Akron hosts Tulane on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Akron the clear favourite, rating them 98% to win largely because of their undefeated 2-0 season record, 93.5 points scored per game and 62.5 points allowed per game, placing them 18th in the league. Akron has won both of its games, including a 112-64 home victory over Muskingum and a 75-61 away win over Louisiana Lafayette, and has not lost a single game; their last five games show four wins and one loss. Tulane, meanwhile, is 2-1 with 87.3 points scored per game and 82.7 points allowed per game, positioned 178th, and has won three of its last five games, including a 100-98 home win over UT Martin. In their two previous meetings, Akron has won both, most recently 88-71 on 6 December 2025. Pythia projects a 93-69 score, giving Akron a 162.3 total, with a 12.5-point home line that Akron covers 84% of the time and a 155.5 total that the over is 66% likely; the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The next game will see Akron continue its perfect run against a Tulane side that has struggled to keep the score close.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Akron winWon
97.7%fair 1.02
Best odds1.13
Implied86.0%
Edge+11.6pp
Tulane winLost
2.3%fair 42.84
Best odds7.00
Implied14.0%
Edge-11.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
76.8%
@ 1.44+12.0pp
Under 150.5
23.2%
@ 2.70-12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.55
Over/Under 155.5 · main lineActual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
66.3%
@ 1.88+15.8pp
Under 155.5
33.7%
@ 1.95-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
54.3%
@ 2.40+15.3pp
Under 160.5
45.7%
@ 1.52-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Akron total 80Actual: Akron under 80
Over 80
91.4%
Under 80
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron total 84 · main lineActual: Akron under 84
Over 84
83.1%
@ 1.85+33.1pp
Under 84
16.9%
@ 1.88-33.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Akron total 88Actual: Akron under 88
Over 88
70.5%
Under 88
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulane total 67.5Actual: Tulane under 67.5
Over 67.5
56.5%
@ 1.39-8.7pp
Under 67.5
43.5%
@ 2.60+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
Tulane total 71.5 · main lineActual: Tulane under 71.5
Over 71.5
40.5%
@ 1.89-9.5pp
Under 71.5
59.5%
@ 1.91+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Tulane total 75.5Actual: Tulane under 75.5
Over 75.5
26.1%
@ 2.50-10.2pp
Under 75.5
73.9%
@ 1.42+10.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Akron -15.5Actual: Tulane +15.5
AKRO -15.5
77.2%
@ 2.40+37.2pp
TULA +15.5
22.8%
@ 1.57-37.2pp
Best 5 market prices
AKRO
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.25
TULA
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Spread Akron -12.5 · main lineActual: Tulane +12.5
AKRO -12.5
84.2%
@ 1.89+33.4pp
TULA +12.5
15.8%
@ 1.95-33.4pp
Best 5 market prices
AKRO
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
TULA
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Spread Akron -9.5Actual: Tulane +9.5
AKRO -9.5
89.5%
@ 1.57+30.3pp
TULA +9.5
10.5%
@ 2.27-30.3pp
Best 5 market prices
AKRO
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
TULA
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
AkronTulane
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Akron -18
70.7%
3.10
Bet365
3.10
-
-
-
-
+40.7pp
Lost
Akron -16
76.5%
2.55
Bet365
2.55
-
-
-
-
+40.0pp
Lost
Akron -17
73.7%
2.75
Bet365
2.75
-
-
-
-
+40.0pp
Lost
Akron -15
79.2%
2.30
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
-
+38.9pp
Lost
Akron -17.5
71.6%
2.73
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.60
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Akron -14
81.6%
2.15
Pinnacle
2.18
Bet365
2.12
-
-
-
+37.6pp
Lost
Akron -16.5
74.5%
2.51
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.40
-
-
-
+37.5pp
Lost
Akron -14.5
79.7%
2.19
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.10
-
-
+37.5pp
Lost
Akron -15.5
77.2%
2.33
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.25
-
-
-
+37.2pp
Lost
Akron -13.5
82.0%
2.02
Pinnacle
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.00
SBO
1.93
-
+35.9pp
Lost
Akron -13
83.8%
1.93
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
+35.7pp
Lost
Akron over 87.5
71.6%
2.42
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.35
-
-
-
+33.6pp
Lost
Akron over 86.5
74.9%
2.21
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.12
-
-
-
+33.5pp
Lost
Akron -12.5
84.2%
1.86
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
+33.4pp
Lost
Akron over 84
83.1%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
-
-
+33.1pp
Lost
Akron -12
85.9%
1.78
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
+32.6pp
Lost
Akron over 84.5
80.9%
1.89
Pinnacle
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
+32.5pp
Lost
Akron over 83.5
83.5%
1.80
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.72
+32.4pp
Lost
Akron over 82.5
85.9%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
+32.1pp
Lost
Akron over 85.5
78.0%
2.02
Betano
2.02
-
-
-
-
+32.0pp
Lost
Akron -11.5
86.1%
1.74
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.74
1xBet
1.73
+30.6pp
Lost
Akron -9.5
89.5%
1.56
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Akron -11
87.7%
1.69
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.67
-
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Akron -9
90.8%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+29.6pp
Lost
Akron -10
