.6%3-point %29.4% · 31.9%Ball care18.0% · 13.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 4/5)50% · 60%
■ Akhaltsikhe   ■ Telavi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akhaltsikhe wins
0
Telavi wins
No previous meetings.
Akhaltsikhelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ATSU84-81
23/10/26HIverioni78-74
19/10/26ACIU68-88
10/10/26HBatumi70-75
Telavilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HKutaisi89-80
24/10/26ABlack Fortress88-79
18/10/26HMargveti75-67
09/10/26ARustavi94-97 OT
04/10/26HOrbi81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akhaltsikhe
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.074.076.0
Allowed / game79.574.584.5
Point differential-4.5-0.5-8.5
Avg total154.5148.5160.5
Over 161.525%0%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telavi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game85.481.791.0
Allowed / game82.078.088.0
Point differential+3.4+3.7+3.0
Avg total167.4159.7179.0
Over 161.580%67%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU440100%93.272.0+21.2
2 Orbi54180%84.082.4+1.6
3 Rustavi54180%87.286.6+0.6
4 Batumi43175%77.877.2+0.5
5 Telavi53260%85.482.0+3.4
6 TSU63350%84.584.2+0.3
7 Iverioni42250%77.078.2-1.2
8 Akhaltsikhe42250%75.079.5-4.5
9 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
10 Kutaisi61517%79.083.8-4.8
11 Black Fortress6060%79.887.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akhaltsikhe1717242280
Telavi1816251776
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