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Alftanes vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-79
14-18 28-21 12-22 16-18
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game97.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alftanes v Grindavik
19 Nov 2026
ALFT v GRIN
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ALFT70
GRIN79
14 Nov 2024
ALFT90
GRIN88
12 Oct 2023
ALFT86
GRIN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 86
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
107-96
107
96
+11
107avg 86
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
58avg 86
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
104-89
104
89
+15
102avg 86
H15/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 86
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
93avg 86
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
106avg 86
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 86
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
121-69
121
69
+52
119avg 86
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 86
A09/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
31-18
15-25
25-17
33-26
19-15
22-24
33-31
24-24
24-25
7-25
19-33
31-22
21-19
23-22
29-26
12-20
28-40
18-24
20-16
28-28
26-20
17-16
23-28
21-28
25-21
14-22
29-18
19-19
24-27
24-30
23-29
36-13
37-17
23-21
25-18
22-16
20-13
22-20
25-21
187.8Avg total
95.6Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.069.5174.5+35.5100%
Season at home (1)121.069.0190.0+52.0100%
Season away (1)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.692.2187.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)99.688.2187.8+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)90.697.0187.6-6.447%
vs Similar (8)92.890.1182.9+2.662%
vs Weaker (6)98.784.3183.0+14.367%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
68avg 86
H06/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 86
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
82-74
82
74
+8
81avg 86
H14/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
91avg 86
A21/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
102avg 86
H24/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
105-91
105
91
+14
105avg 86
A28/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 86
H02/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 86
A05/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
105avg 86
H03/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
116-99
116
99
+17
106avg 86
H09/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-18
24-17
13-23
15-16
25-25
16-11
30-23
13-24
24-23
22-15
23-12
25-26
19-21
23-28
33-33
31-21
21-29
21-17
26-33
21-25
36-26
31-20
17-20
23-29
19-26
23-23
30-14
21-25
15-15
17-22
17-12
27-29
27-22
31-16
24-29
28-28
29-15
28-30
31-26
182.7Avg total
94.2Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)112.597.5210.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)112.597.5210.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.288.5182.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)99.090.4189.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)91.696.8188.4-5.125%
vs Similar (12)93.892.2186.1+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.486.2179.7+7.267%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
AlftanesGrindavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
73-30
73
30
+43
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A09/10
Premier league
94.5Avg total
50.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.345.194.5+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.644.195.7+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)46.746.493.1+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.094.5+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)51.640.492.0+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)48.448.096.4+0.453%-
vs Similar (8)47.845.493.1+2.450%-
vs Weaker (6)52.340.793.0+11.767%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A21/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H24/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A28/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H02/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H03/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/10
Premier league
92.3Avg total
46.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.147.093.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.648.196.6+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)44.046.190.1-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.246.192.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.248.097.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.248.692.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (12)45.948.394.2-2.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.344.692.9+3.867%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.5
52.7%
54.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.1%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
74.2%16.4
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.3
59.2%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.211.6
33.0%
34.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.414.0
65.4%
74.2%14.0
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WWLLWLWLWW
Grindavik
WWLWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
+7.5
114.9
Offensive rating
115.0
110.6
Defensive rating
107.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.1%
3-point %
33.0%
52.2%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 115.0Defence110.6 · 107.5Shooting54.3% · 54.5%3-point %38.1% · 33.0%Ball care14.4% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alftanes   ■ Grindavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alftanes wins
1
Grindavik wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Grindavik v Alftanes92-94
14/11/24Alftanes v Grindavik90-88
21/01/24Grindavik v Alftanes79-90
11/01/24Grindavik v Alftanes87-84
12/10/23Alftanes v Grindavik86-79
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AThorl89-70
02/10/25HArmann121-69
03/05/25HTindastoll90-105
29/04/25ATindastoll104-105 OT
25/04/25HTindastoll94-92
21/04/25ATindastoll78-100
15/04/25HNjardvik104-89
11/04/25ANjardvik74-107
07/04/25HNjardvik107-96
03/04/25ANjardvik95-89
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HAkranes IA116-99
03/10/25HNjardvik109-96
05/05/25AStjarnan70-74
02/05/25HStjarnan95-92
28/04/25AStjarnan105-91
24/04/25HStjarnan99-100
21/04/25AStjarnan100-108
14/04/25HValur82-74
10/04/25AValur86-75
06/04/25HValur80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.0121.089.0
Allowed / game69.569.070.0
Point differential+35.5+52.0+19.0
Avg total174.5190.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Grindavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game112.5112.5-
Allowed / game97.597.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total210.0210.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes220100%105.069.5+35.5
2 Grindavik220100%112.597.5+15.0
3 KR Basket220100%108.593.5+15.0
4 Tindastoll220100%94.083.0+11.0
5 Stjarnan21150%96.096.5-0.5
6 Akranes IA21150%100.5104.0-3.5
7 IR Reykjavik21150%92.596.0-3.5
8 Keflavik21150%86.592.0-5.5
9 Valur2020%88.090.5-2.5
10 Njardvik2020%98.0105.5-7.5
11 Thorl2020%81.095.5-14.5
12 Armann2020%79.0118.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes1428121670
Grindavik1821221879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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