Akranes IA vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-74

17-21 14-18 23-13 22-22

Position#12

Record1-2

FormWLL

Points / game106.7

Allowed / game112.7

Akranes IA 🏆

Alftanes

Position#8

Record2-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game93.3

Allowed / game72.7

Premier leagueRound 4· AvAir Hall

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akranes IA winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alftanes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Akranes IA Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormIA

Date

Competition

Thorl

#11

102-92

102

+10

97avg 102

H02/10

Premier league

Grindavik

99-116

116

-17

96avg 102

A09/10

Premier league

Njardvik

119-130 OT

119

130

-11

114avg 102

H16/10

Premier league

25-31

24-23

28-17

25-21

28-28

15-29

30-28

26-31

32-30

23-23

25-30

29-26

219.3Avg total

106.7Scored

112.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	106.7	112.7	219.3	-6.0	33%
Season at home (2)	110.5	111.0	221.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (1)	99.0	116.0	215.0	-17.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	106.7	112.7	219.3	-6.0	33%
Last 5 (3)	106.7	112.7	219.3	-6.0	33%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	106.7	112.7	219.3	-6.0	33%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alftanes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlftanes

Date

Competition

Njardvik

107-96

107

+11

107avg 85

H07/04

Premier league

Njardvik

74-107

107

-33

58avg 85

A11/04

Premier league

Njardvik

104-89

104

+15

102avg 85

H15/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

78-100

100

-22

64avg 85

A21/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

94-92

93avg 85

H25/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

104-105 OT

104

105

-1

106avg 85

A29/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

90-105

105

-15

79avg 85

H03/05

Premier league

Armann

#10

121-69

121

+52

119avg 85

H02/10

Premier league

Thorl

#11

89-70

+19

88avg 85

A09/10

Premier league

Grindavik

70-79

-9

66avg 85

H16/10

Premier league

33-26

19-15

22-24

33-31

24-24

24-25

7-25

19-33

31-22

21-19

23-22

29-26

12-20

28-40

18-24

20-16

28-28

26-20

17-16

23-28

21-28

25-21

14-22

29-18

19-19

24-27

24-30

23-29

36-13

37-17

23-21

25-18

22-16

20-13

22-20

25-21

14-18

28-21

12-22

16-18

184.3Avg total

93.1Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	93.3	72.7	166.0	+20.7	67%
Season at home (2)	95.5	74.0	169.5	+21.5	50%
Season away (1)	89.0	70.0	159.0	+19.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	91.2	184.3	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	85.6	180.4	+9.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	89.3	95.9	185.2	-6.6	44%
vs Similar (7)	92.7	90.6	183.3	+2.1	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	98.7	84.3	183.0	+14.3	67%

This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Akranes IAAlftanes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	28.3	29.7	58.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	28.5	30.5	59.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	28.3	29.7	58.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	28.3	29.7	58.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	28.3	29.7	58.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.4	45.4	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	19.2	45.2	+6.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.8	45.7	-1.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.3	22.5	45.8	+0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.7	22.4	46.1	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	26.3	18.8	45.2	+7.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	20.7	25.0	45.7	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	15.0	29.0	44.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	20.7	25.0	45.7	-4.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	20.7	25.0	45.7	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.7	25.0	45.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	23.4	48.3	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	24.1	49.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.8	22.6	47.4	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	19.8	46.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	24.7	24.9	49.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	26.0	21.8	47.8	+4.2	50%	-

Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

#11

49-54

-5

H02/10

Premier league

Grindavik

43-57

-14

A09/10

Premier league

Njardvik

55-53

H16/10

Premier league

103.7Avg total

49.0Scored

54.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	49.0	54.7	103.7	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	52.0	53.5	105.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	43.0	57.0	100.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	49.0	54.7	103.7	-5.7	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	49.0	54.7	103.7	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	49.0	54.7	103.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

52-41

+11

H07/04

Premier league

Njardvik

48-49

-1

A11/04

Premier league

Njardvik

52-41

+11

H15/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

40-60

-20

A21/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

54-48

H25/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

46-49

-3

A29/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

43-46

-3

H03/05

Premier league

Armann

#10

73-30

+43

H02/10

Premier league

Thorl

#11

42-29

+13

A09/10

Premier league

Grindavik

42-39

H16/10

Premier league

92.4Avg total

49.2Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	44.8	93.8	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.0	43.4	94.4	+7.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.7	46.4	93.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	43.2	92.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	38.6	87.8	+10.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	48.0	47.4	95.4	+0.6	56%	-
vs Similar (7)	47.1	44.7	91.9	+2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	52.3	40.7	93.0	+11.7	67%	-