89.3%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
-
-
-
+29.2pp
Lost
Akron -10.5
87.9%
1.63
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
-
-
+28.6pp
Lost
Akron -8.5
90.9%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+28.3pp
Lost
Akron -8
92.1%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+27.6pp
Lost
Akron over 81.5
88.0%
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Akron -7.5
92.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Akron over 80.5
89.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Lost
Akron -7
93.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+25.7pp
Lost
Akron -6.5
93.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+25.1pp
Lost
Akron over 79.5
91.6%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+23.9pp
Lost
Akron -6
94.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+23.8pp
Lost
Akron over 78.5
93.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Akron -5.5
94.4%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Akron -5
95.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Lost
Akron -4.5
95.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Lost
Akron over 76.5
95.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Lost
Akron over 74.5
96.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+16.4pp
Lost
Akron (regulation)
97.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Marathon Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Akron -2.5
96.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Over 154
70.1%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.64
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Over 153
72.2%
1.64
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.58
-
-
+15.5pp
Lost
Akron over 75.5
96.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
Over 153.5
70.7%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60
-
+15.1pp
Lost
Akron over 73.5
97.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
Over 152
74.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Lost
Over 152.5
72.8%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Lost
Over 151.5
74.9%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
Akron over 72.5
98.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Lost
Over 148
81.8%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
Over 151
76.3%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Lost
Over 150.5
76.8%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Lost
Over 150
78.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Lost
Over 149.5
78.7%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Akron win
97.7%
1.12
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
WilliamHill
1.11
+11.6pp
Won
Over 148.5
80.4%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Lost
Over 147.5
82.1%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Over 149
80.1%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Akron over 71.5
98.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Lost
Akron over 70.5
98.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Lost
Tulane under 75.5
73.9%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Akron +2.5
98.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Over 145.5
85.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Lost
Akron over 69.5
99.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Tulane under 77.5
80.0%
1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Over 146.5
83.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Lost
Tulane under 76.5
77.1%
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Akron +7.5
99.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Tulane under 74.5
70.6%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Over 140.5
91.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Overtime: no
99.4%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Tulane under 78.5
82.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Over 141.5
90.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Lost
Over 135.5
95.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
Tulane under 80.5
87.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Over 130.5
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Lost
Over 136.5
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Lost
Over 131.5
97.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Lost
Tulane over 54.5
92.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Tulane over 55.5
91.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Tulane over 56.5
89.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Tulane over 57.5
87.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Tulane over 58.5
85.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Under 180.5
87.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Tulane over 59.5
83.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Tulane over 60.5
80.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Tulane over 62.5
74.8%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Under 176.5
81.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Tulane over 61.5
77.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
Tulane over 63.5
71.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Lost
Under 175.5
79.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Won
Under 171.5
71.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-12.6pp
Won
Akron under 98.5
70.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-18.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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