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Tindastoll vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-78
20-12 40-28 24-18 16-20
Position#1
Record19-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#6
Record14-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game92.8
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Semi-finals· Saudarkrokur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tindastoll v Alftanes
29 Oct 2026
TIND105
ALFT108
21 Mar 2026
TIND115
ALFT104
29 Apr 2025
TIND105
ALFT104
21 Apr 2025
TIND100
ALFT78
29 Nov 2024
TIND109
ALFT99
05 Jan 2024
TIND68
ALFT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 88
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
78avg 88
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
108avg 88
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
76avg 88
A28/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
116-77
116
77
+39
129avg 88
H06/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 88
A13/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 88
H27/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 88
H02/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
96-93
96
93
+3
85avg 88
A06/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
103avg 88
H10/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
28-22
29-17
17-20
21-20
25-17
24-20
20-25
34-15
28-30
18-28
29-23
13-27
34-20
27-29
15-26
32-9
30-18
27-27
27-23
22-29
24-20
19-19
25-33
28-24
25-13
20-22
15-15
25-23
23-29
25-17
21-18
23-25
25-20
22-26
26-22
22-14
30-20
23-19
25-22
184.1Avg total
96.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)97.087.4184.4+9.576%
Season at home (13)99.082.2181.2+16.892%
Season away (12)94.893.1187.8+1.758%
Last 10 (10)96.987.2184.1+9.780%
Last 5 (5)93.686.0179.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.3100.3188.7-12.00%
vs Similar (4)91.586.5178.0+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)98.887.9186.6+10.977%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
107-90
107
90
+17
101avg 83
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 83
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
102-89
102
89
+13
104avg 83
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 83
A07/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 83
H13/03
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 83
A27/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 83
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
107-96
107
96
+11
107avg 83
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
58avg 83
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
104-89
104
89
+15
102avg 83
H15/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-29
27-22
30-17
30-20
24-26
16-18
24-28
27-13
20-34
29-27
26-15
19-24
20-33
21-34
16-25
21-11
33-32
26-19
28-34
24-26
20-22
24-19
27-32
24-29
31-18
15-25
25-17
33-26
19-15
22-24
33-31
24-24
24-25
7-25
19-33
31-22
21-19
23-22
29-26
192.5Avg total
96.2Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)92.192.8184.9-0.754%
Season at home (13)97.293.5190.8+3.762%
Season away (13)86.992.1179.0-5.246%
Last 10 (10)96.296.3192.5-0.170%
Last 5 (5)95.096.0191.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)89.495.2184.6-5.850%
vs Similar (13)92.092.8184.8-0.846%
vs Weaker (4)95.591.8187.2+3.850%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
TindastollAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A28/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A13/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H27/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H02/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H10/04
Premier league
93.6Avg total
51.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.545.494.8+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.241.993.1+9.373%-
Last 30 away (15)47.748.896.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)51.542.193.6+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)49.443.492.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.756.099.7-12.333%-
vs Similar (4)48.541.089.5+7.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)50.644.595.1+6.159%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H13/03
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/04
Premier league
96.5Avg total
49.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.045.793.7+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.945.794.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)46.945.892.7+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)49.547.096.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.295.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)48.946.895.8+2.158%-
vs Similar (13)45.846.091.8-0.246%-
vs Weaker (4)49.846.296.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.2
55.3%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.0
35.5%
34.4%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.218.5
79.7%
75.6%18.5
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
53.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.9
41.8%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.3
72.9%
75.6%18.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
WWWWLWLWWW
Alftanes
WLWWLWLWWW
#1
League position
#6
+11.7
Net rating
-0.1
117.6
Offensive rating
115.2
106.0
Defensive rating
115.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
56.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.5%
3-point %
41.8%
67.1%
Assist %
52.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 115.2Defence106.0 · 115.4Shooting54.3% · 56.6%3-point %35.5% · 41.8%Ball care12.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tindastoll wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25Alftanes v Tindastoll102-89
29/11/24Tindastoll v Alftanes109-99
19/03/24Alftanes v Tindastoll72-90
05/01/24Tindastoll v Alftanes68-80
08/10/23Alftanes v Tindastoll65-70
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/25HKeflavik100-75
06/04/25AKeflavik96-93
02/04/25HKeflavik94-87
27/03/25HValur88-74
13/03/25ANjardvik90-101
06/03/25HKeflavik116-77
28/02/25AAlftanes89-102
13/02/25HThorl109-96
02/02/25AStjarnan90-82
30/01/25AHottur97-85
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25HNjardvik104-89
11/04/25ANjardvik74-107
07/04/25HNjardvik107-96
03/04/25ANjardvik95-89
27/03/25AHottur95-99
13/03/25HThorl108-96
07/03/25AStjarnan76-116
28/02/25HTindastoll102-89
12/02/25AGrindavik94-92
06/02/25HHaukar107-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%92%58%
Points / game97.099.094.8
Allowed / game87.482.293.1
Point differential+9.5+16.8+1.7
Avg total184.4181.2187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%77%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game92.197.286.9
Allowed / game92.893.592.1
Point differential-0.7+3.7-5.2
Avg total184.9190.8179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2519676%97.087.4+9.5
2 Stjarnan2618869%97.187.5+9.5
3 Njardvik26161062%95.391.7+3.5
4 Grindavik26151158%92.389.8+2.5
5 Valur26141254%87.085.9+1.2
6 Alftanes26141254%92.192.8-0.7
7 IR Reykjavik26121446%87.591.8-4.3
8 KR Basket22101245%92.993.7-0.8
9 Thorl2291341%92.696.6-4.0
10 Keflavik25101540%96.096.9-0.8
11 Hottur2261627%85.692.8-7.1
12 Haukar2241818%85.897.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tindastoll20402416100
Alftanes1228182078
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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