This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	27.7	25.0	52.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	26.5	23.5	50.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	30.0	28.0	58.0	+2.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	27.7	25.0	52.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	27.7	25.0	52.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	27.7	25.0	52.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.1	24.6	42.7	-6.4	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	21.4	44.6	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	26.7	26.0	52.7	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	27.0	23.5	50.5	+3.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	26.0	31.0	57.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	26.7	26.0	52.7	+0.7	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	26.7	26.0	52.7	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	26.7	26.0	52.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.9	45.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	22.4	43.9	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.8	48.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.2	22.9	45.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.4	24.4	46.9	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	54.3	51.0	105.3	+3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	53.5	47.0	100.5	+6.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	56.0	59.0	115.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	54.3	51.0	105.3	+3.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	54.3	51.0	105.3	+3.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	54.3	51.0	105.3	+3.3	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	46.0	89.1	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	45.9	91.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	46.1	86.7	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	46.4	88.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.8	86.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.4	47.4	87.8	-7.1	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.6	45.9	91.4	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.3	43.7	90.0	+2.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 106.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	25.0	61.5%	54.6%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	11.0	37.1%	34.0%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	30.3	23.0	75.8%	74.2%	23.0

They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 92.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.2	23.8	52.7%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.6	37.6%	34.0%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.1	71.6%	74.2%	16.1

They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	23.7	55.9%	54.6%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.0	15.0	39.5%	34.0%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	74.2%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	18.7	48.6%	54.6%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.5	12.4	34.9%	34.0%	37.2
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.6	74.3%	74.2%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	23.8	53.1%	54.6%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.8	36.9%	34.0%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	24.0	16.9	70.4%	74.2%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	23.7	55.9%	54.6%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.0	15.0	39.5%	34.0%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	74.2%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.7	53.0%	54.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	11.2	35.4%	34.0%	33.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.7	74.4%	74.2%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Akranes IA

LLW

Alftanes

LWWLLWLWLW

#12

League position

-6.1

Net rating

+2.8

120.9

Offensive rating

112.2

127.0

Defensive rating

109.4

59.0%

Effective FG%

54.0%

57.5%

Opp. effective FG%

50.4%

16.2%

Turnover %

15.5%

28.9%

Off. rebound %

26.8%

0.43

Free-throw rate

0.32

37.1%

3-point %

37.6%

63.9%

Assist %

53.9%

33%

Form (last 3/10)

50%

Profile

■ Akranes IA ■ Alftanes

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Akranes IA wins

Alftanes wins

No previous meetings.

Akranes IAlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/10/25	H	Njardvik	119-130 OT
09/10/25	A	Grindavik	99-116
02/10/25	H	Thorl	102-92

Alftaneslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/10/25	H	Grindavik	70-79
09/10/25	A	Thorl	89-70
02/10/25	H	Armann	121-69
03/05/25	H	Tindastoll	90-105
29/04/25	A	Tindastoll	104-105 OT
25/04/25	H	Tindastoll	94-92
21/04/25	A	Tindastoll	78-100
15/04/25	H	Njardvik	104-89
11/04/25	A	Njardvik	74-107
07/04/25	H	Njardvik	107-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akranes IA

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	106.7	110.5	99.0
Allowed / game	112.7	111.0	116.0
Point differential	-6.0	-0.5	-17.0
Avg total	219.3	221.5	215.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	33%	50%	0%

Alftanes

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	93.3	95.5	89.0
Allowed / game	72.7	74.0	70.0
Point differential	+20.7	+21.5	+19.0
Avg total	166.0	169.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Grindavik	4	4	0	100%	95.5	85.5	+10.0
2	Tindastoll	4	3	1	75%	97.8	82.8	+15.0
3	KR Basket	4	3	1	75%	97.2	85.0	+12.2
4	Keflavik	4	3	1	75%	93.0	87.2	+5.8
5	Alftanes	3	2	1	67%	93.3	72.7	+20.7
6	Valur	4	2	2	50%	97.2	95.2	+2.0
7	Njardvik	4	2	2	50%	106.0	105.0	+1.0
8	IR Reykjavik	4	2	2	50%	86.2	99.0	-12.8
9	Akranes IA	3	1	2	33%	106.7	112.7	-6.0
10	Stjarnan	4	1	3	25%	88.5	94.5	-6.0
11	Thorl	4	0	4	0%	88.5	101.2	-12.8
12	Armann	4	0	4	0%	83.8	109.2	-25.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Akranes IA	17	14	23	22	76
Alftanes	21	18	13	22	74

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Akranes IA vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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